Tipps Udinese AS Roma Serie A 25/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

AS Roma wins the match.

1. AS Rome has a better away win rate for its last 5 matches at 40% compared to Udinese, which has no home wins in its last 5 matches. This shows a better recent performance by AS Rome.

2. AS Rome has a superior defensive potential compared to Udinese, conceding on average only 0.2 goals per match away from home, which could make it difficult for Udinese to score goals.

3. The success probabilities also suggest a greater chance for AS Rome to win the match with a success probability of 40.74% compared to only 28.04% for Udinese.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“ Less than 2.5 goals in the match. “

1. The offensive performances of Udinese and AS Roma are relatively weak, with an average of less than one goal scored per game for both teams. Therefore, the lack of offensive potential from these teams suggests that there will be less than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Both teams have a high defensive potential. Udinese has a defensive potential of 64% while AS Roma has a defensive potential of 7%, indicating that they are capable of resisting their opponents’ attacks.

3. Analyzing the last five home matches of Udinese and the last five away matches of AS Roma, most matches have seen less than 2.5 goals scored. This, once again, indicates a high probability that the match between Udinese and AS Roma will produce less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have shown an ability to score in their previous matches, with Udinese scoring 5 goals and AS Roma scoring 7 goals in their respective last 5 matches.

2. Conversely, neither Udinese nor AS Roma have managed to keep a clean sheet in their recent matches: Udinese has conceded 6 goals and AS Roma 8 goals.

3. Statistics show a relatively high probability (52.91%) for both teams to score in this match, which is supported by their recent performances.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Udinese wins the match – 1.70

Bet on the exact result

Udinese 1-1 AS Roma

1. The high percentage of matches ending in a draw for both teams: Udinese has a 60% draw rate at home, while AS Roma has a 40% draw rate away. This suggests that a 1-1 scoreline could be likely.

2. The offensive and defensive performances of both teams are relatively close: Udinese has a 29% offensive potential and a 64% defensive potential. For AS Roma, the offensive potential is 36% and the defensive potential is 7%. These figures indicate that neither team clearly dominates, which could lead to a tight scoreline.

3. The low average number of goals scored and conceded by both teams: Udinese averages 0.8 goals scored per home match and concedes 1.8 goals, while AS Roma averages 1 goal scored away and only concedes 0.2. These statistics suggest that both teams have strong defensive capabilities but struggle to score, which could result in a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Udinese struggle to win at home, with no victories in their last 5 matches. However, they have managed to secure a draw in 60% of cases, with a total of 5 goals scored.

On the other hand, AS Roma is decent away from home, with 40% each of wins and draws. Their attack is more effective, with 7 goals scored.

Udinese averages 0.8 goals per match at home, with an offensive potential of 29%. Their defense is weak, conceding 1.8 goals per match.

In contrast, AS Roma is solid on the road, scoring an average of 1 goal per match and regularly conceding only 0.2 goals.

The probability of a victory favors AS Roma at 40.74%, higher than Udinese’s 28.04%.

The match is likely to see less than 3.5 goals with a probability of 80.42%.

Furthermore, both teams could score with a probability of 52.91%.

In short, AS Roma is favored for this match, and it could be relatively tight with both teams potentially finding the back of the net.

The potential number of goals

Udinese has been struggling at home recently, with no wins in their last 5 matches and a total of 5 goals scored. However, they have shown defensive solidity, conceding only 6 goals during this period. This is a significant drop considering their average of 1.8 goals conceded per match.

On the other hand, AS Roma has been performing well away, with a win in every two matches and an average of one goal scored per game in their last five away fixtures. However, their defense could be a concern, conceding 8 goals during this period.

Based on these data, a tight match is possible. A draw seems like a probable outcome, with a success probability of 31.22%, offering odds of 3.25. For adventurous bettors, an undecided outcome that could see either Udinese win or a draw has a probability of 59.26% and odds at 1.70.

Regarding goals, the match should have under 3.5 goals with a high success probability of 80.42% at odds of 1.25. Furthermore, both teams have a chance to score, with a probability of 52.91% at odds of 1.92.

Presenting these data, I would conclude that the match could very well end in a draw with under 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on probabilities and recent match results, the forecast points towards a victory for AS Roma. However, Udinese has shown increased resistance at home, which could lead to a draw or a match with a low margin of goals for each team. Despite AS Roma having a better offensive potential, the defenses of each team could stand out and limit the number of goals in the match. The bet “Under 2.5 goals” seems sensible, as does the bet “Draw or Udinese wins.”

As for betting on both teams to score, the probability is relatively high. Despite the defensive efficiency of both teams, their recent offensive performances suggest they could both find the back of the net.

Lastly, betting on the exact score indicates a 1-1 result, considering the current form of both teams, their offensive and defensive performances, as well as statistics on the average number of goals scored and conceded.

In conclusion, this match appears to be tight with quite low margins of goals. Bettors should focus on bets that reflect a tense and uncertain encounter. A victory for AS Roma, a draw, under 2.5 goals, and a match with goals from both sides seem to be the most likely options. However, as always in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed and anything can happen. Good luck to all bettors!