Tipps Udinese Empoli Serie A 19/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for the Udinese vs Empoli soccer match is: Draw or Udinese win the match.

1. Udinese’s home performances: In their last 5 home matches, Udinese has not lost a single game with a draw percentage of 80%. Additionally, they have managed to score 5 goals in these matches, showing some ability to score despite not winning often.

2. Empoli’s away performances: Empoli has no wins or draws in their last 5 away matches. Furthermore, they have failed to score any goals in these matches while conceding 1 goal. Their performances are therefore weak when playing away.

3. Success probabilities: The success probability for the “Draw or Udinese wins” prediction has been determined to be 77.72%, which is significantly higher than that for the “Empoli wins” option. This is in line with the recent statistics and performances of both teams.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Empoli’s lack of offensive power: in their last 5 away games, Empoli has failed to score any goals, showing a weak ability to score.
2. Low average total goals: in Udinese’s last 5 home matches, the average total goals (scored and conceded) is 2. This trend suggests a number of goals under 2.5 for this match.
3. Udinese’s defensive trend: Udinese has shown a defensive potential of 36% at home in their last 5 matches, indicating an ability to keep the total number of goals low.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Empoli’s weak offensive performances: Empoli has not scored any goals in their last 5 away matches. Their low offensive potential, at only 7%, is a significant indicator that the team may not score in this match.

2. Udinese’s respectable defensive performances: While Udinese has conceded an average of one goal per home match, they have also managed to keep their opponent scoreless in at least one of the last five occasions. This, combined with Empoli’s offensive weakness, increases the likelihood of only one team scoring in this match.

3. Empoli’s inferiority in previous encounters: Empoli’s last 5 away matches have all ended in defeat, without managing to score any goals. This recent lack of success on the road contributes to the probability of both teams not scoring in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Udinese 1-0 Empoli

1. Recent history shows that Udinese has scored at least one goal at home in most of its recent matches. This could indicate the likelihood of them scoring a goal in this match against Empoli.

2. Empoli has struggled with offensive efficiency in their away matches, failing to score in their last 5 away games. This suggests that they may find it difficult to score in this match against Udinese.

3. Udinese and Empoli have both conceded an average of 1 goal per match defensively, indicating strong defensive resilience from both teams and increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring game.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

For Udinese at home, no matches have been won in the last 5. However, they have been able to draw in 80% of cases, scoring 5 goals and conceding 7. Their offensive capability is reasonable with 1 goal per match but the defense struggles with also conceding 1 goal on average.

Empoli, on the other hand, has not won any matches away in their last 5. Their attack has been powerless, not scoring any goals while the defense has conceded only one.

The probability favors Udinese with a 44.02% chance of winning. A draw is also a possibility with 33.7% chance. Empoli is less favored with only a 22.28% chance of winning.

In terms of goals, a low-scoring match is expected. The option of under 3.5 goals has a success probability of 89.67%, confirming this trend.

Another interesting point is that both teams not scoring is statistically more likely at 51.09%.

Therefore, there is a higher chance of a low-scoring match where Udinese would have the advantage.

The potential number of goals

The Udinese team is on a streak of draws at home, scoring 5 goals and conceding 7 goals in 5 matches. Both their offensive and defensive performance stands at 36%.

Empoli, on the other hand, hasn’t won or drawn any of their last 5 away matches. They have scored no goals and conceded only 1. Their offensive performance is at 7% and defensive at 36%.

According to statistics, Udinese has a 44.02% chance of winning the match, while Empoli only has a 22.28% probability. A draw seems more likely at 33.7%.

Predictions also suggest that the safest option would be to choose “draw or Udinese win” with a success probability of 77.72%.

In terms of the number of goals, the forecast indicates higher possibilities for “over 1.5 goals in the match” (70.65%) and “under 3.5 goals in the match” (89.67%).

The probability of both teams scoring is quite evenly distributed, with a slight edge for “both teams not scoring” at 51.09%.

Summarizing these statistics, the match could be tight with a low total of goals. Udinese might secure a result with a higher chance of scoring at least one goal.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the detailed analysis of the recent performances of Udinese and Empoli teams highlights clear trends and precise probabilities that point towards different types of bets. It is likely that the match will end with a low number of goals, with the prediction of “under 2.5 goals in the match” having a high probability of success. The choice of “draw or Udinese win” is also supported by a strong probability estimated at 77.72%.

Empoli’s weak offensive performance, especially in their away matches, suggests that both teams will not score in the match. As for the exact score, the most likely scenario would be Udinese winning the match with a score of 1-0.

However, it is important to remember that forecasts and bets are subject to the inherent uncertainty of sports and it is important to bet responsibly.