Tipps Udinese Lecce Serie A 05/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Udinese wins the match”

1. Udinese has a strong home win record with 80% of their last 5 matches resulting in a victory.
2. Udinese’s offensive and defensive potential at home is much higher than Lecce’s away, with 64% versus 21% in attack and 64% versus 50% in defense respectively.
3. Lecce has a poor away performance with no wins in their last 5 matches, indicating an advantage for Udinese.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Udinese’s home offensive performance: Over their last 5 matches, Udinese has scored an average of 2.4 goals per game, totaling 12 goals. This shows a strong attacking pattern from the club when playing at home, increasing the likelihood of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Lecce’s weak defense away from home: Lecce has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last 5 away matches. This indicates a poor defensive performance from the club, which supports the probability of a total goals exceeding 2.5.

3. Head-to-head history: In Udinese’s recent home matches, the total number of goals regularly exceeds 2.5. Udinese’s past scores have been 2-3, 3-1, 1-0, 2-1, and 4-0, indicating that Udinese’s home matches often have a high number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Lecce’s offensive performance away from home has been very weak with only 0.6 goals on average in their last 5 matches, suggesting their ability to score against Udinese is unlikely, especially considering Udinese’s defense which concedes only 1.8 goals on average per match.

2. Recent history of Lecce’s away matches shows they struggle to score, as seen in their scores in their last 5 away games where they failed to score in 80% of the matches.

3. The success probabilities of “Both teams to score” and “Both teams not to score” are similar (51.09% vs 48.91%), but Lecce’s poor offensive output and Udinese’s solid defensive efficiency lean towards a match where both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Udinese wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Udinese 2-0 Lecce

1. Udinese has a strong home performance with a 47.83% probability of winning compared to a lower probability of winning for Lecce at 20.65%. Their recent home victories against teams like Inter Milan and Lazio Rome attest to their solid offensive performance.

2. Lecce’s away performance is the weakest in comparison, having not won any of their last 5 matches and scoring only 2 goals in total. Their offensive potential of 21% is significantly lower than Udinese’s at home (64%).

3. The probability of a match with less than 2.5 goals is higher (at 1.65) compared to a match with more than 2.5 goals (at 2.25). The prediction of 2-0 also takes into account that Lecce has on average conceded 1.4 goals per match in their recent away games, which corresponds to the number of goals Udinese is likely to score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The translation in English would be:

“L’Udinese is in great form at home with 80% of victories in its last 5 matches. Lecce is struggling away from home, without any victories or goals scored. With 12 goals scored for Udinese, compared to only 2 for Lecce, the offensive indicator leans in favor of Udinese.

In terms of odds, the probabilities are clearly in favor of Udinese, which has a 47.83% chance of winning the match. On the other hand, a draw or Lecce’s victory is less likely with only 52.17% chance.

Udinese’s defense seems solid with a potential of 64%. Lecce, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match, has a defensive potential of only 50%.

Regarding goals in the match, statistics show a probability of 72.28% for more than 1.5 goals and 85.33% for less than 3.5 goals.

Looking at recent performances, Udinese has beaten strong teams like Lazio Rome and Salernitana. While Lecce has been defeated by teams like AC Milan and Inter Milan.

In summary, Udinese seems to be the favorite in this match with an impressive home performance. Lecce will have to overcome its difficulties away from home to hope for a good result.”

The potential number of goals

Considering the recent matches, Udinese has shown a strong presence at home, winning 80% of their matches. On the other hand, Lecce seems to struggle away, not winning any of their last 5 matches.

Udinese, averaging 1.8 goals per match, proves to have a solid offense, although their defense needs improvement as they have conceded the same number of goals.

Conversely, Lecce has a weak offensive score with only 0.6 goals scored on average, and their defense is not much better with 1.4 goals conceded on average.

There is a 47.83% probability that Udinese will win this match, compared to a low chance of 20.65% for Lecce to win. A draw is the most likely outcome after a Udinese victory, with a probability of 31.52%.

Based on these statistics and probabilities, a match with fewer than 3.5 goals seems to be the most likely, with a success probability of 85.33%.

Ultimately, considering the teams’ offensive and defensive potential, as well as their recent performance, a bet on either a Udinese win or a draw seems to be a solid prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the current form, match history, and offensive and defensive performances of both teams, it appears that Udinese has a significant advantage in this encounter against Lecce. Their home performance is undeniably strong, and they are much more efficient offensively. On the other hand, Lecce has shown weakness in terms of offense away from home and may struggle to break down Udinese’s defense. Therefore, the safest bet for this Serie A match seems to be a victory for Udinese. However, sports betting remains an unpredictable activity and depends on many factors that can change rapidly. It is essential to stay well-informed and bet responsibly.