Tipps Ujpest Kecskeméti TE Bank Liga 10/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for this match is that Ujpest will win the game.

1. Recent performances: Ujpest has a better home performance with a 40% win rate compared to Kecskeméti TE, who have not won any of their last 5 away matches.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Ujpest has a home offensive potential of 71% and a defensive potential of 86%, much higher than Kecskeméti TE’s away stats (21% offensive, 29% defensive).
3. Probability of victory: Based on the given probabilities, Ujpest has a success probability of 46.91% compared to Kecskeméti TE’s 22.68%, indicating that Ujpest is the favorite to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Ujpest has a high average of goals scored and conceded at home, with 2 and 2.4 goals per match respectively, indicating a tendency towards high-scoring matches.
2. In their last 5 home matches, Ujpest has shown they can score a lot of goals in a single game, as evidenced by their 7-0 victory over Diosgyori VTK, which increases the likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.
3. The match having a 54.12% probability of having more than 2.5 goals also contributes to this prediction, meaning that based on the current and past performances of both teams, the highest probability is that the match will produce at least 3 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Ujpest has shown a real ability to score goals at home: in their last 5 home matches, they have scored a total of 13 goals. This average of 2.6 goals per match demonstrates their offensive potential.
2. Kecskeméti TE, even though they are not particularly strong offensively, manage to score away from home: in their last 5 away matches, they have scored a total of 3 goals. The fact that they have managed to score in 3 of the last 5 matches is an indicator that they can score against Ujpest.
3. Ujpest’s defensive potential is rather weak at 86%: in the last 5 home matches, they have conceded 13 goals. Their poor defensive performance may allow Kecskeméti TE to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Ujpest wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Ujpest 2-1 Kecskeméti TE

1. Ujpest’s home performance is superior to that of Kecskeméti TE away. In fact, Ujpest has won in 40% of cases and drawn in 40% of cases. Furthermore, Ujpest has scored an average of 2 goals per match, which is higher than Kecskeméti TE’s average of 0.6 goals away. Additionally, Ujpest has an offensive potential of 71% compared to 21% for Kecskeméti TE.

2. Ujpest’s defense appears to be more porous than Kecskeméti TE’s in terms of goals conceded, which could lead to a surprise and allow Kecskeméti TE to score at least one goal.

3. Statistics on the number of goals in the match indicate a 54.12% probability for a score with over 2.5 goals. Moreover, the match presents a 59.28% probability for both teams to score. Therefore, a score of 2-1 in favor of Ujpest seems consistent with these statistics.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Ujpest has had a solid performance at home, with 40% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. This team has scored 13 goals, but has also conceded the same amount.

Kecskeméti TE, on the road, has struggled to find victories, not having won any of their last 5 matches. With only 3 goals scored and 5 conceded, their offensive performance is modest.

Statistically, Ujpest is more offensive with 2 goals per match compared to Kecskeméti TE’s 0.6. Ujpest’s defensive potential is also stronger.

In terms of betting, Ujpest has a 46.91% chance of winning the match. The potential for a draw is also high at 30.41%.

There’s a 77.32% chance that the match will end in a draw or with a victory for Ujpest. In goal terms, the match has a 73.2% chance of having over 1.5 goals.

Both teams have a 59.28% chance of scoring. This is reflected in the results of Ujpest’s recent home matches and Kecskeméti TE’s away matches, where both teams have scored and conceded goals.

Taking all these factors into consideration, a bet on a win for Ujpest or a draw with over 1.5 goals seems to be a safe prediction.

The potential number of goals

Ujpest has shown a strong performance at home, with a 40% win rate. They have scored 13 goals in 5 matches, demonstrating a notable offensive strength. However, they have also conceded 13 goals, revealing a defensive weakness.

Kecskeméti TE, on the other hand, have struggled away from home, failing to win any of their last 5 matches. They only score 0.6 goals per match on average and concede 0.8, giving them a mere 21% offensive potential.

The probabilities suggest that Ujpest has a 46.91% chance of winning the match, and a 77.32% chance of winning or drawing. There is also a 73.2% likelihood of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match.

These data can be used to bet on a Ujpest victory or on there being more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on recent performances and statistics, our prediction clearly favors Ujpest. Ujpest has shown strong performance, especially at home, with an average of 2 goals per match and a 40% win rate in home games. On the other hand, Kecskeméti TE has a weak performance when playing away, having not won any of their last 5 away matches.

Based on these observations and calculated probabilities, the safest bet would be to wager on a Ujpest victory, with a success probability of 46.91%. As for the total number of goals in the match, it is highly likely that there will be over 2.5 goals and that both teams will score at least one goal.

Furthermore, the match potentially presents a value betting opportunity by betting on Ujpest, with the exact score to consider being 2-1 in favor of Ujpest. All these analytical elements provide us with interesting bets to exploit. However, it is always important to remember that match results and therefore betting success are uncertain, and gambling should remain a form of entertainment without excessive risk-taking.