Tipps Ukraine Albania UEFA Nations League 07/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Ukraine wins the match”

1. Ukraine’s home match statistics: Ukraine has a very good performance at home, winning 40% of its last 5 matches. Compared to Albania, which has not won any of its away games, Ukraine is clearly more favorable.

2. Defensive potential: Ukraine has a defensive potential of 50%, indicating a strong defensive performance. Compared to Albania, which has an offensive potential of 64%, Ukraine is likely to have a better defense, which could lead to an advantage for Ukraine.

3. Probability of success: According to predictions, Ukraine has a 57.14% probability of winning the match, significantly higher than the 13.04% for Albania. This is a strong indicator in favor of Ukraine winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent match goal stats for both teams are moderate: Ukraine averages 1.4 goals per home game, while Albania averages 1.8 goals per away game. Additionally, all recent Ukraine home matches had under 2.5 goals, as did most recent Albania away matches.

2. The odds point to a low-scoring game. The odds suggest that it’s more likely for the match to end with under 2.5 goals. The implied probability for under 2.5 goals in the match is 1.70 compared to over 2.5 goals at 2.10.

3. Defenses are solid: Both Ukraine and Albania have robust defensive performances, with Ukraine conceding an average of 1.4 goals per home match and Albania conceding 1.2 goals per away match. Additionally, in 51.55% of cases, both teams do not score, suggesting a potentially tight encounter.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Albania’s weak offensive performance: In their last 5 away matches, Albania has shown a poor offensive performance with a win rate of 0%. This performance indicates that it could be difficult for them to score in this match.

2. Strong defensive performance by Ukraine at home: In their last 5 home matches, Ukraine has demonstrated a solid defensive performance, conceding only 6 goals, which suggests they have the ability to resist Albania’s attack.

3. Trend of matches with only one goal scorer: Looking at the histories of both teams, it can be seen that in the last 10 home matches of Ukraine and away matches of Albania, 6 games ended with only one goal scored, reinforcing the prediction that both teams may not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Albania wins the match – 42.86% chance of success: 2.00.

Bet on the exact result

Ukraine 1-1 Albania

1. Albania has drawn in 60% of their last 5 away matches, showing their ability to resist even when not playing on their own ground.

2. Both teams have shown a similar level of performance so far, with the same number of goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches (5 goals scored and 6 goals conceded), suggesting a balanced match and therefore a higher probability for a 1-1 scoreline.

3. In their last 5 home matches, Ukraine has displayed a strong defense but a low scoring potential, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Considering Albania’s 64% offensive potential in their away matches, a 1-1 draw seems quite likely.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Ukraine, playing at home, has won 40% of their last matches, with no draws. They have scored and conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game, giving them an offensive and defensive potential of 50%. However, they seem to struggle defensively, having conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches.

Albania, playing away, has not won any of their last 5 matches, but has drawn 60% of the time. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game. Their offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 43% are higher than Ukraine’s and should be taken into consideration.

The probability of Ukraine winning the match is 57.14%, with odds of 1.80. A draw is less likely at 29.81%, with odds of 3.55. Albania has a 13.04% chance of winning, with odds of 4.50.

The number of goals in the match is also a key factor. There is a 68.94% chance of more than 1.5 goals being scored, with odds of 1.36. However, there is only a 40.99% probability of more than 2.5 goals, with odds of 2.10.

Lastly, the probability of both teams scoring is 48.45%, with odds of 1.95. There is a slightly higher chance (51.55%) that both teams will not score, with odds of 1.77.

Overall, Ukraine seems to have a slight advantage despite their defensive weaknesses. However, Albania’s offensive potential could make a difference and the outcome of the match is not as clear-cut. Betting on the number of goals in the match seems to be an interesting option.

The potential number of goals

Ukraine has won 40% of its home matches, with no draws, scoring 5 goals and conceding 6. Albania, on the other hand, has not won any away matches, drawn 60%, and scored and conceded 5 goals.

Ukraine averages 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match, with an offensive and defensive potential of 50%. Albania, on the other hand, averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, with offensive potential at 64% and defensive potential at 43%.

There is a 57.14% probability of Ukraine winning. A draw has a 29.81% chance, and Albania winning has a 13.04% probability. There is a 68.94% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, and a 40.99% probability of more than 2.5 goals.

The match is likely to have less than 3.5 goals, with a probability of 106.83%. There is a 48.45% chance of both teams scoring.

Analyzing their recent matches, there is more variety in results for Albania with a tendency towards draws. Ukraine remains strong at home with several wins and draws.

In conclusion, Ukraine is more likely to win. The match could have more than 1.5 goals but less than 3.5. There is also a moderate chance of both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, this match between Ukraine and Albania promises to be balanced. Ukraine, despite playing at home and having a solid defensive performance, shows some weaknesses with more goals conceded than scored. As for Albania, despite a poor offensive performance, they display resilience and offensive potential that could be decisive.

The most interesting bets to consider could be the 1X2 prediction with a Ukraine win, the Over/Under bet with less than 2.5 goals in the match, and the BTTS bet with a “no” for both teams scoring. The “Draw or Albania to win the match” bet also offers an interesting value bet given Ukraine’s moderate home performance and Albania’s offensive potential.

A bet on the exact score ending in a 1-1 draw also seems plausible considering the recent performances and statistics of both teams. However, all these predictions need to be confirmed in the actual match and bets should be placed with caution.

It is also worth noting that, while thorough analysis can help make educated predictions, the outcome of a football match can be influenced by many unpredictable factors. Sports betting should always be practiced responsibly.