Tipps Ukraine Georgia UEFA Nations League 11/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

The prediction for the Ukraine vs Georgia match is: Ukraine wins the match.

1. Ukraine has shown a steady performance at home, winning 40% of their matches and drawing 20% of the time. Despite scoring the same number of goals as they have conceded (5 goals scored and 5 goals conceded), their control of the field can give them an advantage.

2. Georgia, although also having a 40% win rate away from home, has conceded more goals than they have scored (7 goals scored against 10 conceded). This suggests that their defense could be vulnerable and Ukraine might capitalize on this.

3. Finally, the indicated success probabilities also favor Ukraine, with a 47.34% chance of winning the match and an even higher probability (77.13%) that the match will end in a draw or a Ukraine win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent offensive and defensive performances of both teams: Ukraine at home has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 64%, indicating that they tend to score less but also concede less. On the other hand, Georgia away has an offensive potential of 64% but a defensive potential of 43%, suggesting a higher likelihood of scoring but also conceding. These statistics paint a picture of a match where the number of goals could be limited.

2. Recent match history: Referring to recent matches, several of Ukraine’s home games have resulted in fewer than 2.5 goals. Similarly, Georgia’s away games do not always end with a high number of goals.

3. Odds associated with different possible match outcomes: The odds for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are 1.72, confirming a relatively high probability of this scenario compared to “Over 2.5 goals in the match” at 2.15. Bookmakers also seem to expect a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Offensive and defensive potential: Statistics show that Ukraine has scored an average of 1 goal per match at home, while Georgia has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match away. Defensively, Ukraine concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Georgia concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match. These statistics indicate that both teams have the ability to score and are likely to concede goals.

2. Recent form: Looking at the last 5 matches of both teams, it can be observed that Ukraine and Georgia have both managed to score in most of their matches. In Ukraine’s last 5 home matches, they scored in 60% of the games. On the other hand, Georgia has scored in all of its last 5 away matches.

3. Betting probabilities: The probability of both teams scoring is quite high with a success rate of 52.13%. Comparing this to other available betting options, it seems like a reasonable prediction while offering good value in terms of odds.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Ukraine 1-1 Georgia

1. At home, Ukraine concedes and scores an average of just one goal per match, indicating a strong potential for a 1-1 scoreline, especially considering Ukraine’s offensive and defensive performance, which is close to 50%.
2. Georgia, in their away matches, manages to score an average of 1.8 goals per game, while conceding 1.2 goals per match, also indicating their ability to both score and concede goals, further supporting the prediction of a 1-1 score.
3. The likelihood of a draw (29.79%) is higher than that of a Georgia win (22.87%), and both teams have a nearly equal probability of scoring during the match (52.13%). The combination of these statistics strengthens the forecast of a draw with a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

In their last 5 matches, both Ukraine at home and Georgia away have a 40% win rate. It’s balanced.

Ukraine, at home, has scored 5 goals, but also conceded 5 goals. Their defense seems to be their weak point.

Georgia, away, has scored more (7 goals), but also conceded more goals (10). Their defense is also struggling.

Ukraine has a 36% offensive potential at home and a 64% defense. Georgia, on the other hand, has a 64% attack and a 43% defense away.

In terms of probabilities, Ukraine has a 47.34% chance of winning against Georgia’s 22.87%. A draw is considered at 29.79%.

A 69.68% probability suggests that the match will have more than 1.5 goals scored.

Furthermore, both teams have scored in 52.13% of past matches, potentially signaling an eventful match.

Looking at previous matches, Ukraine has alternated between wins and draws, while Georgia has had varied results in their away games.

My prediction would be to bet on ‘More than 1.5 goals’ with odds of 1.38 and a success probability of 69.68%.

The potential number of goals

Ukraine scores and concedes at the same pace at home: 1 goal per match. Georgia, when playing away, is more offensive, scoring 1.8 goals but also conceding more with 2 goals per match. Ukraine’s style of play is balanced with 36% attacking and 64% defending. Georgia, when away, is 64% attacking and 43% defending.

Recent performances show an equal win rate for both Ukraine and Georgia: 40%. In terms of draws, Ukraine is less convincing at 20%. As for Georgia, it’s either win or lose – no draws.

Prediction? Ukraine is the favorite with odds of 2.10 for a win. However, if you’re aiming for a draw, the odds go up to 3.50. Georgia, as the underdog, has an interesting odds of 3.60.

Looking for a safer bet? A draw or Ukraine win has a success probability of 77.13% with odds of 1.30. A draw or Georgia win offers a 52.66% probability at odds of 1.78.

And if you’re betting on goals? Over 1.5 goals has a probability of 69.68% with odds of 1.38. Over 2.5 goals is less likely at 45.74% but with odds of 2.15. The safer option is under 3.5 goals: a probability of 83.51% with odds of 1.26.

Both teams to score is likely at 52.13% with odds of 1.88. An option worth considering for an interesting bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

Based on their consistent performances at home, Ukraine seems to have a slight edge in this match against Georgia. However, when considering the overall form of both teams, it appears to be evenly balanced, suggesting a match with under 2.5 goals but where both teams could have opportunities to score.

Interesting bets to consider could be a “Draw” or “Over 1.5 goals in the match,” providing good value. As for the exact score, a conservative yet plausible prediction could be a 1-1 draw, given the offensive and defensive displays of both teams.

Ultimately, it is important to remember that sports betting is a matter of probability and nothing is guaranteed. Betting choices should always be based on reliable information, up-to-date analysis, prudent personal financial management, and, as with anything, a good dose of sportsmanship. Good luck to everyone with your bets, and may the best team win!