Tipps Union La Calera A. Italiano Primera Division 02/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Union La Calera wins the match.

1. Union La Calera has a strong home record with a 40% win rate and a 40% draw rate in their last 5 matches, meaning they are less likely to lose, thus supporting the prediction of the bet “Draw or Union La Calera wins the match”.

2. Away from home, A. Italiano has been less successful, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have drawn 40% of the time, increasing the likelihood of a draw, once again supporting the bet “Draw or Union La Calera wins the match”.

3. The success probability statistics also support this bet. With a 37.24% success probability for Union La Calera winning the match and a 31.63% probability for a draw, the option “Draw or Union La Calera wins the match” offers a relatively high success probability of 68.88%, making it a safer betting choice.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Less than 2.5 goals in the match

1. According to recent history, the offensive performances of Union La Calera at home and A. Italiano away are relatively low, with respective averages of 1.4 and 1 goals per match. This indicates a low potential to score a total of over 2.5 goals.

2. The defensive performance of these two teams appears solid. Union La Calera concedes an average of 1.6 goals per home match and A. Italiano concedes an average of 1.2 goals per away match. This defensive solidity could limit the number of goals scored in the match.

3. The probabilities suggest there is a higher probability (61.73%) of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match, as opposed to a probability of over 2.5 goals (38.27%). This reinforces the prediction that the match could have fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Offensive and defensive statistics of the teams: Union La Calera has an offensive efficiency rate of 50% and a defensive rate of 57%, while A. Italiano has an offensive score of 36% and a defensive score of 43%. These statistics suggest that both teams have a strong chance of scoring in their upcoming match.

2. Match history: In the last 5 home matches of Union La Calera, they have scored in each of their matches, and likewise A. Italiano has also scored in each of their last 5 away matches. This scoring trend for both teams suggests that each has the ability to score against the other.

3. Betting probabilities: The probability of both teams scoring is 49.49%, which is quite close to 50%, suggesting that the bet is almost a coin flip. With the past results of both teams supporting this, it could indicate value in betting on both teams to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

A. Italiano wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Union La Calera 1-1 A. Italiano

1. Matches history: In the last 5 home matches of Union La Calera, they have recorded 2 wins, 1 loss, and 2 draws. On the other hand, A. Italiano has achieved 1 win, 3 losses, and 1 draw in their last 5 away matches. This shows some parity between the two teams and a 1-1 outcome seems plausible.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Union La Calera has a 50% offensive potential and a 57% defensive potential at home, while A. Italiano has a 36% offensive potential and a 43% defensive potential away. Given the average goals scored and conceded by both teams, a 1-1 scoreline is foreseeable.

3. Betting probabilities: The draw has a probability of 31.63%, so both teams have real chances of sharing points. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 49.49% and there is a 66.33% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, which supports the prediction of a 1-1 result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Union La Calera has seen a balanced performance at home, with 40% of wins and draws in its last 5 matches. Having scored 8 goals and conceded 10, its offensive potential is at 50% and defensive potential at 57%.

On the other hand, A. Italiano has been somewhat weak away, only winning 20% of the last 5 matches and drawing in 40% of cases. They have scored less frequently (7 goals) and conceded 9 goals, with offensive potential at 36% and defensive potential at 43%.

The odds indicate a slightly higher probability for Union La Calera to win the match (37.24% at 2.40). A draw has a success probability of 31.63% at 3.25.

The bet ‘under 3.5 goals in the match’ seems to be the safest with a success probability of 85.71% at odds of 1.25. This aligns with the previous performances of both teams, which have shown a trend towards lower scores.

Statistics are fairly even regarding both teams scoring in the match: 49.49% in favor at 1.85 and 50.51% against at 1.90.

Looking at previous matches, Union La Calera has often had close scores at home. In contrast, A. Italiano has had a tougher time away.

In conclusion, the match seems to slightly favor Union La Calera with a fairly high chance of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals scored in the match.

The potential number of goals

In their last 5 matches, Union La Calera with a 40% winning rate and 40% draws, is slightly more successful than A. Italiano who only has a 20% winning rate. However, A. Italiano draws in 40% of cases, suggesting some resilience.

Union La Calera has a negative goal difference, with 8 goals scored and 10 conceded. As for A. Italiano, they have scored 7 goals and conceded 9. Both teams therefore have a defense slightly superior to their attack.

Union La Calera has a 50% offensive potential and 57% defensive potential at home, while A. Italiano has a 36% offensive potential and 43% defensive potential away. The match could therefore lean in favor of Union La Calera.

Probabilities predict a 37.24% chance of success for Union La Calera, 31.63% for a draw, and 31.12% for A. Italiano. The odds are slightly in favor of Union La Calera.

Regarding goals, the most interesting statistics are: Over 1.5 goals with a success probability of 66.33% and Under 3.5 goals with a success probability of 85.71%. It is therefore likely that the match will not have more than 3 goals.

In terms of probability, both teams have almost the same chance of scoring or not, with a 49.49% probability for ‘both teams to score’ and 50.51% for ‘both teams to not score.’

In conclusion, although the two teams are comparable in terms of recent performances, the match could lean towards Union La Calera due to their home statistics.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on recent performances and statistics, it appears that the match between Union La Calera and A. Italiano presents different interesting betting opportunities. Union La Calera, who has shown strength at home, has a higher probability of winning the match or drawing, supported by a probability of 68.88%. This makes this betting option relatively safe.

As for the total number of goals scored during the match, it seems more likely that there will be under 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.73%. The ‘Both teams to score’ option: Yes could also be a wise choice, with a probability of nearly 50%.

However, a ‘value bet’ could be considered on a win for A. Italiano. Despite a poorer away record, they have shown defensive solidity and the generous odds for a victory on their part could offer good profitability.

For punters who appreciate exact score bets, a 1-1 score seems plausible based on the recent performances of both teams and goal statistics.

In summary, although the two teams appear relatively close in terms of performance, Union La Calera may have a slight edge, especially if the match takes place at home for them. However, do not overlook A. Italiano who could surprise and offer good betting value. As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the match!