Tipps Union Santa Fe Newells Old Boys Liga Profesional 02/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Union de Santa Fe wins the match.

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Union de Santa Fe has either won (40%) or drawn (40%) in 80% of cases. Meanwhile, Newell’s Old Boys have not won any of their away matches, with 60% ending in a draw. This suggests a high probability that Union de Santa Fe will not lose this match.

2. In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Union de Santa Fe and Newell’s Old Boys are both around 50%. However, the fact that Union de Santa Fe is playing at home may give them an advantage, as they have scored as many goals as they have conceded (6), while Newell’s Old Boys have scored fewer goals than they have conceded away from home (3 goals scored and conceded).

3. In terms of success probabilities, the event ‘Draw or Union de Santa Fe wins the match’ has a success probability of 72.16%. This is significantly higher than the success probability of ‘Newell’s Old Boys win the match’ (27.84%). Therefore, it is statistically more likely that Union de Santa Fe will win or the match will end in a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The recent performances of both teams show a low average of goals per match, with Union de Santa Fe averaging 1.2 goals per match at home and Newells Old Boys averaging 1.4 goals per match away.

2. The away statistic of Newells Old Boys is particularly compelling, as they have failed to score in three of their last five away matches.

3. The probabilities also suggest a low-scoring match, with a success probability of 84.02% for under 3.5 goals in the match and a success probability of 97.42% for under 4.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have struggled to score many goals. On average, Union de Santa Fe and Newells Old Boys score 1.2 and 1.4 goals per match respectively, which is quite low. Additionally, Newells Old Boys have not won a single away match in their last five games.

2. The odds indicate that the probability of both teams not scoring is 57.22%, with odds of 1.62, which is a fairly strong indication in favor of this outcome. Compare this to the probability of both teams scoring, which is only 42.78%.

3. Finally, looking at recent matches, we see that in three of Union de Santa Fe’s last five home matches, the opposing team failed to score. On the other hand, in three of Newells Old Boys’ last five away matches, they also failed to score. This suggests a lack of scoring potential when they play away from home.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Union de Santa Fe 1-1 Newells Old Boys

1. Recent statistics: At home, Union de Santa Fe has scored and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging around 1 goal per match. On the other hand, Newells Old Boys has also scored and conceded 3 goals in their last 5 away matches, also averaging 1 goal per match. These recent results support the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

2. Teams’ offensive and defensive potential: Union de Santa Fe has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 50%, just like Newells Old Boys with an offensive and defensive potential of 50%. This is an important statistic as it implies that these teams have similar capabilities to score and defend, which could lead to a fairly balanced match and hence, a draw.

3. Draw rate: Union de Santa Fe has had a draw in 40% of their last 5 home matches, while Newells Old Boys has had a draw in 60% of their last 5 away matches. These figures indicate a high probability of the match ending in a draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Union de Santa Fe is inconsistently performing at home with a win rate of 40%. They have both scored and conceded 6 goals. They show an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 50%.

Newells Old Boys, when playing away, have not been very successful with a 0% win rate, but have managed to secure 3 draws. They have scored 3 times and also conceded 3 goals. Their offensive and defensive potentials are both at 50%.

Union is more likely to win the match with a probability of 43.3%, compared to only 27.84% for Newells Old Boys.

Betting suggests a closely contested match with under 2.5 goals (at 1.48) being the most likely outcome. More than 1.5 goals in the match have a success rate of 64.43%.

There is a higher chance (57.22%) that both teams won’t score in this match.

Based on recent matches, Union seems strong against weaker opponents but struggles against stronger teams. Newells Old Boys, on the other hand, find it difficult to score, especially in away matches.

Conclusion: The forecast would be a close match, with Union having a better chance of winning but with less than 2.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Union de Santa Fe has shown a balanced performance at home, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and 1.4 goals conceded. Their offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 50% reflect this equilibrium.

However, Newell’s Old Boys struggle away from home with no matches won, but with an offensive and defensive potential of 50%. A total of 3 goals scored and conceded shows that they are able to defend but struggle to convert their chances into goals.

The prediction indicates a higher probability of Union de Santa Fe winning the match (43.3%), while the probability of a draw is 28.87%. This suggests that Union de Santa Fe might have a slight advantage.

In terms of goals, there is a high probability (84.02%) of there being fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. This suggests that it could be a low-scoring game.

Another key fact is that in 57.22% of cases, both teams do not score. This is another indication that the match may not see many goals.

In summary, Union de Santa Fe appears to have a slight advantage at home with a low probability of many goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To summarize, statistics and probabilities suggest a fairly close match between Union de Santa Fe and Newells Old Boys. Recent performances of both teams indicate a likely trend towards a low score, with a key prediction of less than 2.5 goals during the match. Both teams are expected to lack offensive bite, increasing the probability of both teams failing to score.

Despite their poor away performance, Newells Old Boys have managed to secure a number of draws, which could potentially occur again. However, Union de Santa Fe, playing at home, seems to have a slight advantage, tipping the scales in their favor. A draw could offer an interesting value bet considering the odds and past performances.

The exact score of 1-1 also presents itself as a viable option, taking into account recent statistics and the offensive and defensive potential of each team.

Overall, bettors should expect a tight match, with a high probability of seeing less than 2.5 goals and a real chance of a draw or a slight victory for Union de Santa Fe.