Tipps Universitatea Craiova FCSB Liga I 06/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction for the match is “Draw or Universitatea Craiova wins the match”.

1. Universitatea Craiova’s previous home results: In their last 5 home matches, Universitatea Craiova managed to win or draw in 80% of cases. This is a positive sign for the prediction as it indicates they have a good home performance.

2. Prediction success probabilities: The prediction “Draw or Universitatea Craiova wins the match” has the highest success probability (84.48%). The probabilities show a significant advantage for this prediction compared to others.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Despite Universitatea Craiova having a 43% offensive potential at home, lower than the opposing team, their defense seems stronger with a 50% defensive potential. This could limit FCSB’s ability to score goals, thus increasing the chances of a draw or a win for Universitatea Craiova.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Low average goals: Over their respective last 5 matches, Universitatea Craiova has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match, and FCSB has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match. The combined total is less than 2.5 goals.

2. Recent matches implications: Universitatea Craiova’s recent home matches have seen few goals with 2 or fewer in 4 out of 5 matches. Similarly, in FCSB’s recent away matches, 3 out of 5 matches have seen 2 goals or fewer.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Universitatea Craiova has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 50%. On the other hand, FCSB has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 36%. These statistics indicate that both teams are more defensive, which could result in fewer goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Universitatea Craiova, at home, has shown weak offensive performances, scoring 4 goals in 5 matches. However, they have had a slightly better defensive performance, conceding 5 goals, indicating that matches are generally low-scoring.
2. FCSB, when playing away, has a superior offensive performance with 6 goals scored in 5 matches. However, they also have a weaker defensive performance, conceding 7 goals. They also tend to be involved in low-scoring matches.
3. The fact that the probability of both teams not scoring is slightly higher (50.57%) than the probability of both teams scoring (49.43%) indicates that it is more likely that at least one of the teams will not score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Universitatea Craiova 1-1 FCSB

1. Match History: The history of the last matches shows a trend for a 1-1 scoreline. For example, the last match between Universitatea Craiova and FCSB ended with this score.

2. Goal-related Statistics: Based on past matches, both home and away, it can be observed that both teams have a history of scoring and conceding goals at an average close to 1 goal per match. Thus, a 1-1 score is very probable.

3. Probability of a Draw: The odds indicate a relatively high probability (29.89%) for a draw. Furthermore, the fact that Universitatea Craiova draws in 60% of cases in its last 5 home matches further strengthens this assumption.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Craiova is inconsistent at home, with one win in five games and three draws. They score few goals, with 4, and concede more, with 5.

FCSB performs better away, with a 60% win rate. They are dominant offensively with 6 goals, but their defense often leaks goals, with 7 conceded.

Craiova has average offensive potential (43%) while their defense lacks efficiency (50%).

FCSB has a strong attack (64%) while their defense is rather solid (36%).

The odds suggest a Craiova win (54.6%), followed by a draw (29.89%). FCSB is not the favorite (15.52%).

The score is likely to stay “under” 3.5 goals, with an 85.63% probability.

There is only a 49.43% chance that both teams will score.

Therefore, the forecast suggests a Craiova win with less than 3.5 goals in the match. It is unlikely that both teams will score.

The potential number of goals

Craiova rarely wins at home, with a rate of 20%. Their defense is lacking, conceding more goals (5) than they have scored (4). Their offensive potential at home is low (43%).

On the other hand, FCSB performs well away from home. They win 60% of the time and score an average of 1.8 goals per match. Their defense is solid, with a defensive potential of 64%.

Regarding the match between Universitatea Craiova and FCSB, the probabilities favor Craiova with a probability of 54.6%. A draw or a Craiova win are also likely outcomes (84.48%).

A match with fewer than 3.5 goals seems plausible with a probability of 85.63%. There is a low chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals (79.31% probability).

The recent performances of both teams confirm these conclusions – Craiova struggles to secure wins at home, while FCSB has a good ability to win away.

In conclusion, a close match is to be expected with probably fewer than 3.5 goals. A Craiova win or a draw seem like the most likely outcomes.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis of recent performances and statistics of these two teams, the match between Universitatea Craiova and FCSB is shaping up to be very balanced. My prediction indicates that the most likely outcome would be a draw or a win for Universitatea Craiova. It seems advisable to bet on a total of less than 2.5 goals due to the defensive tendencies of both teams. It is also less likely that both teams will score, so betting against BTTS (both teams to score) seems like an interesting choice. Considering the history of encounters and current performances, the exact score could very well be 1-1, which offers a significant option for those who like to bet on the exact score.