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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction União de Leiria Penafiel
Tipps União de Leiria Penafiel Segunda Liga 25/04/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Draw or União de Leiria wins the match.
1. União de Leiria has a relatively good performance at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. This demonstrates the team’s strength when playing on their own turf.
2. Penafiel has a poor performance when playing away, with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have also conceded more goals than they have scored, indicating some defensive weaknesses.
3. The calculated odds also favor the outcome “Draw or União de Leiria wins the match,” with a success probability of 79.23%, significantly higher than the scenario where Penafiel wins the match, which has a success probability of only 20.77%.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”
1. The statistics show that both União de Leiria and Penafiel have relatively low average goals scored per match (1.4 for União de Leiria and 1.2 for Penafiel). This decreases the likelihood of a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.
2. The probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match is quoted at odds lower than 1.70 by bookmakers – this implies that the event is somewhat likely to occur compared to many other possibilities.
3. In the last 5 home matches of União de Leiria and the last 5 away matches of Penafiel, 7 have ended with less than 2.5 goals. This indicates a recent trend for both teams to be involved in low-scoring matches.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams suggest that they both have a reasonable ability to score goals. União de Leiria has scored 11 goals in 5 home matches, averaging 2.2 goals per match, while Penafiel has scored 5 goals in 5 away matches, averaging one goal per match.
2. Both teams have a goal concession average higher than zero, with União de Leiria conceding an average of 0.8 goals per home match and Penafiel conceding an average of 1 goal per away match. This suggests that they are not impenetrable in defense and are likely to concede goals.
3. Previous match statistics also indicate that both teams frequently score. Except for one home match (União de Leiria 1 – 0 Oliveirense) and one away match (Mafra 0 – 1 Penafiel), all other matches have seen both teams scoring.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Both teams to score – 1.90
1. União de Leiria has a strong offensive performance at home, averaging 1.4 goals per home match and scoring at least once in all of their last 5 home matches. Additionally, União de Leiria has conceded at least one goal in 4 of their last 5 home matches, showing some defensive vulnerability.
2. Penafiel, although slightly less offensive on average away from home than União de Leiria (1.2 goals per match), has scored at least once in 4 of their last 5 away matches. Furthermore, they have conceded goals in 4 of those matches, suggesting a potential for conceding goals as well.
3. Both teams to score has a success probability of 54.64%, which is higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (45.36%). Combined with the offensive and defensive performances of both teams, this suggests a potential value betting opportunity.
Bet on the exact result
União de Leiria 2 – 1 Penafiel
1. União de Leiria, with an offensive potential of 50%, has managed to score an average of 1.4 goals per home match and has a higher probability of winning the match at 46.99%. On the other hand, Penafiel has an offensive potential of 43% and scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match, which could allow them to also score at least one goal.
2. Analysis of recent matches shows that União de Leiria has won 60% of its home matches, with scores fluctuating between 1 and 4 goals, while Penafiel has lost 60% of its away matches but still managed to score at least one goal in 80% of the cases.
3. Considering the goals conceded at home by União de Leiria and the goals scored away by Penafiel, the exact score of 2-1 is in line with the trend observed in the last 5 matches of each team, where Leiria concedes an average of 0.8 goals per home match and Penafiel scores an average of 1 goal per away match.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
União de Leiria has been showing good results at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. Their offensive strength is evident with 11 goals scored, despite a mediocre defense (13 goals conceded).
Penafiel struggles a bit more away from home, with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 away games. Their offensive record is less impressive with 5 goals scored, but their defense is solid (6 goals conceded).
Leiria has an offensive potential of 50% compared to Penafiel’s 43%. In terms of defense, Leiria falls short with 29% compared to Penafiel’s 36%.
The option “draw or União de Leiria win” seems safe with a probability of 79.23% at odds of 1.20. Betting on over 1.5 goals in the match is also interesting with a probability of 73.77% and odds of 1.36.
Betting on under 3.5 goals in the match could be an option (probability of 86.34%), as well as “both teams to score” (probability of 54.64%).
Review the teams’ recent matches to refine your analysis. Currently, Leiria seems to have the edge, but football remains unpredictable.
The potential number of goals
The União de Leiria has proven its strength at home by winning 60% of its last 5 matches. They have scored 11 goals but also conceded 13 goals. On the other hand, Penafiel has a weaker performance away from home where they have won 40% of the games, with only 5 goals scored against 6 conceded.
Leiria has an average of 1.4 goals scored per match against 0.8 conceded. Penafiel is close behind with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1 goal conceded.
Even though Leiria’s offensive potential exceeds Penafiel’s at 50% against 43%, these two teams have almost equivalent defenses. Their probability of winning this match is differentiated, with Penafiel having only a 20.77% chance of success, compared to 46.99% for Leiria.
More precisely, around 73.77% of matches could have more than 1.5 goals. A draw or a Leiria win have a success probability of 79.23%.
Furthermore, both teams have almost equal chances of scoring, with a probability of 54.64%. In conclusion, Leiria presents itself slightly better on the field, thanks to its home performance and offensive potential.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
To conclude, our analysis leads us to favor the bet “Draw or União de Leiria to win the match,” due to the home team’s past performances and Penafiel’s lack of offensive strength away from home. Additionally, a wager on “under 2.5 goals in the match” also seems attractive based on the goal statistics of both teams.
Regarding the option “both teams to score,” the offensive and defensive statistics of each team suggest a yes. It is a bet that appears to offer good value. As for the exact score, Penafiel is likely to score at least one goal away from home, but União de Leiria is expected to ultimately win 2-1.
However, let us not forget that sports betting always involves a risk and it is necessary to think carefully before placing a bet. Many factors can influence the outcome of a match, and it is important to never wager more money than you can afford to lose. Good luck to everyone with your bets.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction União de Leiria against Penafiel on 25/04/2024
1. União de Leiria has a relatively good performance at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. This demonstrates the team’s strength when playing on their own turf.
2. Penafiel has a poor performance when playing away, with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have also conceded more goals than they have scored, indicating some defensive weaknesses.
3. The calculated odds also favor the outcome “Draw or União de Leiria wins the match,” with a success probability of 79.23%, significantly higher than the scenario where Penafiel wins the match, which has a success probability of only 20.77%.
Live Match: Get all the details about the União de Leiria vs Penafiel match!
To not miss anything from the União de Leiria vs Penafiel match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 25/04/2024 in the Segunda Liga live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: União de Leiria vs Penafiel
Lineups União de Leiria
Lineups Penafiel
Match Highlights União de Leiria vs Penafiel on 25/04/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the União de Leiria vs Penafiel match on 25/04/2024 at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between União de Leiria and Penafiel
All statistics for the match between União de Leiria and Penafiel will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison União de Leiria against Penafiel!
Form state of União de Leiria in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team União de Leiria has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team União de Leiria has a form rating of %.
Form state of Penafiel in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Penafiel has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Penafiel has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match União de Leiria against Penafiel!
Average goals scored by União de Leiria in the current season.
Goals scored by União de Leiria in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by União de Leiria
União de Leiria has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by União de Leiria in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by União de Leiria
União de Leiria has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Penafiel in the current season
Goals scored by Penafiel in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Penafiel
Penafiel has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Penafiel in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Penafiel
Penafiel has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of União de Leiria and Penafiel, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions União de Leiria vs Penafiel: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The statistics show that both União de Leiria and Penafiel have relatively low average goals scored per match (1.4 for União de Leiria and 1.2 for Penafiel). This decreases the likelihood of a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.
2. The probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match is quoted at odds lower than 1.70 by bookmakers – this implies that the event is somewhat likely to occur compared to many other possibilities.
3. In the last 5 home matches of União de Leiria and the last 5 away matches of Penafiel, 7 have ended with less than 2.5 goals. This indicates a recent trend for both teams to be involved in low-scoring matches.
Forecast results from winflix for União de Leiria and Penafiel!
The last 5 winning predictions für União de Leiria
The last 5 winning predictions für Penafiel
How do I find the best forecast for União de Leiria Penafiel?
Finding a forecast for the União de Leiria Penafiel match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of União de Leiria Penafiel on 25/04/2024 in Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa are the team's past performance in the Segunda Liga, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by União de Leiria at home and Penafiel away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 25/04/2024.
To evaluate the current form of União de Leiria and Penafiel on 25/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Segunda Liga, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, União de Leiria could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of União de Leiria and Penafiel, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of União de Leiria and the away win rate of Penafiel, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 25/04/2024!
The individual performances of players from União de Leiria and Penafiel can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 25/04/2024 at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of União de Leiria and Penafiel, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by União de Leiria or Penafiel on 25/04/2024.
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