Tipps Urawa Gamba Osaka J1 League 20/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Urawa Red Diamonds or draw.

1. Urawa Red Diamonds has a better home performance than Gamba Osaka on the road: The home win rate of Urawa Red Diamonds (40%) is twice as high as that of Gamba Osaka on the road (20%). Additionally, Urawa Red Diamonds also has an equal number of draws at home (40%) as Gamba Osaka on the road.

2. Urawa Red Diamonds has a better offensive performance at home than Gamba Osaka on the road: They average 2 goals per game at home, while Gamba Osaka only averages 0.6 goals on the road. Furthermore, the offensive potential of Urawa Red Diamonds is much higher at home (71%) compared to Gamba Osaka on the road (21%).

3. The defenses of Urawa Red Diamonds and Gamba Osaka have similar performances, with an average of 1.6 and 1 goal conceded per game, respectively. However, the defensive potential of Urawa Red Diamonds at home (57%) is higher than that of Gamba Osaka on the road (36%), indicating that Urawa Red Diamonds has a better chance of not conceding goals at home than Gamba Osaka on the road.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. In the last 5 home matches, Urawa Red Diamonds have an offensive potential of 71% but a defensive potential of only 57%. This suggests that while they score regularly, they also tend to concede goals.
2. Gamba Osaka, on the other hand, have a low offensive potential away from home, averaging only 0.6 goals per match. Their defensive statistic is better with a defensive potential of 36%, suggesting that they tend to keep the number of goals they concede to a minimum when playing away.
3. Looking at recent statistics, it is notable that in their respective last 5 matches, neither Urawa Red Diamonds nor Gamba Osaka have exceeded a total of 2.5 goals in a match. Considering these recent match behaviors, it is reasonable to assume that fewer than 2.5 goals could be scored during their encounter.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Gamba Osaka’s offensive potential is very low away with only 0.6 goals scored on average in their last 5 matches. This means it is unlikely that they will score against Urawa Red Diamonds.
2. Urawa Red Diamonds have a relatively strong defensive potential when playing at home (57%), and they have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match. Given Gamba Osaka’s weak offensive potential, it is likely that Urawa Red Diamonds will not allow the opponent to score.
3. In Gamba Osaka’s last 5 away matches, they have failed to score in two matches. Furthermore, in Urawa Red Diamonds’ last 5 home matches, they have kept a clean sheet twice. These trends reinforce the idea that Gamba Osaka may not score a goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Urawa Red Diamonds wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Gamba Osaka.

1. Urawa Red Diamonds’ offensive efficiency at home: With an average of 2 goals scored per game in their last 5 home matches, Urawa Red Diamonds show significant attacking strength, suggesting they will have plenty of scoring opportunities during the match.

2. Gamba Osaka’s defensive vulnerability away from home: Gamba Osaka has conceded an average of 1 goal per game in their last 5 away matches. This trend could continue against the offensively strong Urawa Red Diamonds team, who have shown good home performance.

3. Urawa Red Diamonds’ previous statistics: Urawa Red Diamonds’ past performances indicate they are more likely to win at home. In their last 5 home matches, they won 40% of the time and drew 40% of the time. Therefore, a 2-1 scoreline in their favor seems like a plausible prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Urawa Red Diamonds has shown a balanced performance at home in their last 5 matches, with a 40% win rate and 40% draws. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 13 goals. Their offensive potential is at 71% and their defensive potential is at 57%.

On the other hand, Gamba Osaka has struggled in their away games, only winning 20% of their last 5 matches and settling for a draw in 40% of cases. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5 goals. Their offensive potential is only at 21% and their defensive potential is at 36%.

Urawa Red Diamonds seem to be in a good position. Even though the team has conceded more goals, their higher offensive potential could offset that. However, with a 0% chance for each team to win the match, there could also be potential for a draw.

A key factor to consider is that the probabilities indicate a 100% chance that both teams will not score. Additionally, statistics confirm that there will be less than 3.5 goals in the match and less than 4.5 goals with a probability of 100%.

In conclusion, a safe bet could be to wager on a match with few goals scored, possibly none. Another option could be a draw, although this is not explicitly supported by the data.

The potential number of goals

Urawa Red Diamonds have a good home form with 40% of victories and the same number of draws. They have an average of 2 goals per match, despite a defensive potential of 57%. Gamba Osaka, on the other hand, only wins 20% of their away games, with an average of 0.6 goals per match. Their defense seems stronger with a 36% rate.

Recent matches show a stronger offense from Urawa, especially against Sagan Tosu (3-0) and Avispa Fukuoka (2-1). For Gamba, they struggle to score away as seen in matches against Yokohama F. Marinos (2-0) or Consadole Sapporo (1-0).

Overall data indicates a trend of matches with less than 3.5 goals. Urawa Red Diamonds might have an advantage, given their strong offensive performances at home. However, the lack of precision on probabilities leaves room for uncertainty.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistical analysis suggests several possibilities for the match between Urawa Red Diamonds and Gamba Osaka. On one hand, considering Urawa’s strong home form and Gamba’s struggles away, a bet on a Urawa Red Diamonds win or a draw could be wise.
On the other hand, both teams have shown a tendency to have fewer than 2.5 goals scored per match, so a bet on “under 2.5 goals in the match” could be a safe option. Additionally, given Gamba Osaka’s limited offensive potential away and Urawa’s strong defense at home, it is likely that both teams will not score during the match.
However, despite these statistical trends, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves an element of risk and uncertainty. It is therefore recommended to always set betting limits appropriate to one’s personal situation and never bet more money than one can afford to lose.