Tipps USA Colombia Matchs amicaux 08/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Colombia wins the match.

1. Past match statistics show that Colombia has a strong performance away from home, winning in 60% of cases and drawing in 40% of cases. Additionally, they maintain a balanced record in terms of goals scored and conceded (5 goals in each case).

2. Colombia’s offensive and defensive potential compared to that of the USA also suggests a higher probability of a draw or a Colombian victory. The average goals scored and conceded per match are slightly lower for Colombia, indicating better defensive management compared to the USA.

3. The success probabilities of different match outcomes demonstrate that the bet “Draw or Colombia wins the match” has a success probability of 69.15%, which is higher than that of the bet “Draw or USA wins the match” (65.43%). This suggests a slight advantage in favor of Colombia to secure at least a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics of both teams show that they have a low average of goals per match. The average number of goals per match for the USA at home is 1.8 and for Colombia away is 1.6. These figures indicate a tendency towards matches with less than 2.5 goals.

2. The odds assigned to the various possible outcomes of the match also indicate a higher probability of a match with less than 2.5 goals. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.68, lower than those for over 2.5 goals which are 2.15. This is generally an indicator of the perceived probability by bookmakers.

3. The recent matches of both teams also show a trend towards low scores. In the last 5 matches of each team, 4 matches for the USA at home and 5 matches for Colombia away have had less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from previous matches show a clear trend of both teams scoring goals. USA has scored 11 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Colombia has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The offensive potential of both teams is significant. USA has a 64% offensive potential at home, and Colombia has a 57% offensive potential away, indicating that both teams have a tendency to score goals in their matches.

3. Both teams have also shown a certain level of defensive weakness. USA concedes an average of 0.8 goals per match at home, and Colombia concedes an average of 0.6 goals per match away. This defensive vulnerability increases the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

USA 1-1 Colombia

1. The recent performances of both teams are quite similar: in the USA as well as in Colombia, they have a 60% win rate and a 40% draw rate. Additionally, on average, both teams have a similar goal frequency (1.8 for the USA and 1.6 for Colombia), suggesting a balanced scoreline.

2. The odds slightly favor a draw (34.57% probability) or a Colombia win (34.57% probability). The evenly matched odds indicate that bookmakers see this as a potentially very close match.

3. Goal statistics show both teams have a low goals conceded rate (0.8 for the USA and 0.6 for Colombia) and a high likelihood (45% probability) that both teams will score, consistent with a 1-1 score line.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The USA will put on a solid performance at home, having won 60% of their last 5 matches. They score an average of 1.8 goals per match. However, their defense is lacking, having conceded 14 goals.

On the other hand, Colombia also shows a similar strength with 60% of victories in their last 5 away matches. Their attackers score less (1.6 on average) but their defense is stronger, having conceded only 5 goals.

The probabilities slightly favor Colombia, with a 34.57% chance of winning, the same as a draw. A double bet “Draw or Colombia wins” has a probability of 69.15%.

Regarding the number of goals, the bet is on less than 3.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 83.51%.

Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 57.45%.

Therefore, even though the USA and Colombia seem relatively balanced in terms of recent victories, Colombia’s stronger defense could make the difference.

The potential number of goals

Recent home matches for the USA show a variable offensive and defensive capacity with 11 goals scored and 14 conceded. Colombia, playing away, displays similar performances: 5 goals scored and the same number conceded. On average, the USA scores 1.8 goals per home match and concedes 0.8, with an offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 29%. For Colombia, the numbers are 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded on average, with an offensive potential of 57% and defensive potential of 21%.

In this context, the probability of victory for the USA is estimated at 30.85%, while Colombia’s is slightly higher at 34.57%. The scenario of a draw also has a probability of 34.57%.

Regarding the total goals, there is a high probability (72.87%) of having more than 1.5 goals in the match. Similarly, a very high probability of 95.21% indicates that there would be fewer than 4.5 goals in this match.

In conclusion, the probability of both teams scoring is 57.45%. These statistics suggest a balanced match with chances for both teams to score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this friendly football match between the USA and Colombia is likely to be intense and highly contested. Based on my analysis, it is more likely that the match will end in a draw or a victory for Colombia. There is also a high probability that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals scored, despite the offensive tendencies of both teams in their recent matches. Furthermore, there is a relatively high probability that both teams will score at least one goal. In terms of value bets, a total of over 2.5 goals for the match could offer an interesting value bet. However, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves risks, and every bettor should therefore gamble responsibly, within their means.