Tipps Uzbekistan Turkmenistan World Cup - Qualification Asia 06/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Uzbekistan wins the match

1. Home Statistics: Uzbekistan has had a 60% win rate in their last 5 home matches and also scored 11 goals. This demonstrates their strong performance on their own turf.

2. Turkmenistan’s Away Statistics: Turkmenistan, on the other hand, has not won any of their last 5 away matches, with a 0% win rate, indicating a poor performance on the road.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Uzbekistan has a 64% offensive potential and 21% defensive potential at home, while Turkmenistan has a 21% offensive potential and a very high 93% defensive potential away. These statistics suggest that Uzbekistan has better chances of scoring than Turkmenistan and may be more effective in terms of defense.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Uzbekistan has a home offensive potential of 64%, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match. On the other hand, Turkmenistan has a very weak away offensive potential of 21% with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match. This indicates that the probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this match is relatively low.

2. Looking at the defensive potential, Uzbekistan has a 21% potential of conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match. For Turkmenistan, the defensive potential is very high away from home at 93% and concedes an average of 2.6 goals. This strengthens the argument for a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.

3. Studying recent performances, in Uzbekistan’s last 5 home matches, 4 have had fewer than 3 goals, while for Turkmenistan, all of their last 5 away matches have had fewer than 3 goals. This shows a recent trend for matches with fewer than 2.5 goals for these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Turkmenistan has a very low offensive potential away from home (21%), with an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 outings. This means they struggle to score when playing away.
2. Uzbekistan’s defensive potential is also strong when they play at home, conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 home games. This indicates they are solid in defense, especially when playing at home.
3. Looking at the head-to-head records, Turkmenistan has failed to score a single goal against teams like Iran, Kazakhstan, and Indonesia in their away matches. Given Uzbekistan’s stronger defense at home, it is likely that Turkmenistan will struggle to score in this match as well.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Uzbekistan wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Uzbekistan 2-0 Turkmenistan

1. Recent statistics favor Uzbekistan: In their last five home matches, Uzbekistan has won more than half of their games (60%), scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match. In contrast, Turkmenistan has not won any of their last five away matches, and has a much lower offensive potential (21%).

2. Uzbekistan’s defense is better: Uzbekistan concedes an average of only 0.6 goals per match at home, compared to Turkmenistan’s average of 2.6 goals conceded per match away. This illustrates the defensive superiority of the Uzbekistan team, increasing the chances of a clean sheet.

3. Previous match trends: Uzbekistan’s last five home matches have shown a strong ability to score, with several matches seeing more than 2 goals (such as against Hong Kong and Kyrgyzstan). On the other hand, Turkmenistan struggles to score away from home, as demonstrated in their last five matches. These trends enhance the probability of a 2-0 scoreline in favor of Uzbekistan.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Uzbekistan, at home, have shown solid form with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored a total of 11 goals, averaging 2.2 goals per game. However, their defense seems weak, conceding 13 goals.

On the other hand, Turkmenistan has struggled away from home, with no wins in 5 matches, but 2 draws. Their attack has been lackluster, scoring only 3 goals, while their defense has conceded 5 times.

Based on these performances, Uzbekistan seems to have a clear advantage, especially with their offensive potential of 64% compared to Turkmenistan’s 21%.

However, probability statistics do not predict a specific outcome of the match. Both teams are not expected to score according to the probabilities, indicating a possibility of a low-scoring game.

Taking recent history into account, Uzbekistan has shown an ability to score against various teams. Turkmenistan has struggled, particularly against strong teams away from home.

Ultimately, Uzbekistan looks stronger, but football is unpredictable. A safe prediction is not possible here. However, a match with fewer than 3.5 goals seems probable.

The potential number of goals

Uzbekistan shows strength at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. Their attack, scoring 11 goals, is more powerful than their defense, which has conceded 13 goals.

On the other hand, Turkmenistan has not performed well away from home recently. They have not won any away matches in their last 5 games, scoring only 3 goals and conceding 5 in return.

When it comes to scoring, Uzbekistan demonstrates its offensive strength, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match. Defensively, the team is solid, conceding only 0.6 goals per match.

In contrast, Turkmenistan struggles. They only score an average of 0.6 goals per match and concede 2.6 goals.

Performance analysis suggests that the match is likely to have fewer than 3.5 goals, and both teams will not score. Therefore, Uzbekistan seems to have a clear advantage for this match with more offensive and defensive potential, although football can always spring surprises.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the statistics of home and away performance, offensive and defensive potential, as well as recent performances of both teams, Uzbekistan appears to be the favorite to win the match against Turkmenistan. The safest bet seems to be “Uzbekistan to win the match” with a potential for a value bet. Furthermore, the number of goals in the match is likely to be under 2.5, confirmed by the offensive and defensive potential of both teams. Despite Uzbekistan’s offensive potential at home, both teams are unlikely to score, given Turkmenistan’s weak offensive potential away. By betting on the exact score, a prediction of 2-0 in favor of Uzbekistan seems to be a wise choice. However, even though the predictions favor Uzbekistan, football remains an unpredictable sport and anything can happen during the match.