Tipps vaasa PS HJK helsinki Veikkausliiga 20/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

HJK Helsinki wins the match.

1. In their last 5 away matches, HJK Helsinki has shown a better offensive and defensive ratio than VPS Vaasa in their last 5 home matches. With an offensive potential of 71% compared to VPS Vaasa’s 43%, and a defensive potential of 43% compared to VPS Vaasa’s 79%, Helsinki has demonstrated a more balanced performance.

2. Probability statistics also suggest an advantage for HJK Helsinki with a win probability of 48.77% compared to 29.63% for VPS Vaasa. Furthermore, the combined probability of a draw or HJK Helsinki win is 70.37%.

3. In their recent encounters, HJK Helsinki has already shown their ability to win against VPS Vaasa with a 3-1 victory in their last away match. This recent win confirms their potential superiority in this encounter.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent statistics show a trend towards high-scoring matches for both teams. VPS Vaasa has scored 9 goals and conceded 12 goals in their last 5 home matches, while HJK Helsinki has scored 10 goals and conceded 12 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Both teams display a high offensive potential, as evidenced by their goals per match average (1.2 for VPS Vaasa and 2 for HJK Helsinki). This indicates that they are both capable of scoring goals, increasing the likelihood of a total of over 2.5 goals.

3. The calculated probability (59.88%) for over 2.5 goals in the match is relatively high, indicating favorable conditions for a high-scoring encounter. Furthermore, recent head-to-head matches between the two teams have exceeded this total, as seen in the previous match which ended with a 3-1 score in favor of HJK Helsinki.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that both teams have a strong offense; they have indeed scored 9 and 10 goals respectively in their last 5 matches. It is therefore plausible that they will both score in the upcoming match.
2. Both teams have also shown weaknesses in defense in their last 5 matches, conceding 12 goals each. This suggests that they both struggle to keep a clean sheet, thus favoring the option of both teams scoring.
3. Finally, previous encounters between VPS Vaasa and HJK Helsinki often show matches where both teams have managed to score, as evidenced by the last match ending with a score of 3-1 in favor of HJK Helsinki. This past trend supports the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match” at odds of 1.50.

Bet on the exact result

VPS Vaasa 1-2 HJK Helsinki

1. The analysis of the recent performances of both teams shows a trend of HJK Helsinki scoring more goals away from home than VPS Vaasa does at home, with respective averages of 2 goals against 1.2 goals. This justifies anticipating a potentially higher score for HJK Helsinki.
2. Probabilities based on the odds give HJK Helsinki a higher probability of winning (48.77% compared to 29.63% for VPS Vaasa). This indicates that bookmakers also see HJK Helsinki as more likely to win this match.
3. The last match between VPS Vaasa and HJK Helsinki at VPS Vaasa’s home ended in a 1-3 victory for HJK Helsinki, which is close to the exact score prediction of 1-2. This demonstrates a favorable historical trend supporting the hypothesis that HJK Helsinki could once again outperform VPS Vaasa on their turf.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

VPS Vaasa has won 2 out of their last 5 home matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 12. It’s worth noting that they draw matches in 60% of cases.
On the other hand, HJK Helsinki has won 2 out of their last 5 away games, scoring 10 goals and conceding 12. They only draw matches 20% of the time.
In terms of offensive potential, VPS Vaasa averages 1.2 goals at home, while HJK Helsinki scores 2 goals away. Defensively, VPS Vaasa concedes 2.2 goals at home and HJK Helsinki 1.2 away.
According to predictions, HJK Helsinki has a higher probability of winning, with 48.77% compared to 29.63% for VPS Vaasa. A draw is still possible with a 21.6% chance.
In terms of betting, going for over 1.5 goals in the match seems like a good choice with a 77.78% chance of success. It could also be wise to bet on both teams to score, with a probability of 61.73%.
In summary, this match looks tight but HJK Helsinki seems to be in a better position to win, while still being cautious against VPS Vaasa who defend well at home.

The potential number of goals

VPS Vaasa and HJK Helsinki will be facing each other. The recent home performances of VPS Vaasa have been rather mediocre, with a victory in only 40% of the matches, drawing in 60% of the cases. In these games, they have scored 9 goals and conceded 12.

On the other hand, HJK Helsinki performs decently away from home. In their last 5 matches, they have won 40% of the games and drawn 20% of the time. They have also scored 10 goals and conceded 12.

In terms of potential, VPS Vaasa has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 79%. HJK Helsinki, on the other hand, has a higher offensive potential with 71% and a defensive potential of 43%.

Based on the probabilities, HJK Helsinki has a 48.77% chance of winning the match, while VPS Vaasa has a 29.63% chance of winning. The draw has a probability of 21.6%.

Regarding the number of goals, the probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match is 77.78%. Both teams have a 61.73% chance of scoring during the match.

Looking at the recent matches of each team, VPS Vaasa has struggled to maintain a solid defense, regularly conceding goals. In contrast, HJK Helsinki has shown strength in attack, even away from home.

From all this, it appears that HJK Helsinki has a slight advantage, but VPS Vaasa could potentially surprise. However, a high-scoring match can be expected given Helsinki’s offensive potential and Vaasa’s weak defense.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, the statistical and probabilistic analysis of this match between VPS Vaasa and HJK Helsinki strongly favors HJK Helsinki as the most likely to win. This is supported by several key factors, including their recent performance, their superior offensive potential compared to VPS Vaasa, and their past victories in direct confrontations.

The bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” seems to be an intelligent choice based on both teams’ tendency to engage in high-scoring games, and the calculated probability for both teams to score in the match is also relatively high, further highlighting their offensive abilities.

An interesting bet to consider is “Under 3.5 goals in the match” at odds of 1.50, taking into account the average number of goals per match in VPS Vaasa’s home games and HJK Helsinki’s away games, both of which are lower than the total of this bet.

Lastly, a correct score prediction of VPS Vaasa 1-2 HJK Helsinki could be considered due to past trends and the current offensive capabilities of both teams.

However, it is important to remember that while statistics and probabilities can help inform our preferences, nothing is guaranteed in the world of sports and each match is influenced by a multitude of unpredictable factors. Therefore, it is crucial to bet responsibly.