Tipps Valencia Barcelona La Liga 17/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Barcelona wins the match.”

1. Barcelona’s winning rate in their last 5 away matches is 60%, which is significantly higher than Valencia’s historical home winning rate.
2. Barcelona has a much stronger offensive capacity compared to Valencia at home, with an average of 2.2 goals per match against 0.6 for Valencia. Additionally, their offensive potential is at 79%, a significant contrast to Valencia’s defensive potential of 50%.
3. The statistical probability of success indicates that Barcelona has a 55.1% chance of winning, which is much higher than Valencia’s chances of winning or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Barcelona’s offensive potential away from home is high, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match over the last 5 games. This statistic shows that Barcelona has a strong ability to score goals, even away from home.

2. Valencia tends to concede goals at home, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match in their last 5 home games. Additionally, their defensive potential is at 50%, meaning there is a high likelihood that they will concede at least one goal to Barcelona.

3. The estimated probability of having more than 2.5 goals in the match is 54.08%. This statistic, based on the past performances of both teams, indicates that it is more likely for the total number of goals to exceed 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Teams’ scoring trend: Barcelona scores an average of 2.2 goals per match and Valencia scores an average of 0.6 goals per match. Both teams have shown their offensive potential, which may indicate they are likely to score in this match.

2. Teams’ conceding trend: Valencia concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match and Barcelona concedes an average of 1 goal per match. This trend increases the probability of both teams scoring.

3. Past match statistics: In the last 5 matches, Barcelona has scored in each one, regardless of the host team. As for Valencia, despite a narrow win at home, they have managed to score in some matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Valencia 1-2 Barcelona

1. Barcelona’s statistics are significantly more favorable, with a 55.1% probability of winning compared to only 19.9% for Valencia. Additionally, Barcelona has a marked tendency to score more goals on average per match, while Valencia shows a significant defensive weakness.

2. Barcelona’s recent away matches demonstrate consistency in their ability to win games and score at least two goals per match. This contrasts with Valencia’s home performance, which struggles to win games and often concedes one or two goals.

3. The odds of over 2.5 goals in the match – 54.08% probability of success: 1.78 and under 3.5 goals in the match – 71.94% probability of success: 1.40 support the prediction of a 2-1 scoreline, favoring a match with an average of goals scored in that range.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Valencia is struggling at home. No wins in their last 5 matches, with a 60% draw rate. Additionally, they have scored only 2 goals and conceded the same number.

Barcelona is strong away from home, with a 60% win rate. They have scored 9 goals but also conceded the same.

Valencia has an offensive weakness at home, with an average of 0.6 goals per match, compared to 2.2 for Barcelona away from home.

Valencia’s defense is more solid, conceding 1.4 goals per match compared to Barcelona’s 1.

The odds favor Barcelona with a 55.1% probability of winning the match. A draw or a Barcelona win combined have an 80.1% probability.

There is an 80.1% probability of the match having more than 1.5 goals. There is a 54.08% probability for more than 2.5 goals.

Both teams have scored in 55.1% of cases.

Looking at their recent matches, Valencia has lost 3 times at home. Barcelona has won 3 of their last 5 matches away from home.

Conclusion: Favor Barcelona for this match and expect to see some goals.

The potential number of goals

The match is being played in Valencia. Valencia’s recent home matches show that they often concede goals. They have not won any of their last five home matches.

Barcelona has won 60% of their away matches. That’s a strong performance. They have scored a lot, but have also conceded quite a few goals.

Valencia has scored an average of 0.6 goals at home. That’s low. However, they also concede more goals, with an average of 1.4 per match.

Barcelona is an attacking team away from home, with an average of 2.2 goals per match. Better than Valencia. They have a more efficient defense, conceding only 1 goal on average.

So, Valencia only has a 19.9% chance of winning. Barcelona has a 55.1% chance. A draw has a probability of 25%. Valencia struggles offensively, which favors Barcelona.

Given these statistics, we can expect a match with over 1.5 goals (80.1% probability). Both teams could score (55.1% probability).

These insights can help in making predictions. But remember, nothing is ever certain in football.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, forecasts and statistics clearly indicate that Barcelona has a higher chance of winning this match with a probability of 55.1%. Valencia’s trends of conceding goals and being less offensive at home favor Barcelona, especially considering Barcelona has shown a strong offensive capability, even in away matches.

However, despite Barcelona’s impressive performance, both teams have the potential to score based on their respective past performances. Forecasts also suggest that the total number of goals in the match will likely exceed 2.5, with a probability of 54.08%.

Regarding betting value, betting on fewer than 3.5 goals in the match has a high probability of 71.94%, which could be an interesting bet to consider.

Finally, the estimated score of 2-1 in favor of Barcelona is considered plausible based on the history of both teams.

It is important to note, however, that football is unpredictable and these forecasts do not guarantee the final outcome of the match. Sports bettors should always wager responsibly.