Tipps Valencia Osasuna La Liga 24/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Valencia wins the match

1. Recent performances by Valencia at home show that they have managed to avoid defeat in 60% of matches (20% wins and 40% draws). This demonstrates some home solidity, despite a defense that can be tested but generally remains competitive.

2. Osasuna has struggled away from home, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 away matches and no draws. Despite having a more potent offensive potential than Valencia away from home with an average of 1.2 goals per match, their defense concedes on average as many goals as Valencia at home (2 goals per match), giving Valencia the edge.

3. Overall statistics give a success probability of 75.94% to the prediction “Draw or Valencia wins the match,” which is higher than the probabilities associated with the other possible outcomes of the match (Osasuna win: 24.06%, Valencia win: 41.18%, draw: 34.76%). This high probability linked to this prediction indicates that it is the most plausible based on the available data.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The average number of goals scored in the last five matches for both Valencia and Osasuna is less than 2.5 goals per match: Valencia with an average of 0.6 goals per match and Osasuna with an average of 1.2, totaling 1.8 goals which is less than 2.5 goals.

2. The defenses of Valencia and Osasuna seem quite solid with defense percentages of 71% each. This means that their encounters are generally low-scoring, reinforcing the likelihood that their match will produce less than 2.5 goals.

3. Valencia’s home matches tend to have few goals, as do Osasuna’s away matches. Recent matches show a generally low number of goals, increasing the chances of a total of less than 2.5 goals for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent performance of both teams shows a tendency to score: Valencia has scored at least one goal in 3 of their last 5 home matches, while Osasuna has scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

2. Defensive statistics for Valencia and Osasuna are quite low: Valencia has conceded a total of 6 goals in 5 matches (average of 1.2 goals per match), while Osasuna has conceded 7 goals in 5 away matches (average of 1.4 goals per match).

3. While Valencia has a lower offensive potential at 21%, Osasuna’s is at 43%. Both teams therefore have the ability to score at least one goal, considering their low defensive potential of 71% each.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Osasuna to win the match – 1.75

Bet on the exact result

Valencia 1-1 Osasuna

1. Both teams have similar potential defensive percentages (Valencia at 71%, Osasuna at 71%), suggesting they are equally likely to concede 1 goal. Past home scores for Valencia and away scores for Osasuna also support this argument.

2. The average goals scored per match for both teams at home and away (Valencia at 0.6, Osasuna at 1.2) are below 2, indicating a potentially low-scoring match. With odds for under 1.5 goals and under 2.5 goals in the match being 2.75 and 1.58 respectively, the data supports a low total number of goals.

3. The probability percentages for a draw (34.76%) and Valencia winning the match (41.18%) are relatively high compared to the probability of Osasuna winning the match (24.06%). Valencia drawing at home 40% of the time and Osasuna losing away 80% of the time also suggest a draw as a likely outcome.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Analysis decoded in progress. Valencia, at home, has a 20% win rate, 40% draws. Osasuna away from home has a 20% win rate, no draws. Valencia has scored 5 goals, Osasuna as well. However, Valencia has conceded 6 goals compared to 7 for Osasuna.

On average, Valencia scores 0.6 goals per home match and concedes 2 goals. Osasuna scores more often, at 1.2 per match, but also concedes 2 goals on average. Note that Osasuna has a higher offensive potential than Valencia (43% vs 21%). Their defenses are evenly matched at 71% potential.

Regarding the probability of results, Valencia has a 41.18% chance of winning. The draw is at 34.76%. Finally, Osasuna holds a 24.06% chance of victory.

The most likely option is for the match to end with fewer than 3.5 goals (88.77% probability). Looking at previous matches, this is a trend that holds true.

A small prediction: betting on less than 3.5 goals seems like an interesting option. Please check the latest information before placing your bet.

The potential number of goals

Valencia, at home, has been underperforming recently. In their last 5 matches, they have only won once. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 6. Their defense seems to be struggling more than their attack.

Osasuna, away from home, has a similar record. They have won only once in their last 5 matches. Their defense has been breached 7 times while their attack has struggled with only 5 goals scored. Against Valencia, they might have a tough time.

Assessing the probabilities of victory, Valencia holds the majority with 41.18%. However, a draw is still a possibility with a 34.76% chance. Osasuna winning is the least likely scenario.

Regarding goals scored, the probabilities lean towards a match with fewer than 3.5 goals. This trend is supported by the fact that in the majority of both teams’ previous matches, the total goals scored did not exceed this threshold.

It is also interesting to note that the probability of both teams not scoring is slightly higher than both teams scoring. This could suggest a tight match.

In conclusion, a safe prediction could be a match with fewer than 3.5 goals scored. Valencia has a chance to win or draw, but given their recent form, a draw seems like a reasonable prediction.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account the recent performances of both teams, their defensive and offensive situations, and analyzing the various probabilities, several trends emerge for the La Liga match between Valencia and Osasuna. A likely prediction would be “Draw or Valencia wins the match,” supported by a notable success probability of 75.94%.

Furthermore, the game seems to lean towards a total of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match, reinforced by the low average goals for each team and their strong defensive performances. However, the trend suggests that both teams will score during the match, meaning a 1-1 scoreline could be worth considering for a correct score bet.

Regarding the bet offering the best value, “Draw or Osasuna wins the match” seems to be an attractive option with odds of 1.75, which are higher than the inverse probability of the event. This could provide a significant return on investment if the result confirms.

In conclusion, any bet should consider the many factors at play, and these predictions are based on the teams’ recent performances and statistics. Staying informed about the latest news is crucial before placing your bet.