Tipps Valencia Real Betis La Liga 20/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Valencia wins the match

1. Valencia has a higher performance at home compared to Real Betis away. With a win rate of 40%, Valencia seems to have an advantage over Real Betis, which has only won 20% of their last away matches.

2. The calculated success rates also show a greater probability of Valencia winning the match or it ending in a draw, at 68.09%, compared to a winning probability for Real Betis of only 31.91%.

3. Valencia’s defensive potential at home is significantly higher than that of Real Betis away, 7% versus 79%. This means that Valencia tends to concede fewer goals at home, increasing their chances of not losing.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The goal per match ratio of Valencia at home is relatively low with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match and 0.2 goals conceded per match. This indicates a tendency towards low-scoring matches.

2. In the last 5 away matches of Real Betis, an average of 1.4 goals were scored and 2.2 goals were conceded. Despite a slightly higher number of goals conceded, the total average goals involved in these matches remains below 2.5.

3. The previous encounters between the two teams at Valencia’s home ground also show a tendency towards low-scoring matches. With results such as: Valencia 0 – 0 Mallorca, Valencia 1 – 0 Getafe, Valencia 2 – 2 Real Madrid, it strengthens the argument for less than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Historical data shows a clear trend that both teams have difficulties maintaining a solid defense. Valencia has conceded 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Real Betis has also conceded 6 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. With a 21% home offensive potential for Valencia and a 50% away offensive potential for Real Betis, it is evident that both teams have the ability to score goals even in challenging circumstances.

3. The calculated probability of both teams scoring is rather high (52.66%), indicating a competitive and offensive match for both teams.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 1.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Valencia 1-1 Real Betis Seville

1. Recent Match History: In Valencia’s last 5 home matches, there has only been one game where more than two goals were scored. In Betis Seville’s last 5 away matches, only two games were won, indicating a struggle to achieve results.

2. Detailed Performances: Valencia averages 0.6 goals per home match and has a relatively solid defense, conceding only 0.2 goals on average. Betis Seville scores an average of 1.4 goals away but concedes 2.2 goals per match. Betis’ offensive potential is not strong enough to overcome Valencia’s defense, leading to a likelihood of both teams scoring a goal.

3. Statistical Probabilities: Based on success probabilities, a draw has a 34.04% probability, nearly equal to Valencia winning the match. Additionally, the scenario of “under 1.5 goals in the match” has high odds but a lower probability than “over 1.5 goals in the match,” suggesting the score could be 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

– Valencia, in good form at home, has won 2 of their last 5 matches. However, they have scored few goals with 5 goals in 5 matches.
– Conversely, Real Betis, away from home, seems more fragile with 1 win in 5 matches and an equally porous defense conceding 6 goals.
– Valencia stands out for their solid defense, conceding on average 0.2 goals per match. Their attack is lacking.
– For Real Betis, the attack is more efficient with an average of 1.4 goals, but their defense is lacking.
– The bet “under 3.5 goals in the match” seems safe with a possible success rate of 90.96%.
– The probability of a draw or a Valencia win is significant at 68.09% according to the odds.
– Despite recent victories, Valencia has scored little, a sign of a declining attack.
– Betis is often overwhelmed in defense in their recent matches, indicating a potential weakness.
– Betting on both teams to score could be a good option with a 52.66% chance.
– In summary, this match seems to lean towards a close contest with chances of a draw. A match with under 3.5 goals would also be likely.

The potential number of goals

Valencia has won 2 out of their last 5 home games, without any draws. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6. On the other hand, Real Betis only has one away win in their last five outings, with one draw. They have scored as many goals as they have conceded: 6.

On average, Valencia has been relatively unproductive in attack at home (0.6 goals per game) and solid defensively (0.2 goals conceded). Real Betis is more offensive away from home (1.4 goals per game), but also more vulnerable (2.2 goals conceded). Their offensive potential sits at 50%, while their defense shows 79%.

Taking into account the calculated probabilities, a draw or a Valencia win is more likely (68.09%). The risk of a match with less than 1.5 goals is low (2.80), while a match with more than 1.5 goals has a success probability of 70.74%. The possibility of both teams scoring is close to half (52.66%).

Valencia’s recent home games have seen low scores, with a maximum of 2 goals per game. As for Real Betis on the road, the matches have been livelier with up to 3 goals conceded at Girona.

Considering the recent performances and statistics, a low-scoring match (under 2.5 goals) could be feasible.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, analyzing the statistics and probabilities for the match between Valencia and Real Betis allows us to identify several key points. Firstly, there is a clear superiority of Valencia, who performs better at home, with a higher probability of winning the match or ending in a draw. Nevertheless, it should be noted that both teams have defensive difficulties, which suggests offensive potential and thus a high probability of both teams scoring at least one goal.

Regarding the number of goals, the trend indicates a low-scoring match, probably below 2.5 goals, although the bet ‘Over 1.5 goals in the match’ offers good value. Finally, a plausible prediction for the exact score would be a 1-1 draw, based on the calculated probability and detailed team performances.

These elements, however, should be weighed against the current form of the teams approaching the match. It is therefore advisable to stay informed about the latest developments to adjust predictions if necessary. In summary, using this information wisely can help make informed and potentially profitable bets.