Tipps Valencia Real Madrid La Liga 03/01/2025

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Real Madrid wins the match

1. Win Statistics: Over their last 5 away matches, Real Madrid has won 40% of the time and drawn 40% of the time, which is significantly better than Valencia’s home performances (20% wins and 40% draws).

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Real Madrid has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 57% for their away matches, compared to Valencia’s 21% offensive potential and 50% defensive potential at home. This indicates that Real Madrid’s offensive and defensive capabilities are superior to Valencia’s in their respective playing conditions.

3. Success Probability: The provided information suggests that Real Madrid has a 70.68% probability of winning the match, which is much higher than Valencia’s 12.04% win probability. This high probability of victory for Real Madrid increases confidence in this prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics presented show that both teams, Valencia and Real Madrid, have a strong offensive potential. Valencia has scored an average of 0.6 goals per home match, while Real Madrid has scored an average of 1.8 goals per away match. This means they have the ability to score goals, increasing the likelihood of a total goals over 2.5.

2. Furthermore, both teams have relatively weak defensive potentials. Valencia has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while Real Madrid has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per away match. This indicates that both teams have a tendency to concede goals, which can contribute to a total goals over 2.5.

3. Analyzing the last five matches of both teams, a certain trend in the number of goals scored and conceded can be observed. Valencia had scores of 2-3, 0-0, 2-0, 1-1, and 1-2 in their recent home matches, while Real Madrid had scores of 1-2, 1-0, 1-1, 0-2, and 1-1 in their recent outings. Combining these results, four out of ten matches had over 2.5 goals. The recent offensive and defensive dynamics of these two teams further enhance the chances of reaching a total goals over 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last matches indicate that both teams have scored and conceded multiple goals, suggesting a high probability that both will score in the upcoming match. For example, in their last 5 home matches, Valencia scored 6 goals and conceded 8, while Real Madrid scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in their last 5 away games.

2. The average goals scored per match for both teams are significant. Valencia has an average of 0.6 goals per match at home, and Real Madrid has an average of 1.8 goals per match away. Both teams have shown offensive potential to score goals.

3. It is also worth noting that both teams tend to concede goals. Valencia concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, and Real Madrid concedes an average of 1.6 goals away, indicating that their defenses may be vulnerable, thus increasing the chances of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Valencia 1-2 Real Madrid

1. Recent performance of Real Madrid away: In their last 5 away matches, Real Madrid won in 40% of cases and drew in 40% of cases as well. Additionally, they scored at least one goal in four out of the five matches, showcasing significant offensive potential.

2. Valencia’s defense at home: On average, Valencia has conceded 1.4 goals per match at home. Combined with Real Madrid’s offensive performance, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Real Madrid is a plausibly expected outcome.

3. Success probabilities: According to statistics, Real Madrid has a higher success probability (70.68%) compared to Valencia (12.04%). Moreover, the match has a high probability of seeing over 1.5 goals (75.39% success probability), and the likelihood of both teams scoring is fairly balanced (49.74% probability). These numbers support the idea of a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Real Madrid.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Valence team, in their recent home matches, seems to be struggling. With only one win and two draws out of five, and having conceded 8 goals while scoring 6, they are currently in a less reassuring form.

On the other hand, Real Madrid shows rather consistent form away from home. Also with one win and two draws in their last five matches, and with a goal difference of +6 (7 goals scored and 6 conceded), their average goals per match is positive.

Statistical analysis favors Real Madrid: 70.68% probability of success, compared to only 12.04% for Valence. The likelihood of a draw is quite low (17.28%).

Regarding the number of goals, the probability is higher to have over 1.5 goals in the match – 75.39%. This reflects both the offensive potential of Real Madrid and the somewhat weak defense of Valence.

Another point to highlight is the chance of both teams scoring – 49.74%, which is almost equal to the chance of them not scoring – 50.26%. This detail could play a role in the betting decisions to make.

In conclusion, a victory for Real Madrid seems more probable, with probably a match having over 1.5 goals. However, the bet remains risky given the balance of strengths at play.

The potential number of goals

In their last 5 matches, Valencia has rarely won at home (20%) but has still remained undefeated in 60% of the cases. Valencia seems to struggle offensively with an average of 0.6 goals scored and a fragile defense conceding 1.4 goals on average per match. Recent home scores such as Valencia 1 – 2 Barcelona reflect this weakness.

On the other hand, Real Madrid has secured victory in 40% of their recent away games and managed to draw in 40% of the cases. With an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match, Real Madrid seems more balanced. Recent scores like Celta Vigo 1 – 2 Real Madrid or Real Sociedad 0 – 2 Real Madrid confirm this.

Based on this data, the prediction favors Real Madrid with a clear advantage at 70.68% chance of winning. However, in terms of total goals, the most likely outcome would be under 3.5 goals during the match, with a probability of 70.16%. It also appears balanced that both teams will score at least once during the match, according to the probabilities.

Overall, based on these numbers, Real Madrid seems to have the upper hand against Valencia for this match, with a low total number of goals expected.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, all statistical analyses of this season suggest a probable victory for Real Madrid in the next match against Valencia. This is based on Real’s away performances and Valencia’s struggles at home. However, it is important to note that football matches are often unpredictable and even with a high probability of winning, Real Madrid is not immune to a slip-up. Offensively, it is likely that there will be over 1.5 goals in the match and a total of under 3.5 goals. The probability of both teams scoring is almost 50%, making this bet an option of interest. Lastly, the exact score of 2-1 in favor of Real Madrid seems relevant based on recent statistical analysis. This analysis, founded on recent facts and statistics, can help make more informed decisions when betting but does not guarantee a certain outcome. Always bet responsibly, relying not only on an expert’s judgment but also on your own intuition and analysis.