Tipps Valladolid Leganes La Liga 28/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Valladolid wins the match.

1. Valladolid has a 60% win rate in their last 5 home matches, demonstrating a strong home performance. Additionally, Valladolid has an offensive potential of 71%, indicating they are highly likely to score.

2. Leganes has had disappointing away performances with a 0% win rate in their last 5 matches, suggesting it is unlikely they will win the match. Furthermore, Leganes has a lower defensive potential compared to Valladolid, making their defeat even more likely.

3. The third element to consider would be the forecasted success probability. Based on the provided probabilities, a draw or Valladolid win has a success probability of 68.06%, higher than all other options. This means that, statistically speaking, the most likely scenario would be for the match to end in a draw or for Valladolid to win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics show that both teams are not very effective offensively. In their last 5 matches, Valladolid has scored an average of 2 goals per match and Leganes 1.4 goals, which does not bode well for a high-scoring match.

2. Leganes’ recent away results indicate a trend towards draws with a low-to-moderate number of goals scored (most of their matches ending in a 1-1 or 2-2 scoreline). This suggests a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.

3. The probability of the match having fewer than 2.5 goals is economically appealing with odds of 1.48, which is higher than the probability of more than 2.5 goals in the match (41.36% probability with odds of 2.65). This is an indicator that bookmakers also anticipate a low number of goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from previous matches show a consistent trend of both teams scoring, with Valladolid scoring 6 goals at home and Leganes scoring 5 goals away in their last 5 matches.
2. Looking at the average goals per match, Valladolid scores an average of 2 goals at home while Leganes scores an average of 1.4 goals away, suggesting a high likelihood of both teams scoring.
3. By analyzing the recent matches of each team, it is evident that both teams have often managed to score, confirming a recurring trend of matches where both teams score at least one goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Leganes wins the match – 1.63

Bet on the exact result

Valladolid 1-1 Leganes

1. The draw rate for Leganes away matches is extremely high, with a total of 80% in their last 5 matches. This, combined with their offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 29%, could suggest that a draw is a likely possibility.

2. Valladolid’s offensive and defensive potential at home is 71% and 36% respectively. These figures, combined with Valladolid scoring exactly 1 goal in 3 of their last 5 home matches, point to a likely similar performance in this match.

3. As for the final result, the highest probability is either the match ending in a draw (with a success probability of 30.89%), or Valladolid winning (with a success probability of 37.17%). Taking into account Leganes’ tendency to draw away matches and Valladolid’s trend of scoring 1 goal at home, a precise score prediction of 1-1 seems reasonable.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Valladolid is in good form at home with a 60% win rate. They have an offensive potential of 71% with an average of 2 goals scored, against a defensive potential of 36%.

Leganes, who has not won any of their away matches, scores an average of 1.4 goals and concedes 0.8 goals. Their offensive and defensive potentials are 50% and 29% respectively.

According to the odds, the chances are: Valladolid to win the match at 2.35, draw at 3.10, Leganes to win at 3.40.

There is a significant chance of over 1.5 goals in the match, at 68.59% with odds of 1.55, as well as under 3.5 goals, at 81.68% at odds of 1.16.

Both teams have a 53.4% probability of scoring during the match, the bet is set at 2.15.

In the last five home matches of Valladolid, three have been victories. For Leganes, despite four draws, they lost the last one against Albacete.

Informative and promising, this match between Valladolid and Leganes will be decisive and could end in a victory for Valladolid or a draw.

The potential number of goals

Valladolid shows strength by winning 60% of its home matches, scoring 6 goals in all these games. Similarly, they have an offensive balance of 71%, well above their 36% defense.

On the other hand, Leganes has not won any of their recent away matches. They have scored 5 goals, with an offensive potential at 50% and a defensive capacity at 29%. However, they have managed to secure draws in 80% of cases, indicating defensive solidity despite the lack of victories.

The odds suggest a slight advantage for Valladolid, with a 37.17% chance of winning, but it is also quite likely that the match will end in a draw or that Leganes will win, with a 62.83% probability.

The number of goals is expected to be moderate, with a probability of over 1.5 goals in the match reaching 68.59%. Additionally, there is a 53.4% probability that both teams will score.

Based on this data, it seems that the match could favor Valladolid, but with a strong possibility of a draw. A total of over 1.5 goals seems likely, as well as the possibility of both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

The conclusion of this sports betting analysis between Valladolid and Leganes highlights a strong possibility of a Valladolid win or draw, based on past performances and key statistics. The home team’s offensive efficiency and Leganes’ apparent weakness in away matches further support this prediction.

However, despite a poor overall away performance, Leganes has managed to secure draws in 80% of their recent matches, indicating an ability to resist and defend even on enemy territory.

Furthermore, the probabilities suggest a relatively low number of goals, with a high likelihood of the match ending with a total of fewer than 2.5 goals. The possibility of both teams scoring is also supported by past and current performances of both teams.

In terms of value bets, a draw or a Leganes win is suggested as an interesting wager, despite Leganes’ seemingly contradictory performances.

Ultimately, this match offers several intriguing but risky betting options to punters. However, considering all analyses and available information, punters should choose wisely, always respecting their betting limits and understanding the inherent risks involved in sports betting.