Tipps Vasco DA Gama Cruzeiro Serie A 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Vasco Da Gama RJ wins the match.

1. The offensive and defensive potential: Vasco Da Gama RJ has shown more consistency in their home matches with a higher win and draw percentage compared to Cruzeiro MG in their away games, as well as an average of goals scored per match equal to Cruzeiro MG’s away record. Additionally, Cruzeiro MG has a defensive weakness in their away games, conceding on average more goals than when playing at home.

2. The teams’ recent performances: Looking at their recent matches, there seems to be some instability in Cruzeiro MG’s away performances, while Vasco da Gama has been quite convincing at home, especially against Fortaleza EC and Vitoria. Their recent form suggests they would have a higher chance of winning or drawing.

3. The likelihood of success: The provided statistics indicate a 70.74% probability of success for the bet “Draw or Vasco Da Gama RJ wins the match,” which is significantly higher than the opposite bet. This suggests a greater chance for Vasco Da Gama RJ to either win or draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Vasco Da Gama RJ has an average of 1.2 goals per home match, and Cruzeiro MG also has an average of 1.2 goals per away match, which means their matches tend to have a combined total score of 2.4 goals on average, below 2.5 goals.
2. Cruzeiro MG has a solid defense on the road, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per match, which limits the total number of goals that could be scored in this match.
3. Match history shows that Vasco Da Gama RJ tends to play low-scoring matches at home, as seen in games against Flamengo and Criciuma, and Cruzeiro MG also tends to have low-scoring matches on the road, as seen in games against Sao Paulo SP and Atletico Goianiense.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from their recent matches show a trend of both teams scoring goals, with Vasco Da Gama scoring 8 times at home in their last 5 matches, and Cruzeiro MG scoring 4 times away in their last 5 matches.

2. Vasco Da Gama appears to have a weak defense, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match at home, giving Cruzeiro MG opportunities to score.

3. In terms of specific betting odds, “Both teams to score” has a success probability of 54.26%, indicating a positive prediction for the “Yes” option in this case.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Cruzeiro MG wins the match – 1.53

Bet on the exact result

Vasco Da Gama RJ 1-1 Cruzeiro MG

1. Recent statistics show that Vasco Da Gama RJ and Cruzeiro MG have a fairly similar performance, with both having a 40% win rate in their last 5 respective matches. Additionally, both teams also have a tendency to draw, with Vasco Da Gama having a 40% draw rate and Cruzeiro MG a 20% draw rate. This could indicate that the two teams are relatively evenly matched and a draw is therefore a possibility.

2. Offensive and defensive data also show some similarities between the two teams. Vasco Da Gama averages 1.2 goals scored per home match and concedes 2.2, while Cruzeiro MG averages 1.2 goals scored away and concedes only 0.4. Based on this pattern, a 1-1 scoreline seems likely.

3. Probability data also supports this prediction. The match score, regardless of the winner, is most likely to fall between 1 and 4.5 goals. Additionally, there is a 54.26% probability that both teams will score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Vasco Da Gama RJ has shown an offensive potential of 43%. They have scored 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, achieving a win or draw 80% of the time. However, their defense leaves something to be desired, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match.

Cruzeiro MG, when playing away, has the same offensive potential of 43% but with a better defense, conceding only 0.4 goals per match. Their away wins and draws combined total 60%.

For this match, there is a higher probability that Vasco Da Gama RJ will win or draw (70.74%), compared to a win or draw for Cruzeiro MG (62.23%). The probability indicates that there will be over 1.5 goals (72.34%), but less than 2.5 goals (less than 2.5 goals have no probabilities mentioned, so I assume it’s higher than 50%).

It also seems probable that both teams will score (54.26%). Looking at their recent matches, Vasco Da Gama RJ has struggled against strong teams but performs better at home. Cruzeiro MG has a mixed record away from home.

Betting tip: I would suggest a cautious bet on a draw or Vasco Da Gama RJ to win as it is the most likely scenario, with a chance of over 1.5 goals scored.

The potential number of goals

Vasco Da Gama RJ has shown varied performances at home, with a 40% win rate and 40% draws. Their defense seems vulnerable, having conceded 9 goals in 5 matches, averaging 2.2 goals per game.

Cruzeiro MG, on the other hand, has displayed a similar performance by winning 40% of their away matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding 7.

Vasco Da Gama RJ’s offensive potential at home is at 43%, while Cruzeiro MG shows the same percentage away.

In terms of defense, Vasco Da Gama RJ stands at 79% while Cruzeiro MG has a lower defensive potential of 14%.

Probabilities suggest a slight edge for Vasco Da Gama RJ with a success rate of 37.77%.

Betting on over 1.5 goals in the match seems to be a safe choice with a success probability of 72.34%.

Another safe prediction would be to bet on under 3.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 89.89%.

Based on these statistics, both teams have a reasonable chance of scoring, with a probability of 54.26%.

Ultimately, the match is expected to be close, with a slight advantage for Vasco Da Gama RJ at home, but with a potentially vulnerable defense. Betting on a game with over 1.5 goals and under 3.5 goals seems to be a safe option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Vasco Da Gama RJ and Cruzeiro MG presents several interesting betting opportunities. While Vasco Da Gama RJ appears to have a slight advantage, due to better home performance and a higher likelihood of winning or a draw, the defensive capabilities of Cruzeiro MG should not be underestimated.

From a goal perspective, it would be prudent to bet on a total of under 3.5 goals, given both teams’ tendency to play low-scoring matches. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is relatively high, which could represent another interesting betting option.

Ultimately, the choice of bet will largely depend on individual preferences and the level of risk the bettor is willing to take. Nevertheless, considering all the available data, there seem to be numerous viable betting options for this match. Therefore, it is recommended that bettors take the time to evaluate all alternatives before making their decision.