Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Vasco DA Gama Fluminense
1. Home statistics: Vasco Da Gama RJ has a good home win rate of 60% in their last 5 matches, indicating their strength at home.
2. Fluminense’s away statistics: The away team, Fluminense, has a slightly lower win rate of 40% and a draw rate of 20% in their last 5 away matches. This may indicate some difficulty for the team in winning away from home.
3. Betting odds probabilities: According to the betting odds probabilities, “Draw or Vasco Da Gama RJ to win the match” has a success probability of 68.04%. This high probability suggests that the most likely outcome will either be a draw or a win for Vasco Da Gama RJ.
1. The offensive potential of Vasco Da Gama RJ is relatively low, with only 0.8 goals per match. Fluminense’s defensive potential is also quite strong away from home, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match, which could lead to a low-scoring game.
2. Previous match statistics show a trend towards low scores. Indeed, most of Vasco Da Gama RJ’s recent home matches and Fluminense’s away matches have seen fewer than 3 goals.
3. The odds offered for under 2.5 goals in the match favor this outcome, with a success probability of 88.14% for under 3.5 goals and 95.36% for under 4.5 goals. This suggests that bookmakers anticipate a low-scoring game.
1. High goal rate: Analysis of previous matches shows a trend of both teams scoring and conceding goals. Vasco Da Gama RJ has scored 11 goals and conceded 12 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Fluminense has scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 away matches.
2. Average score: Vasco Da Gama RJ averages 0.8 goals per match at home, and Fluminense averages 1.2 goals per match away. These averages reflect the offensive capabilities of both teams.
3. Match history: The teams have demonstrated in their recent matches that they have the ability to score goals in each game against other teams. For example, most of Vasco Da Gama RJ’s recent home matches have ended in favor of Vasco Da Gama, with very few draws, and Fluminense has managed to score in most of their recent away matches. This confirms the trend of both teams scoring in each match.
1. Vasco Da Gama RJ’s home performance has been inconsistent in their last 5 matches, where they scored 11 goals but also conceded 12 goals. This trend could indicate weaknesses in both their defense and attack, limiting their ability to score.
2. On the other hand, Fluminense, despite winning 40% of their away matches, have an average of 1.2 goals per game. This trend, combined with their relatively low offensive potential (43%), could suggest some difficulty in scoring consistently.
3. Finally, considering the indicated probabilities, the scenario where both teams do not score has a success probability of 47.94%, offering a value bet given the past performances of both teams and their offensive statistics.
1. Both teams have a higher record of goals conceded than goals scored, suggesting weak defense on both sides. This increases the likelihood of each team scoring at least one goal as they have both shown defensive weaknesses in previous matches.
2. Fluminense has a strong tendency to draw in their away matches (20% of cases). Furthermore, in their last 5 away matches, they have either won by a small margin or drawn.
3. The highest probability is of a match with fewer than 3.5 goals (success probability of 88.14%), which supports the prediction of a final score of 1-1, meaning a match with fewer than 3.5 goals.
Vasco Da Gama RJ, at home, wins 60% of the time in 5 matches. However, they concede more goals (12) than they score (11).
Fluminense, on the other hand, secures victory 40% of the time away. They score slightly less (5 goals) but also concede less (6 goals).
Vasco Da Gama RJ has an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 43%. Fluminense shows 43% in attack and 21% in defense.
The probabilities of winning are: Vasco Da Gama RJ (36.6%), draw (31.44%), Fluminense (31.96%).
On average, less than 3.5 goals are scored in a match with an 88.14% probability.
Both teams have a probability of scoring of 52.06%.
Vasco Da Gama RJ shows an interesting performance at home, with remarkable victories like 2-0 against Corinthians SP.
Fluminense seems less performing away, with, for example, a 3-2 defeat against Juventude.
Based on this data, it would be reasonable to bet on less than 3.5 goals in the match.
Over the last 5 home matches, Vasco Da Gama RJ has won 60% of the time. However, with 11 goals scored against 12 conceded and an offensive potential of 29% against a defensive strength of 43%, it raises questions.
Fluminense, in their last 5 away matches, has won 40% of the games with 20% ending in draws, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match. Fluminense has a higher offensive potential (43%) and a tighter defense (21%).
There is a 36.6% chance of Vasco Da Gama RJ winning, a 31.44% probability of a draw, and a 31.96% likelihood of a Fluminense victory.
In terms of total goals, there is a 70.1% chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match. The odds for under 3.5 goals are very high at 88.14%, and for under 4.5 goals, the probability rises to 95.36%.
Looking at both teams, there is a 52.06% likelihood of both clubs scoring.
Given these numbers, caution seems prudent when considering a risk-free prediction. Both teams have shown notable strengths and weaknesses. Paying attention to individual goals and defensive performance could be crucial in determining the outcome of this match.
Based on the analyses and statistics presented previously, several key points emerge for this match between Vasco Da Gama RJ and Fluminense. For the 1X2 bet, it seems more interesting to bet on a draw or a win for Vasco Da Gama, given their strong home performance and Fluminense’s difficulties away. Regarding goals, the “Under 2.5” bet seems like a safe option considering both teams’ low offensive potential and their history of low-scoring matches. However, considering both teams’ tendency to score and concede goals, the “Both teams to score: Yes” bet could be interesting. Finally, a bet offering an interesting value bet would be “Both teams to score: No”, providing a balance between some risk-taking and potentially high reward. For the exact score, a 1-1 draw could be plausible considering the defensive weaknesses of both teams and the high rate of matches with less than 3.5 goals. In conclusion, this prediction highlights the need to take into account multiple factors and emphasizes the importance of statistics in the field of sports betting.
1. Home statistics: Vasco Da Gama RJ has a good home win rate of 60% in their last 5 matches, indicating their strength at home.
2. Fluminense’s away statistics: The away team, Fluminense, has a slightly lower win rate of 40% and a draw rate of 20% in their last 5 away matches. This may indicate some difficulty for the team in winning away from home.
3. Betting odds probabilities: According to the betting odds probabilities, “Draw or Vasco Da Gama RJ to win the match” has a success probability of 68.04%. This high probability suggests that the most likely outcome will either be a draw or a win for Vasco Da Gama RJ.
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In its last 5 matches, the team Vasco DA Gama has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Vasco DA Gama has a form rating of %.
In its last 5 matches, Fluminense has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Fluminense has a form rating of %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Fluminense
Fluminense has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Fluminense
Fluminense has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Vasco DA Gama and Fluminense, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
1. The offensive potential of Vasco Da Gama RJ is relatively low, with only 0.8 goals per match. Fluminense’s defensive potential is also quite strong away from home, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match, which could lead to a low-scoring game.
2. Previous match statistics show a trend towards low scores. Indeed, most of Vasco Da Gama RJ’s recent home matches and Fluminense’s away matches have seen fewer than 3 goals.
3. The odds offered for under 2.5 goals in the match favor this outcome, with a success probability of 88.14% for under 3.5 goals and 95.36% for under 4.5 goals. This suggests that bookmakers anticipate a low-scoring game.
Finding a forecast for the Vasco DA Gama Fluminense match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Vasco DA Gama Fluminense on 11/08/2024 in Estádio Nilton Santos are the team's past performance in the Serie A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Vasco DA Gama at home and Fluminense away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 11/08/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Vasco DA Gama and Fluminense on 11/08/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Serie A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estádio Nilton Santos, Vasco DA Gama could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Vasco DA Gama and Fluminense, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Vasco DA Gama and the away win rate of Fluminense, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 11/08/2024!
The individual performances of players from Vasco DA Gama and Fluminense can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 11/08/2024 at Estádio Nilton Santos.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Vasco DA Gama and Fluminense, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Vasco DA Gama or Fluminense on 11/08/2024.
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