Tipps Vasco DA Gama Sao Paulo Serie A 23/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Sao Paulo SP wins the match

1. Recent Performance: In their respective last 5 matches, Sao Paulo SP has a better performance compared to Vasco Da Gama RJ. Sao Paulo has a win rate of 60% in the matches, while Vasco Da Gama has only 20%.

2. Offensive and Defensive Efficiency: Sao Paulo SP has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match and conceded 0.4, while Vasco Da Gama RJ has scored 1.2 goals and conceded 2.4 per match. These ratios demonstrate that Sao Paulo has a more efficient offense and better defense.

3. Probability of Victory: The odds and probabilities of the match also favor Sao Paulo SP with a probability of winning at 38.1%, compared to 30.69% for Vasco Da Gama RJ.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of Vasco Da Gama at home is 43% with an average of 1.2 goals per match, while the offensive potential of Sao Paulo SP away is 57% with an average of 1.6 goals per match. These statistics suggest a high probability of seeing at least three goals in this match.
2. The defensive potential of Vasco Da Gama at home is 86% with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per match, while the defensive potential of Sao Paulo SP away is 14% with only 0.4 goals conceded on average per match, making the bet on over 2.5 goals even more likely.
3. Looking at the teams’ recent matches, Vasco da Gama has seen over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, and Sao Paulo SP has seen over 2.5 goals in its last 4 away matches. These high percentages of matches with over 2.5 goals reinforce this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The two teams have good offensive performance: Vasco Da Gama RJ scores an average of 1.2 goals per home match, while Sao Paulo SP scores an average of 1.6 goals per away match. Additionally, in their last 5 home matches, Vasco Da Gama RJ scored 6 goals and Sao Paulo SP scored 11 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Both teams have a weak defensive record: Vasco Da Gama RJ concedes an average of 2.4 goals per home match, and Sao Paulo SP concedes an average of 0.4 goals per away match. Vasco Da Gama RJ has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Sao Paulo SP has conceded 12 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. The match probabilities indicate a potentially tight and competitive game, with a 48.15% probability of both teams scoring. This suggests that both teams are likely to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Sao Paulo SP wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Vasco Da Gama RJ 1-2 Sao Paulo SP

1. Sao Paulo SP has a greater offensive and defensive potential than Vasco Da Gama RJ: Sao Paulo SP has scored an average of 1.6 goals per away match and conceded an average of 0.4 goals per match, with an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 14%. In contrast, Vasco Da Gama RJ has scored an average of 1.2 goals at home and conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match, with an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 86%.

2. The probability of Sao Paulo SP winning the match (38.1%) is higher than that of Vasco Da Gama RJ (30.69%). The odds also support this prediction of Sao Paulo SP coming out on top.

3. In their recent away matches, Sao Paulo SP has managed to score at least 2 goals every time, reflecting their offensive capabilities. Meanwhile, Vasco Da Gama RJ has faced serious defensive issues in their home matches, often conceding more than one goal. This reinforces the likelihood of a final score of 1-2 in favor of Sao Paulo SP.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Vasco Da Gama RJ has shown an inconsistent performance at home, with one win and two draws out of five matches. This translates to a success rate of 20% and a draw percentage of 40%. Their attack averages 1.2 goals per game while conceding 2.4 goals, resulting in an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 86%.

On the other hand, Sao Paulo SP is more efficient when playing away. They have won 60% of their away games and drawn in 40% of them. Their attack is strong, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game, while their defense is solid, conceding only 0.4 goals per game. In other words, they have an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 14%.

In terms of each team’s chances of winning, Sao Paulo SP leads with a success probability of 38.1% compared to just 30.69% for Vasco Da Gama RJ.

Looking at the recent performances of both teams, Vasco Da Gama RJ seems to struggle at home, including a heavy 6-1 defeat against Flamengo. Meanwhile, Sao Paulo SP has been consistently scoring in their away games with three consecutive wins.

In conclusion, based on the available data, a bet on a Sao Paulo SP victory seems to be the safest choice despite their odds of 2.25. However, a bet on a draw or a Vasco Da Gama RJ win, which has a success probability of 61.9%, could be an interesting alternative for bettors looking to minimize risks.

The potential number of goals

Vasco Da Gama RJ has been struggling at home, with only 20% wins and 40% draws. Their defense is leaky, conceding 10 goals in 5 matches. Their attacks have been slowly building up, with 6 goals scored.

Sao Paulo SP has an impressive away performance, with 60% wins. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 12, showing a greater offensive potential than Vasco Da Gama RJ.

In terms of averages, Vasco Da Gama RJ scores 1.2 goals per home match and concedes 2.4 goals. Sao Paulo SP has a more effective away attack, scoring 1.6 goals per match and conceding only 0.4 goals.

The match probabilities slightly favor Sao Paulo SP with a 38.1% chance of winning. A draw has a 31.22% chance while Vasco Da Gama RJ has a 30.69% chance.

The probability of a match with over 1.5 goals is 70.37%, while for a match with over 2.5 goals, it is only 43.92%.

In their recent matches, Vasco Da Gama RJ has had mixed results at home, including a 6-1 defeat against Flamengo. Sao Paulo SP has maintained a solid away performance, scoring 3 goals in three of their last matches.

Based on the statistics, it seems that Sao Paulo SP’s offense could overpower Vasco Da Gama RJ’s fragile defense. This could lead to a high potential of at least 1.5 goals in the match, with chances for a Sao Paulo SP victory.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, multiple factors point towards a convincing victory for Sao Paulo SP in the match against Vasco Da Gama RJ. Firstly, recent match statistics show an offensive and defensive superiority of Sao Paulo SP. This point is further strengthened by the trend exhibited by these two teams in their previous encounters.

Moreover, statistical probability favors Sao Paulo SP as the most likely winner. The safest bet for bettors would therefore be to wager on a victory for Sao Paulo SP. However, the possibility of a draw or a win for Vasco Da Gama RJ, although less likely, could offer higher returns for players willing to take on a bit more risk.

As for the prediction of the number of goals in the match, statistical data suggests a high-scoring game, with a high probability of at least 2.5 goals being scored, with Sao Paulo SP being the team most likely to contribute to this statistic.

These predictions and analyses, although based on solid data and statistics, are still subject to the inherent uncertainties of sports betting and should be used as a guide rather than absolute certainties. Always bet responsibly.