Tipps Venezia Torino Serie A 30/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Torino wins the match

1. Offensive and defensive potential: Torino has an offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 21%. Meanwhile, Venezia has an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 57%. These statistics suggest that Torino has better performance both defensively and offensively compared to Venezia and could therefore win the match.

2. Win statistics: In their last 5 matches, Torino has won 40% of their away games, while Venezia has won 60% of their home games. This is lower for Torino, but considering their strong offensive and defensive performance, it is likely that they can overturn this trend.

3. Success probabilities: Success probabilities indicate that Torino has a 44.39% probability of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Venezia’s 21.94%. Furthermore, the match odds also favor Torino, further strengthening the argument for their victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive performance of Venezia and Torino: Venezia scored 14 goals in 5 home matches and Torino scored 7 goals in 5 away matches. Additionally, Venezia’s average goals per match at home is 1.2 and Torino’s average goals per match away is 1.8, which implies a high probability that the total number of goals in the match will be greater than 2.5.

2. Both teams have a strong tendency to concede goals: Venezia conceded 14 goals in 5 home matches and Torino conceded 8 goals in 5 away matches. Furthermore, Venezia’s defensive potential at home is 57% and Torino’s defensive potential away is 21%, once again suggesting a high probability that the total number of goals in the match will be greater than 2.5.

3. The betting probabilities confirm this argument: The bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 43.37% with odds of 2.05, which is a relatively high return rate. Additionally, the success rate of the bet “Both teams to score” is 51.53%, strongly suggesting that the total number of goals in the match could be over 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent home statistics for Venezia indicate a consistent goal-scoring record and a relatively weak defense conceding multiple goals in some matches, such as Venezia 1 – 3 Genoa.

2. On the other hand, Torino shows a consistent goal-scoring record, especially away from home, as seen in the scoreline Metz 0 – 3 Torino for example, and a moderately solid defense occasionally conceding more than one goal per match, like AC Milan 2 – 2 Torino.

3. Statistical probabilities suggest a high likelihood of both teams scoring, with a success rate estimated at 51.53% based on the data.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Venezia wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Venezia 1-2 Torino

1. The general statistics of both teams show more offensive and defensive potential on the side of Torino (64% and 21% on average per match respectively) compared to Venezia (43% and 57%). This could justify a Torino victory.

2. Looking at the probability of results, a Torino win is more likely (44.39%) than a Venezia win (21.94%) or a draw (33.67%). Furthermore, Torino has a better recent away record (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) compared to Venezia at home (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses).

3. Considering goal-related probabilities, there is a 66.33% chance of the match having over 1.5 goals and a 43.37% chance of over 2.5 goals. Taking these two statistics into account, a scoreline of 1-2 seems plausible. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is slightly higher (51.53%) than only one team scoring (48.47%), which supports the hypothesis of a match where each team scores at least one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

In their recent home matches, Venezia has been rather effective with a 60% win rate. However, there is a downside: they concede as many goals as they score (14).

Torino, when playing away, shows a certain balance: they have won 40% of their matches and drawn in 40% of cases. However, they have scored fewer but also conceded fewer goals than Venezia (7 against 8).

Venezia’s offensive potential at home is 43% while their defensive potential is at 57%. Torino, on the road, presents an offensive strength of 64% and a defensive strength of 21%.

The probabilities slightly favor Torino, with a 44.39% chance of winning against 21.94% for Venezia. A draw also seems plausible at 33.67%.

The chances of the match ending with over 1.5 goals are 66.33%. The forecast for fewer than 3.5 goals in the match is very high at 77.04%.

Both teams have varying performances, with Venezia being able to defend against NK Istra 1961 and defeat teams like Vis Pesaro. On the other hand, Torino managed to hold their ground against AC Milan and win against Metz.

In conclusion, this match could be balanced with a slight inclination towards Torino. A reasonable prediction would be a match with fewer than 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Venezia and Torino are facing each other in Serie A. Their recent matches show divergent performances. Torino has a 40% chance of winning and a 40% chance of a draw in their recent outings. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8. Their shooting rate is 1.8 goals per match while they concede on average 0.6 goals. This reflects an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 21%.

On the other hand, Venezia has a 60% chance of winning at home and a 20% chance of a draw. They have scored as many goals as they have conceded: 14. With an average rate of 1.2 goals scored per match and 1.6 goals conceded, their offensive potential is assessed at 43%, while the defense is at 57%.

The odds show that Torino has a 44.39% probability of winning, higher than Venezia’s 21.94%. The draw has a probability of 33.67%.

In terms of goals, the match is more likely to have less than 4.5 goals with a 90.82% chance, and more than 1.5 goals (66.33%). There is also a 51.53% probability that both teams will score.

Notably, Torino managed to defeat Hellas Verona on their own turf while Venezia crushed Real Vicenza 7-0 at home.

In conclusion, the match seems to lean towards Torino but do not underestimate Venezia, especially at home. The match is likely to have less than 4.5 goals but more than 1.5 goals, with a good chance that both teams will score.

Final note: A balanced match but Torino seems to have a slight advantage. Expect goals from both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on a detailed analysis of statistics and betting odds, Torino appears to be slightly favored to win this match against Venezia despite Venezia’s impressive performance on their home turf. However, it is important to note that football is unpredictable and there is always a chance for Venezia to reverse this trend.

Furthermore, a match with less than 3.5 goals but more than 1.5 goals is also expected, indicating a relatively balanced scoring game. Moreover, the likelihood of both teams scoring is quite high, which could make this match interesting.

In summary, Torino are slightly favored, a match with some goals is expected, with a strong possibility of both teams scoring. However, it is crucial for bettors to take all these factors into account while managing risk effectively, as sports betting remains a matter of uncertainty and luck.