Tipps Venezuela Uruguay Qualif. CDM - Amérique du Sud 11/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Uruguay wins the match.

1. Uruguay has a better win percentage in their last five away games (40%) compared to Venezuela’s home performance (60%). Additionally, Uruguay manages to secure a draw in 40% of cases, resulting in a total of 80% of matches without a loss.

2. The calculated success probability for Uruguay winning the match is 100%, compared to 0% for Venezuela. This, combined with the favorable odds for a Uruguay win (2.30), indicates a strong likelihood of success for this prediction.

3. By analyzing their recent matches, Uruguay has managed to score at least one goal in 4 out of their last 5 away games, while Venezuela has conceded at least one goal in half of their home matches. This suggests a potential weakness in Venezuela’s defense that Uruguay could exploit.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“My prediction for this match is: Under 2.5 goals.”

1. Recent statistics: Considering the last 5 home matches of Venezuela and the last 5 away matches of Uruguay, the total number of goals scored does not exceed 2.5 goals on average per match. Indeed, Venezuela scores an average of 1.4 goals per match and concedes 1.2 goals, while Uruguay scores an average of 0.6 goals and concedes 0.8 goals.

2. Offensive and defensive potentials: Both teams have shown relatively limited offensive and defensive potentials in their recent matches. Venezuela has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 43%, while Uruguay has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 29%. These statistics indicate that both teams tend to play cautiously and not score many goals.

3. Previous results: The last matches played by Venezuela at home and Uruguay away have rarely produced more than 2.5 goals. For example, among the last five matches played by each team, most ended with a total of less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The goal-scoring statistics for both teams are significant. Venezuela has scored 6 goals in their last 5 home matches while Uruguay has scored 8 goals in their last 5 away matches.
2. Similarly, both teams also have a history of conceding goals. Venezuela has conceded 6 goals at home in their last 5 matches, and Uruguay has also conceded 10 goals in their last 5 away matches.
3. The offensive potential of both teams is also worth noting. Venezuela has an average offensive potential of 50%, while Uruguay has an offensive potential of 21%. This indicates that both teams have attackers who are capable of scoring goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams score

Bet on the exact result

Venezuela 1-2 Uruguay

1. Venezuela’s home performance is quite stable with an average of around 1.4 goals scored per match while conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. However, despite this performance, their chances of winning the match are 0% according to the provided statistics, which may imply that Uruguay is a stronger team even away from home. It is therefore plausible that Venezuela will score 1 goal.

2. Uruguay, despite a lower average of 0.6 goals scored per match away from home, has a 100% chance of winning the match according to the provided statistics. This indicates that Uruguay is a highly likely team to score at least 2 goals against a Venezuela team with a significant defensive performance.

3. Both teams have a 100% probability of scoring in the match according to the provided statistics, supporting a final score of 1-2. Additionally, the forecast of over 2.5 goals in the match also has a 100% probability of success, which aligns with this outcome.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Venezuela has shown solidity at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches, but with room for improvement in defense, having conceded as many goals as they scored (6).

Uruguay, while only victorious in 40% of away games, has managed to draw 40% of the time. However, their defense has conceded more goals (10) than their attack has found the net (8 goals).

The match could be closely contested. Venezuela has an offensive potential of 50% compared to Uruguay’s 21%, but their defense is less solid with a defensive score of 43% against Uruguay’s 29%.

Predictions give Uruguay a 100% chance of winning the match, with odds of 2.30. This outlook is supported by Uruguay’s recent victories against tough opponents such as the USA and Mexico.

In terms of goals, a 100% success rate is estimated if more than 1.5 goals are scored or if both teams score, which aligns well with the goal statistics of both teams.

In conclusion, while Venezuela has shown promising signs at home, Uruguay appears better equipped to win this match, with probably more than one goal scored in total.

The potential number of goals

The analysis provided suggests a Uruguay victory with a potential for over 2.5 goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Venezuela and Uruguay is expected to be tight and competitive, despite the apparent superiority of the Uruguayan team. The offensive potential of each team, combined with their tendency to concede goals, suggests that both teams will score during the match. However, the odds clearly indicate that Uruguay has a 100% probability of winning. Furthermore, considering the recent performances of both teams, it is likely that there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in total in this encounter.

At the same time, the bet “Both teams to score” may offer interesting value due to the high likelihood of both teams scoring. In terms of exact score, the most probable outcome seems to be a 2-1 victory for Uruguay, given the performance of each team.

It is important to note that while these predictions are based on solid statistics and analysis, football remains an unpredictable sport and it is always advisable to bet cautiously.