Tipps VfB Stuttgart Atalanta UEFA Champions League 06/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atalanta Bergamo wins the match

1. The offensive potential of Atalanta Bergamo is significantly higher than that of VfB Stuttgart with 107% compared to 36%. This means that Atalanta Bergamo scores a lot more goals on average per match than VfB Stuttgart.
2. Atalanta Bergamo has a very strong defense power of 14% in its away matches, which means it concedes very few goals. Meanwhile, Stuttgart has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match in its home matches.
3. Looking at the recent away match results of Atalanta Bergamo, we can see that this team has the ability to win or draw in 60% of cases, demonstrating a solid form of the team when playing away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Score history: By examining the scores from the last five matches of each team, it can be seen that Stuttgart scored 11 goals and Atalanta scored 7, averaging 3.6 goals per match. This indicates a pattern of high scores that could repeat in the upcoming match.
2. Offensive potential: Atalanta Bergamo has a relatively high offensive potential, scoring an average of 3 goals per away match. Additionally, Stuttgart has shown an offensive potential of 36% at home. These two factors combined increase the likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals in the match.
3. Defensive weakness: VfB Stuttgart has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per home match, while Atalanta Bergamo has conceded an average of 0.4 goals per away match. This defensive weakness on both sides could also contribute to a higher score.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Atalanta Bergamo’s defensive performances away from home are very solid, having conceded an average of only 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 matches. With a defensive potential of 14%, they are capable of largely controlling VfB Stuttgart’s attack.
2. Despite averaging 1 goal per match at home, VfB Stuttgart shows a weakness in attack with an offensive potential of only 36%. This means the team is likely to struggle to score against a well-organized defense like Atalanta Bergamo’s.
3. Betting statistics for “Both teams to score” have a success probability of 83.33%. This is a reliable indicator based on a weighted analysis of both teams’ past performances, both in attack and defense.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Atalanta Bergamo wins the match – 33.33% probability of success: 2.95

Bet on the exact result

VfB Stuttgart 1-2 Atalanta Bergamo

1. Performance statistics: Based on the performance statistics of both teams in their last 5 matches, Atalanta Bergamo has a better away performance with a 40% win rate and a 20% draw rate, compared to VfB Stuttgart who only has a 60% win rate at home and no draws.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Atalanta Bergamo shows an impressive offensive potential of 107% compared to VfB Stuttgart’s 36%. Additionally, Atalanta’s defensive potential is only 14%, suggesting they are less likely to concede goals compared to VfB Stuttgart, who have a 43% defensive potential.

3. Goal probability: The probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored during the match is 66.67%, and the match history also confirms this with Atalanta averaging 3 goals per match. However, previous results of VfB Stuttgart also show that they have often scored 1 goal in previous matches, justifying the predicted score of 1-2 in favor of Atalanta Bergamo.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Stuttgart has won 60% of its home matches but has conceded more goals (12) than it has scored (11), indicating a shaky defense.

Atalanta has a 40% away win rate with a strong offensive force, scoring 7 goals and conceding 9.

On average, Stuttgart scores 1 goal per home match and concedes 1.2 goals per match. Atalanta, away from home, scores 3 goals per match and concedes only 0.4.

The likelihood of a Stuttgart win is 50% and an Atalanta win is 33.33%, with a draw being less likely at 16.67%.

A match with over 1.5 goals has a high probability of 83.33%, while a match with over 2.5 goals has a probability of 66.67%.

Surprisingly, both teams have a low probability of scoring (16.67%) while the probability of both teams not scoring is high (83.33%).

Looking at recent matches, Stuttgart appears to have positive form at home, despite some draws. Atalanta has had mixed performances away, with wins, draws, and losses.

In conclusion, betting on a match with over 1.5 goals might be wise given Atalanta’s strong offense and Stuttgart’s shaky defense.

The potential number of goals

Recent performances at VfB Stuttgart’s home ground show a 60% win rate. They have scored 11 goals but also conceded 12. Stuttgart’s offensive potential stands at 36% while their defense is at 43%.

On the other hand, Atalanta Bergamo secures victories in 40% of their away matches. They have scored a total of 7 goals while conceding 9. Their offensive potential is an impressive 107% and their defense is at 14%.

In terms of outright victory, Stuttgart has a 50% probability of winning this match with odds at 2.25, while Atalanta has a 33.33% probability with odds at 2.95. The draw stands at a 16.67% probability with odds at 3.90.

Turning to goal predictions, the forecast strongly suggests a match with over 1.5 goals (83.33% probability), and possibly over 2.5 goals (66.67% probability).

Regarding both teams’ performances, the data indicates that it’s unlikely both teams will score (16.67% probability).

In conclusion, this analysis suggests a potentially high-scoring match, with VfB Stuttgart slightly favored for victory but Atalanta Bergamo showing strong offensive performances.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the in-depth analysis of the match between VfB Stuttgart and Atalanta Bergamo competing in the UEFA Champions League, several key factors need to be considered. Atalanta Bergamo has a higher offensive and defensive potential compared to VfB Stuttgart, which shows weakness in its defense. Therefore, a prediction of victory for Atalanta Bergamo seems like a reasonable decision with significant potential gains. On the other hand, statistics indicate a high probability of a high-scoring match with more than 2.5 goals expected. Finally, the BTTS (both teams to score) bet may not be advisable for this match due to Atalanta’s defensive strength and Stuttgart’s offensive weakness.

It is always wise to conduct one’s own analysis and rely on personal judgment before placing a bet. However, based on the information analyzed, betting on an Atalanta Bergamo victory and a match with over 2.5 goals seems to be the most interesting options.