Tipps VfL Wolfsburg Borussia Dortmund Coupe d'Allemagne 29/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

” Borussia Dortmund wins the match.”

1. Borussia Dortmund has a better offensive potential with an average of 3.2 goals per match compared to Wolfsburg’s offensive potential of 2.2. This suggests that Dortmund has a stronger attack and could score more goals.

2. The probability of a Dortmund win is 52.63%, the highest of the three possible outcomes (Dortmund win, draw, Wolfsburg win). This indicates a strong likelihood of victory for Dortmund according to the odds offered by bookmakers.

3. Taking into account Wolfsburg’s last five home matches, the team has lost three times and only won once, showing a particular weakness at home. This increases Dortmund’s chances of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics of the historical score of Wolfsburg’s home matches and Borussia Dortmund’s away matches demonstrate a high level of goals scored. For Wolfsburg, the average goals per match is 2.2 and for Borussia Dortmund, it is 3.2, resulting in a combined average of 5.4 goals per match, well above the 2.5 goals threshold.

2. The offensive potential of Wolfsburg at home and Borussia Dortmund away is very high, at 79% and 114% respectively. This indicates a high likelihood of many goals being scored and favors a total of goals exceeding 2.5.

3. The probability data provided also supports the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 61.18%. This is significantly higher than the probability of under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Offensive statistics: Both teams have a respectable offensive potential, showing a strong ability to score goals. Wolfsburg has scored 9 goals at home in their last 5 matches, while Borussia Dortmund has scored 7 goals away in their last 5 games, clearly indicating that both teams are capable of scoring in this match.

2. Defensive statistics: Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund also have a weak defensive potential, conceding 12 and 7 goals respectively in their last 5 matches. This suggests that both teams have vulnerable defenses and are likely to concede goals.

3. Recent match results: By looking at Wolfsburg’s previous home matches and Borussia Dortmund’s away games, a pattern emerges where both teams regularly score, further supporting the idea that both teams are likely to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Wolfsburg wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

“Wolfsburg 2-3 Borussia Dortmund”

1. Borussia Dortmund has a higher average of goals scored away from home than Wolfsburg at home (3.2 against 2.2), combined with the high likelihood of both teams scoring (65.13%), justifies the expectation of goals from both sides with a slight edge for Dortmund.

2. The probability of Borussia Dortmund winning the match is the highest (52.63%) and takes into account that Dortmund on average has a stronger defense away from home than Wolfsburg at home (79% against 93%).

3. Previous home matches for Wolfsburg and away matches for Dortmund show that they often concede and score more than two goals. Furthermore, the probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match is 61.18%, which aligns with the predicted score of 2-3.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Wolfsburg has won only one of its last 5 home matches and concedes more goals than it scores (12 against 9). The team has only won 20% of its home matches. Wolfsburg’s offense is average with a 79% score, while the defense is more susceptible with 93% efficiency.

Borussia Dortmund has an equivalent win rate to Wolfsburg in its last 5 away matches, at 20%. However, the situation is more balanced with 7 goals scored and 7 conceded. The team has a strong offensive potential at 114% and a decent defense at 79%.

Let’s then analyze the probabilities. Dortmund to win, at 52.63%, is the favored outcome. Publicly, a Wolfsburg win or a draw cannot be ruled out at 47.37%. A match with over 2.5 goals is expected at 61.18%.

In conclusion, Borussia Dortmund seems to have a slight advantage, but the match could be close with the possibility of a high number of goals.

The potential number of goals

Wolfsburg is struggling at home, with only a 20% win rate and 60% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 9 goals but conceded 12. Borussia Dortmund is more balanced away, with the same proportion (20%) of wins and draws. They have scored and conceded the same number of goals: 7.

Wolfsburg has an average of 2.2 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded per home match. Their offensive potential is at 79% and their defense at 93%. Dortmund has an average of 3.2 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded away, with 114% offensive potential and 79% defensive potential.

The probability of a Wolfsburg win is unfavorable (23.03%) compared to Dortmund (52.63%). A draw should be considered (24.34%). The option of a draw or a Dortmund win shows a high probability of success (76.97%).

The match is likely to see over 1.5 goals (85.53%) but less than 3.5 goals (63.82%). The probability of both teams scoring is high (65.13%).

Analyzing their recent matches, Wolfsburg has often scored but also conceded goals. On the other hand, Dortmund has shown an ability to score away but has also suffered defeats.

It seems likely that this match will be lively, with goals on both sides. A Dortmund win seems to be the preferable outcome. Keep these statistics in mind for your betting decisions.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

After a detailed analysis of the recent performances of Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, the most promising bets appear to be a victory for Borussia Dortmund, over 2.5 goals scored during the match, and both teams to score. However, a Wolfsburg win could offer interesting value due to higher odds compared to Dortmund. Additionally, the exact score of 2-3 in favor of Dortmund also seems plausible for this match.

Overall, a high-scoring and competitive match can be anticipated, given the offensive potential of both teams and their relatively vulnerable defenses. Nevertheless, despite playing away, Dortmund’s form and offensive ability seem to position them as favorites to win this match. As always, while these predictions are based on statistics and analyses of previous matches, nothing is guaranteed in the world of sports betting. Therefore, it is important to bet thoughtfully and responsibly.