Tipps VfL Wolfsburg FC Augsburg Bundesliga 02/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Wolfsburg wins the match”

1. Wolfsburg shows a better performance at home with a 40% win rate against Augsburg away from home, which also has a 40% win rate and a lack of draws.
2. Wolfsburg’s offensive and defensive potential at home is better, with 57% and 50% respectively, compared to Augsburg’s away record of 57% offensive and 64% defensive, meaning they concede more goals on average away from home.
3. The probability of Wolfsburg winning is higher at 41.45% compared to 33.68% for Augsburg, according to the betting indicators.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded are important: Wolfsburg has scored 8 goals and conceded 9 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Augsburg has scored 6 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 away matches. This results in an average of over 2.5 goals per match for both teams.

2. Both teams have offensive and defensive potential that confirms the first argument: Wolfsburg averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded (at home), while Augsburg also averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded (away). This totals an average of 3.2 goals, which is higher than 2.5 goals per match.

3. The calculated probability of there being over 2.5 goals in the match is 56.99%. This provides a better probability than the probability of under 2.5 goals in the match, indicating a tendency to have more than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Offensive potential: Both teams, Wolfsburg and Augsburg, have a strong offensive potential, each scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 games. This is consistent with the number of goals scored by each team during those matches (Wolfsburg 8 goals, Augsburg 6 goals).

2. Weak defensive potential: Wolfsburg and Augsburg have shown weak defensive potential, each conceding more goals than they have scored in their last 5 matches. Wolfsburg has conceded 9 goals at home and Augsburg 6 goals away.

3. Probabilities: Match prediction data give the “Both teams to score” option a success probability of 62.18%, which is relatively high compared to other options. This probability is supported by both teams’ past matches, where they have both scored and conceded goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Wolfsburg wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

“Wolfsburg 2-2 Augsburg”

1. First of all, historical statistics suggest that Wolfsburg and Augsburg are two teams with similar performances. In the last five home matches of Wolfsburg, they scored an average of 1.6 goals, while in the last five away matches of Augsburg, they also scored an average of 1.6 goals. This clearly indicates that both teams have the ability to score goals when facing each other, supporting the potential pulsating draw of 2-2.

2. Secondly, match probabilities indicate that the most likely outcome for Wolfsburg is either to win the match (41.45%) or to draw (24.87%). Therefore, a 2-2 draw is well within the realm of possibility. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is quite high (62.18%), further strengthening the potential scoreline of 2-2.

3. Lastly, when specifically looking at the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, they indeed align with a 2-2 scoreline. Wolfsburg has a defensive potential of 50% at home, while Augsburg has a defensive potential of 64% away. This suggests that both teams are likely to concede goals, hence a 2-2 scoreline is realistic.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Wolfsburg is hard to beat at home, winning or drawing in 80% of their last 5 matches, even though they have conceded more goals (9) than they have scored (8). Augsburg has struggled to win in their recent away games, with a victory only 40% of the time. Both teams have an average of 1.6 goals scored per match, but Augsburg have a leakier defense, conceding 1.8 goals per match compared to Wolfsburg’s 1.4.

Neither team clearly dominates, with Wolfsburg having a win probability of 41.45% and Augsburg at 33.68%. However, the match is likely to see goals, with a probability of over 1.5 goals in the match at 79.79% and over 2.5 goals at 56.99%.

Statistics suggest that both teams are likely to score (62.18% probability). Considering the recent form and odds, it appears that Wolfsburg have a slight edge, but a draw – priced at 3.75 – seems like an interesting option.

The potential number of goals

For Wolfsburg at home, victory is achieved or the match ends in a draw in 80% of cases. In attack, they score an average of 1.6 goals, but also concede 1.4 goals per match.

Augsburg away displays similar attacking statistics with 1.6 goals scored, but they tend to have a more leaky defense, conceding 1.8 goals per match.

Wolfsburg seems slightly favored to win this match with a probability of 41.45% compared to Augsburg’s 33.68%.

Statistics suggest there will be over 1.5 goals in the match with a 79.79% chance. The potential to have over 2.5 goals is also high at 56.99%.

The “both teams to score” bet has a 62.18% chance of happening.

In summary, we can expect an attacking game from both sides with a slight edge for Wolfsburg. Bets suggest goals, especially over 1.5 goals in the match and both teams scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this detailed analysis shows that the match between Wolfsburg and Augsburg is shaping up to be highly uncertain. While the statistics slightly favor Wolfsburg to win the match, Augsburg remains a tough opponent capable of causing an upset. The offensive potential of both teams suggests a high-scoring match, with a likely number of more than 2.5 goals. The bet “both teams to score” is also relevant based on the statistics.

However, it is important to consider that in the world of predictions, no result is 100% certain. Betting should remain an entertainment, and it is essential not to risk more money than you can afford to lose. Manage your bets, listen to different opinions before placing a wager, and bet rationally rather than out of passion. Good luck to you!