Tipps Villarreal Celta Vigo La Liga 26/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Villarreal wins the match

1. Favorable statistics: With a win rate of 52.08%, Villarreal has a higher probability of winning the match compared to Celta Vigo, which only has a 19.79% chance of victory.
2. Home performance: Villarreal has a strong record on their home turf. Even though they also concede at home, they tend to score more goals than their opponent in the majority of their matches, as evidenced by their last 5 home match results.
3. Defensive imbalance of Celta Vigo: Celta Vigo’s defensive percentage away is 50%, lower than Villarreal’s home percentage (79%). This means that Villarreal has a higher chance of scoring goals against Celta Vigo due to the latter’s relatively weaker defensive ability.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics from the recent matches show that both teams have a tendency to score a lot of goals, with Villarreal scoring 13 goals in 5 home games and Celta Vigo scoring 12 goals in 5 away games. This suggests a potentially high-scoring match.

2. The high offensive potentials observed for both teams also indicate the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals. Villarreal has an offensive potential of 36% while Celta Vigo has an offensive potential of 64%.

3. Looking at the recent matches of each team, both at home for Villarreal and away for Celta Vigo, a large majority have seen more than 2.5 goals scored. This reinforces the probability of a similar outcome for the next match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Recent statistics of Villarreal and Celta Vigo show a potential high offensive output for both teams with an average of goals scored exceeding 1 per match. Villarreal also displays a weak defensive potential, conceding more goals than they score on average at home.

2. In the last 5 home matches of Villarreal, both teams scored in every game. Similarly, in the last 5 away matches of Celta Vigo, both teams scored. This suggests that when these teams play, it is likely that both will score.

3. The success probabilities provided also support this prediction with a 57.29% success probability for both teams to score, which is higher than the probability of not scoring (42.71%).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Villarreal 2-2 Celta Vigo.

1. Recent match record: Both teams have a recent history of matches heavily influenced by goals. With Villarreal scoring 13 goals and conceding 13 in their last 5 home matches, and Celta Vigo scoring 12 goals and conceding 14 in their last 5 away matches, we can expect a match with goals from both sides.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: With an average offensive potential of 36% for Villarreal and 64% for Celta Vigo, and a defensive potential of 79% for Villarreal and 50% for Celta Vigo, we can expect both teams to score goals. Villarreal’s weakened defensive capabilities and Celta Vigo’s strong offensive ability could lead to a high score from both sides.

3. Goal averages: Villarreal averages 2 goals per home match and Celta Vigo averages 1.8 away, suggesting they are both likely to score at least 2 goals each. Moreover, the probability of both teams scoring is 57.29%, which statistically has a good chance of happening.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

At home, Villarreal wins 40% of the matches but scores and concedes 13 goals. A precarious balance.
Celta Vigo, away from home, has a victory rate of 40% and an average of 12 goals.
In terms of offensive strength, Villarreal stands at 36% compared to Celta Vigo’s 64%.
In previous matches, there have been goal exchanges at home for Villarreal against Atletico, Leicester, and Real Madrid.
For Celta Vigo, away from home, goals against West Ham, Luton, and Lille.
This match presents a high probability of 78.13% for over 1.5 goals and a probability of 57.29% for both teams to score.
The highest probability lies on a Villarreal win or a draw at 80.21%.
Despite a fragile defense, Villarreal’s team seems to have the confidence of statistics for this home duel.

The potential number of goals

Villarreal hosts Celta Vigo, with an average of 1 goal scored and 2.2 conceded per match at home. On the other hand, Celta Vigo has an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded away from home.

Looking at their last 5 matches, Villarreal has won 2 games, drawn once, and scored 13 goals. Celta Vigo has also won 2 of their last away matches, drawn twice, and scored 12 goals.

The probability of Villarreal winning is 52.08% with odds of 1.95. A draw has a probability of 28.13% with odds of 3.60. For Celta Vigo, the probability of winning is 19.79% with odds of 4.00.

There is a 78.13% chance of over 1.5 goals in the match with odds of 1.30. There is a 93.23% chance of under 4.5 goals with odds of 1.12.

The probability of both teams scoring is 57.29% with odds of 1.78.

Based on these statistics, a prediction of either a Villarreal win or a draw, with over 1.5 goals and both teams to score, could be reasonable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistics and analyses presented, the match between Villarreal and Celta Vigo seems to suggest several possible scenarios. It is very likely that we will see a game with over 2.5 goals given the strong offensive performances of both teams. The odds favor Villarreal in terms of winning the match, due to their solid home record and Celta Vigo’s defensive weaknesses away from home. However, the statistics also indicate a reasonable chance for a draw, and it is highly likely that both teams will score.

Taking into account these different factors can help bettors optimize their bets and strategies. However, it is important to remember that, despite the statistics and analyses, football remains an unpredictable sport and that risk is an integral part of any sports betting. Betting responsibly should always remain a priority.