Tipps Villarreal Real Madrid La Liga 19/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Real Madrid wins the match

1. Away Performances: Real Madrid has shown excellent performances in their recent away matches, winning in 60% of cases. Their offensive potential is also superior to Villarreal, with an average of 3.2 goals scored per match and a solid defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per match.
2. Statistics Comparison: Real Madrid has a success probability of 41.67% compared to Villarreal’s 25%. Additionally, Real Madrid’s offensive potential of 114% is significantly higher than Villarreal’s 79%.
3. Head-to-Head History: In their recent away matches, Real Madrid has managed to win or draw, for example against top teams like Bayern Munich or Manchester City. This trend could apply to the match against Villarreal.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Offensive performances: Considering the recent performances of both teams, they have both shown significant offensive strength. Villarreal has an offensive potential of 79% with an average of 2.2 goals per home match, while Real Madrid has an even higher offensive potential of 114% with an average of 3.2 goals per away match.

2. Leaky defenses: Both teams have also shown some defensive vulnerability. Villarreal has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per home match, while Real Madrid has conceded an average of 0.6 goals per away match. These goal concession numbers indicate that there is a chance for multiple goals to be scored during the match.

3. Probability rate: In addition to the recent performances of both teams, the probability for “More than 2.5 goals in the match” is 66.67%, which is relatively high. This probability rate suggests that the match will be goal-rich and surpasses the 2.5-goal threshold defined in the prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. Past statistics show a clear offensive dominance of two teams: Villarreal averages 2.2 goals scored at home while Real Madrid averages 3.2 goals scored away, indicating their ability to score in every match.

2. Both teams have also shown some defensive vulnerability. Villarreal has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, and Real Madrid has conceded an average of 0.6 goals away. This suggests a potential for both teams to score during the match.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is very high at 75%. Based on these probabilities for both teams, the most likely scenario would be that both teams manage to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Villarreal 2-2 Real Madrid.

1. The average goals scored and conceded by both teams in their last 5 matches corresponds to a final score of 2-2: On average, Villarreal scores 2.2 goals and concedes 1.2 goals per match when playing at home, while Real Madrid scores 3.2 goals and concedes 0.6 goals per match when playing away.

2. Both teams have a high probability of scoring goals: Based on statistics, there is a 75% probability that both teams will score during the match. When combining this with their respective averages of goals scored and conceded, a 2-2 score seems plausible.

3. Probability of results indicates a tight competition: Probability data suggests that the match will be competitive, with only a slight favor towards Real Madrid (41.67% vs. 25% for Villarreal). Similarly, the probability of a draw is relatively high (33.33%), supporting the idea of a 2-2 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Villarreal displays good form at home, with an 80% win rate. Their defense seems shaky with 12 goals conceded in 5 matches. But their attack compensates with 11 goals scored.

On the other hand, Real Madrid has a balanced performance away, with a 60% win rate and an average of 9 goals scored and conceded. They showcase an offensive power of 114% and a defensive solidity of 21%.

Statistics suggest a Real Madrid victory with a 41.67% probability. However, Villarreal also has a chance with 25%, especially since on average, they score more than Real Madrid at home.

It is highly likely (91.67%) that there will be over 1.5 goals with odds of 1.13.

Both teams are likely to score with a 75% probability, odds at 1.40.

Villarreal’s recent home matches show a strong offensive potential. For Real Madrid, their away games display a solid defense.

A close match but potentially fruitful for Real Madrid would be a plausible prediction.

The potential number of goals

Villarreal is in good form at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. However, their defense is leaking with 12 goals conceded. The attack is solid, having scored 11 goals.

Real Madrid has won 60% of their last 5 away matches. Their defense is impenetrable, conceding only 9 goals. They have also scored 9 goals, showing a strong performance.

On average, Villarreal scores 2.2 goals and concedes 1.2 goals at home. They are offensively efficient at 79% but defensively concerning at 43%.

On average, Real Madrid scores 3.2 goals and concedes 0.6 goals away from home. They are ultra-efficient in attack at 114% and solid in defense at 21%.

For predictions, Real Madrid is the favorite to win with a 41.67% chance. The possibility of a draw or Real Madrid victory is at 75%. There is a 91.67% probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a 75% chance.

This match is one to watch with a high potential for offensive action from both sides.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on recent performances and available statistics, it appears that the match between Villarreal and Real Madrid is likely to be an offensive game with several goals scored. Real Madrid holds an advantage in both previous wins and away performances, suggesting they may come out on top. However, considering Villarreal’s strong home attack and Real Madrid’s vulnerability on the road, it is very possible that both teams will score during the match. Betting wise, it would be prudent to consider “over 2.5 goals in the match” and “both teams to score – yes.” Even an exact score bet suggests a 2-2 draw. However, as always, it is important to remember that sports betting carries risks and it is important to bet responsibly.