Tipps Vissel Kobe Albirex Niigata J1 League 06/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the provided statistics, the forecast would be “Draw or Vissel Kobe wins the match.” This is based on Vissel Kobe having a relatively high rate of draws at home, and their home performance appearing slightly better than Albirex Niigata’s away performance.

1. Vissel Kobe has a high probability of drawing in home matches, with a draw rate of 60% in their last 5 home games. Just a reminder, a draw counts as a win in the “Draw or Vissel Kobe wins” bet.

2. Vissel Kobe has a better home performance compared to Albirex Niigata’s away performance. In the last 5 games, Vissel Kobe won 20% of their home matches and scored 7 goals, whereas Albirex Niigata won 40% of their away matches but only scored 5 goals.

3. In terms of offensive potential, Vissel Kobe has a 43% rate, which is 7% higher than Albirex Niigata – who have an offensive potential of 36%. In defensive terms, both teams are even with a defensive potential of 36%. This suggests that overall, Vissel Kobe might have a slight edge at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The goal statistics for both teams suggest a low overall goal production. Vissel Kobe has an average of 1.2 goals per match and Albirex Niigata 1 goal per match, so statistically, they are less likely to score more than 2.5 goals together in their matches.

2. The recent defensive performances of both teams also show a lack of opponents scoring many goals against them. At home, Vissel Kobe concedes on average 1 goal per match and, on the other hand, Albirex Niigata also concedes 1 goal per match when playing away.

3. When examining the results of the recent matches, it is clear that the majority did not contain more than 2.5 goals. For example, in the last 5 matches of Vissel Kobe at home, none ended with more than 2.5 goals. Similarly for Albirex Niigata, 4 of their last 5 away matches had fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Over the last 5 home matches, Vissel Kobe has struggled to score, as shown by the drawn matches or those in their disfavor, indicating a certain offensive weakness at home.
2. Similarly, Albirex Niigata has faced difficulties in scoring during their away games, as in two out of their last 5 away matches they failed to score.
3. Both teams have a relatively low offensive potential, with Vissel Kobe at 43% and Albirex Niigata at 36%, reducing the probability of either team scoring in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Vissel Kobe 1-1 Albirex Niigata

1. The recent form of both teams: In their last 5 respective matches, Vissel Kobe has achieved 60% draws at home while Albirex Niigata has obtained 20% draws away. This could indicate a trend towards a balanced result such as a draw.
2. Goal statistics: On average, Vissel Kobe scores 1.2 goals per home match and concedes 1 goal, while Albirex Niigata scores 1 goal away and also concedes 1 goal. This makes a 1-1 score plausible, given their offensive and defensive balance.
3. The key figure of their offensive and defensive potential: Both Vissel Kobe and Albirex Niigata have a defensive potential of 36%, indicating some parity in their ability to defend, which could result in a balanced score like 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Match Analysis:
– Vissel Kobe is not in great form at home with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, they have managed to draw 60% of the time.
– Albirex Niigata seems stronger away from home with a 40% win rate. However, their goals scored/conceded ratio (5/6) shows some defensive vulnerability.
– Both teams have similar offensive and defensive potential with an average of 1 goal per match.
– However, it is worth noting the low probabilities for this match, with 0% for either team’s victory or a draw.
– The match seems to lean towards a low-scoring result, confirmed by a 100% probability of under 3.5 goals in the match.
– Lastly, there is a 100% probability that both teams will not score.

Prediction:
– A match with few goals, likely under 3.5.
– Strong chance that both teams will not score.
– The victory could go either way, although there is a slight tendency towards Albirex Niigata due to their better away performance.

The potential number of goals

Vissel Kobe has a mixed record at home. They win 20% of their matches and draw 60% of the time. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8 in these matchups, making for a relatively balanced spectacle.

Albirex Niigata, when playing away, shows a slightly better form, with victories in 40% of matches and draws in 20%. With 5 goals scored and 6 conceded, their profile is very similar to Vissel Kobe’s.

Vissel Kobe averages 1.2 goals per match and concedes 1. They have an offensive strength of 43% and defensive resilience of 36%. Albirex Niigata, on the other hand, scores and concedes an average of 1 goal per match, with offensive and defensive potential both at 36%.

However, probabilities indicate a close match. Both teams are unlikely to score, with a 100% chance that both teams do not score. The match is also expected to be low-scoring, with a certainty of less than 4.5 goals in the game.

With this data, anticipating a defensive and potentially tight match, where both teams could struggle to score, seems likely. A low or even goalless draw could be considered.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of statistics ahead of the match between Vissel Kobe and Albirex Niigata suggests it could be a tight contest with few goals. Not only have both teams shown some difficulty in scoring goals recently, but they have also been able to prevent their opponents from scoring on them, which could lead to a tightly locked match with low scores. However, despite their poor home form, Vissel Kobe appears to have a slight edge over Albirex Niigata, thanks to their higher home draw rate and slightly superior home performance. Ultimately, it will all depend on both teams’ ability to be creative and break through the opposing defense. Additionally, a bet on a draw or a Vissel Kobe win could offer interesting value for bettors. In any case, caution is advised when it comes to sports betting, as despite all statistics and analyses, football remains an unpredictable sport.