Tipps Vitoria Botafogo Serie A 12/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Botafogo RJ wins the match.

1. Over their last 5 matches, Botafogo RJ have shown a better offensive and defensive potential compared to Vitoria, especially away from home: they score an average of 1.8 goals per match compared to 1.6 for Vitoria, and concede fewer with an average of 1 goal per match against 1.6 for Vitoria.
2. The last home match of Vitoria against Botafogo RJ ended in a victory for Botafogo RJ. This suggests that Botafogo RJ can compete with Vitoria on their turf.
3. The probability of success for the scenario “Draw or Botafogo RJ wins” is quite high at 62.92%. This shows that the statistics strongly support this hypothesis compared to Vitoria’s sole victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics from the last five home matches of Vitoria and away matches of Botafogo RJ indicate an average of less than 3 goals. For example, Vitoria has scored an average of 1.6 goals per home match, and Botafogo RJ has scored an average of 1.8 goals per away match. These numbers suggest a low-scoring match.
2. In their respective last five matches, Vitoria has conceded more goals (9 in total) than they have scored (7 in total), and Botafogo RJ has scored as many goals as they have conceded (7 in total). These statistics suggest that both teams have relatively solid defenses, which could limit the number of goals scored in their clash.
3. The odds for the ‘under 2.5 goals’ market in the match are at 1.60. This odds is relatively low, indicating that bookmakers believe there is a high probability that the match will end with less than 3 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics show that Vitoria faces a challenge at home, having conceded more goals (9) than they have scored (7) in their last five home matches. This raises questions about their ability to score against Botafogo.

2. Recent away results of Botafogo RJ demonstrate a stronger offensive potential, averaging 7 goals scored per match versus 1. However, their weak defensive potential (36%) suggests they may maintain their lead and prevent Vitoria from scoring.

3. The probability of both teams not scoring is higher (53.93%) than the probability of both teams scoring (46.07%), according to the available betting odds. This supports the assumption that at least one of the teams will fail to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams to score – 46.07% success rate: 1.95

Bet on the exact result

Vitoria 1-2 Botafogo RJ

1. Recent Statistics: In their last home matches, Vitoria has scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 1.6 goals, suggesting a trend towards close scores. On the other hand, Botafogo RJ has an average of 1.8 goals scored away and 1 goal conceded, favoring their victory in this match.

2. Probability Projections: Although the probability of Vitoria winning the match is slightly higher (37.08% compared to 31.46% for Botafogo RJ), the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match is significantly higher (64.61%). This supports the prediction of a 1-2 score.

3. Previous Encounters: In their last home match against Botafogo RJ, Vitoria lost 1-2, which exactly matches the score prediction. Additionally, Botafogo RJ has won three of their last five away matches. These historical results reinforce the score prediction of 1-2 in favor of Botafogo RJ.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Vitoria has shown mixed performances at home, with a 40% win rate and 60% of matches ending in draws. They have scored 7 goals but conceded 9, raising questions about their defense. On the other hand, Botafogo RJ has won 60% of their away matches and drawn in 20% of cases. They have managed to score as many goals as Vitoria (7), but have maintained a strong defense, conceding only 7 goals. Despite their defensive challenges, Vitoria has an offensive strength of 57%. Botafogo RJ has a slightly higher offensive strength (64%), with a stronger defense, conceding on average just one goal per match. In terms of betting probabilities, a draw or Vitoria winning the match has a success probability of 68.54% with odds of 1.47, while a draw or Botafogo RJ winning the match has a slightly lower success probability of 62.92% also with odds of 1.47. The safest bet would be “Under 3.5 goals in the match” with a probability of 96.63%. This is consistent with the recent scores of both teams, which have rarely exceeded 3 goals on average in their last matches. Overall, a match with under 3.5 goals and either a Vitoria win or a draw seems like a reasonable prediction based on the statistics.

The potential number of goals

The match between Vitoria and Botafogo RJ remains unpredictable. At home, Vitoria tends to draw matches. Their average score is 1.6 goals per match, both in attack and defense. On the other hand, Botafogo RJ has won 60% of their recent away matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match while conceding only 1 goal.

Comparing the numbers, Botafogo RJ shows a stronger offensive potential at 64%, surpassing Vitoria’s 57%. In defense, Botafogo RJ also stands out with a defensive potential of 36%, while Vitoria is at 57%.

The odds suggest a tight match, with a slight advantage for Vitoria at 37.08% chance of winning, compared to 31.46% for Botafogo RJ. However, a draw is also likely at 31.46%.

It is probable that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match (64.61% probability). However, the most likely scenario is a match with less than 3.5 goals (96.63% probability).

The history of previous matches shows a balance, with a recent victory for Botafogo RJ over Vitoria. Furthermore, Botafogo RJ has won four out of their last five away matches.

In conclusion, the game is expected to be closely contested and unlikely to exceed 3.5 goals. A draw or a narrow victory for either team seems plausible.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the various statistical data, it would be advisable to bet on a draw or a Botafogo RJ victory. The past performances of these two teams show that Botafogo RJ has a slight advantage, especially in terms of offensive and defensive efficiency. However, since football is unpredictable, a turnaround is never to be ruled out.

Regarding the total number of goals, it seems safer to bet on fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. Indeed, both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede few goals in their recent matches.

As for the BTTS market, a prediction that both teams will not score seems reasonable given the statistics. Indeed, Vitoria may struggle to score against Botafogo RJ’s solid defense.

Finally, in terms of the ‘value bet’, although both teams to score may seem risky, the odds offered could be tempting for the most daring bettors.

In summary, despite a slight trend in favor of Botafogo RJ, this match promises to be competitive and could end with a close score. It is recommended for bettors to consider all this information to make an informed bet and thus maximize their chances of winning. It is also crucial to bet responsibly and never bet more than one can afford to lose.