Tipps Vitoria Flamengo Serie A 25/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Flamengo wins the match.

1. Flamengo has a higher probability of winning the match (50.79%) compared to Vitoria (23.04%). This percentage reflects Flamengo’s recent strength, making them the favorite according to the forecasts.

2. Flamengo has shown outstanding offensive performance in their recent away matches, averaging 2 goals per game. On the other hand, Vitoria has conceded an average of 2 goals at home per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that Flamengo could exploit.

3. Looking at recent performances, Flamengo has managed to win most of their away matches, while Vitoria has shown mixed results at home. Flamengo’s recent victories include strong teams like Atletico MG, Fluminense, and Vasco Da Gama RJ, further boosting confidence in predicting their win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5

1. Flamengo’s attacking potential away from home is 71% with an average of 2 goals per match. Furthermore, Flamengo has scored 13 goals in their last 5 away matches, which is a good indication of their offensive performance.
2. Vitoria’s defensive potential at home is 71%, meaning they tend to concede goals. Additionally, Vitoria has conceded an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 home matches, increasing the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals.
3. Recent match history shows a trend towards high scores for both teams. For Flamengo, 4 of their last 5 away matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored. As for Vitoria, 3 of their last 5 home matches have also surpassed this threshold. This further strengthens the chances of Over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. Defensive analysis: Vitoria at home has an average of 2 goals conceded per match with a defensive potential of 71%. This means they are likely to concede at least one goal to Flamengo. However, in 3 of their last 5 home matches, they have managed not to concede more than one goal.

2. Offensive analysis: When playing away, Flamengo scores an average of 2 goals per match and has an offensive potential of 71%. However, Vitoria at home has only scored 1 goal on average per match. Furthermore, in 3 of their last 5 home matches, Vitoria has only scored one goal.

3. Betting statistics: The probability of both teams not scoring is 52.88% with odds of 1.80, suggesting that this has a good chance of happening according to bookmakers.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Vitoria 1-2 Flamengo

1. Flamengo displays a more promising performance with a 60% win rate, coupled with a superior offensive potential (71%) compared to Vitoria’s (36%). They score an average of 2 goals per match, increasing the probability of scoring at least 2 goals in this specific match.

2. Vitoria has conceded more goals than they have scored, with an average of 2 goals conceded per match and a low defensive potential of 71%. This reinforces the prediction of at least 2 goals in favor of Flamengo.

3. The probability of Flamengo winning this match is the highest, with odds of 50.79%. Combined with the fact that Flamengo has managed to score in all of their last 5 away matches, this strengthens the prediction of an exact score of 2 for Flamengo.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Vitoria has a solid home performance, with 60% wins and 40% draws. However, they have a weak defense, conceding an average of 2 goals per match.

Flamengo, in their last 5 away matches, also wins in 60% of cases. They have a strong offensive capability, scoring an average of 2 goals per match.

Statistics show that Flamengo has a higher probability (50.79%) of winning the match, with odds of 1.87, compared to Vitoria with a success chance of 23.04%.

There is also a high probability (69.63%) that the match will have over 1.5 goals, indicating an active attack from both teams. However, the chance of both teams scoring is almost balanced, with a slight lean of 52.88% towards the scenario where both teams do not score.

Looking at the recent matches, Flamengo shows a strong ability to score away from home, while Vitoria, despite their wins, struggles to keep a clean sheet.

In conclusion, Flamengo seems to be the favorite for this match, especially due to their strong away performance and offensive capability. However, a high-scoring match is possible, given Vitoria’s vulnerable defense.

The potential number of goals

Vitoria shows a mixed home record with 60% wins and 40% draws, but their defensive performances have been lacking, conceding 9 goals in 5 matches. Offensively, they score an average of 1 goal per game.

Flamengo, on the other hand, has been generally superior away from home with a 60% win rate and has shown a strong attacking force by scoring 13 goals. Their defense concedes an average of 1.4 goals per game.

In terms of probabilities, Flamengo has the edge with a 50.79% chance of winning. The probabilities also suggest a match with over 1.5 goals.

Based on these numbers, Flamengo seems better equipped for this match, although both teams have shown some defensive vulnerability. The previous matches of both teams also suggest that several goals could be scored in this encounter.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

After conducting a thorough analysis of statistics, recent performances, and potential defensive vulnerabilities, the prognosis for the Vitoria vs Flamengo match leans towards Flamengo. Their strong offensive performance, especially in away matches, and ability to score an average of two goals per game, reinforce this preference. However, given Vitoria’s weak defense, the match is expected to be high-scoring, with over 2.5 goals.

Furthermore, although both teams have good scoring potential, statistics suggest that both teams will not score. In particular, the odds favor a scenario where Vitoria will not score against Flamengo.

Overall, the safest bets appear to be a victory for Flamengo and over 2.5 goals scored during the match. However, as always in gambling, nothing is 100% certain. It is therefore recommended to bet responsibly.