Tipps Wales Montenegro UEFA Nations League 14/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Wales wins the match”

1. The past performance of Wales at home is better than that of Montenegro away, with a win in 40% of cases compared to just 20% for Montenegro.

2. The offensive potential of Wales at home is also slightly lower than that of Montenegro away, but their defensive potential is much higher (36% compared to 64%).

3. Finally, according to the forecasts, Wales has a success probability of 59.69% to win the match, compared to only 11.52% for Montenegro. Also, both teams have a higher probability rate of not scoring (59.69%). This indicates that Wales could maintain a strong defense throughout the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Wales has a relatively low offensive potential, scoring an average of only 0.4 goals per home match in their last 5 games. This suggests that the number of goals scored could be low.

2. Montenegro also shows a low offensive potential away from home, with an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 outings. With both teams having a limited ability to score, a total of under 2.5 goals in the match seems plausible.

3. Recent match statistics suggest that both teams are stronger defensively than offensively. Wales has conceded an average of 1 goal per home match, while Montenegro has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per away match, indicating that both teams are capable of holding their opponents, which could limit the total number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Strong defensive statistics: Recent performance analysis of both teams, particularly their defensive capability, suggests they tend not to concede many goals. For example, Wales has only conceded an average of 1 goal per home match, while Montenegro has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per away match.

2. Lack of offensive power: Wales has only scored an average of 0.4 goals per home match, while Montenegro has scored an average of 0.6 goals per away match. This lack of offensive strength indicates a higher likelihood that one or both teams will not score during the match.

3. Head-to-head history: Recent matches between the two teams also suggest a lack of goals. Wales has had several goalless draws at home, and Montenegro has also had matches without scoring away.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Wales 1-0 Montenegro

1. Wales has a high probability of winning the match with a success rate of 59.69%. Furthermore, they are playing at home, which can often contribute to better performances.
2. Montenegro’s weak away attack, with an average of 0.6 goals per match, suggests they may struggle to score against Wales.
3. Based on the probabilities, it is more likely that both teams will not score (59.69%) and the probabilities of less than 1.5 goals in the match are relatively high. This indicates a low-scoring match, which is consistent with a prediction of 1-0 for Wales.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Wales has an average home performance with 40% of wins and 7 goals scored in 5 matches. There have also been 8 goals conceded, indicating a somewhat fragile defense.

On the other hand, Montenegro on the road is not doing much better with only 20% of wins and 4 goals scored in 5 matches. The defense has leaked with 7 goals conceded.

Wales’ offensive performance at home is quite weak with 0.4 goals per match. The defense also struggles to keep a clean sheet with 1 goal conceded per match.

Away from home, Montenegro has a better offensive potential with 0.6 goals per match but a struggling defense with 1.8 goals conceded per match.

According to the odds, Wales has a good probability of success at 59.69%. The chances of a draw are 28.8% and Montenegro’s victory is at 11.52%.

There is a 71.73% chance that the match will see more than 1.5 goals, indicating a potentially lively match.

Lastly, both teams have a 40.31% probability of scoring in this match. Betting on goals from both sides could therefore be an interesting option.

The potential number of goals

In the last 5 home matches, Wales won twice, but did not draw. They scored 7 goals and conceded 8. Meanwhile, Montenegro, in their last 5 outings, won once and did not draw. They scored 4 goals and conceded 7.

Wales, at home, averages 1.4 goals scored and conceded per match. Montenegro, away, averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match.

The probability of Wales winning is 59.69%, a draw is 28.8%, and Montenegro winning is 11.52%.

A match with less than 1.5 goals has odds of 3.10, while a match with over 1.5 goals has a probability of 71.73% at odds of 1.38.

Wales’ last two home matches ended in goalless draws against Turkey and Poland. Montenegro lost their last two away matches 2-0 against Iceland and Belgium, but managed to score in the three previous matches with two losses and a victory against Dynamo Kyiv.

Prediction: Wales is most likely to win with fewer than 2.5 total goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the past performance of both teams, the offensive and defensive potential of each team, as well as the probabilities and statistics analyzed, the most likely prediction for this UEFA Nations League match between Wales and Montenegro would be a Wales win with under 2.5 goals in the match.

However, it is important to remember that while these predictions are based on in-depth analysis of past statistics and current form of the teams, nothing is guaranteed in the world of sports betting and every bet carries a certain level of risk. Bettors are therefore encouraged to gamble responsibly.