Tipps Walsall Exeter City League Cup 13/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Exeter City wins the match

1. Exeter City has a higher win rate than Walsall in their respective last 5 matches (40% compared to 20% for Walsall), showing some form for Exeter City.
2. Betting success odds place Exeter City as favorites for the match with a 43.28% chance of winning, compared to only 28.36% for Walsall.
3. Looking at defensive potential, Walsall has averaged 1.6 goals conceded per match in their last 5 home matches, while Exeter City has averaged 2.6 goals conceded. However, Exeter City’s defensive potential is higher at 93%, which could indicate they have a better defense.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics show that Walsall has an average of 1.8 goals per home match, while Exeter City concedes an average of 2.6 goals per away match. This indicates a trend towards high-scoring games, especially when Walsall is the home team.

2. Moreover, in Walsall’s last 5 home matches, over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 matches. These numbers suggest a certain level of consistency in the number of goals scored in Walsall’s matches.

3. Finally, the predictions give a 55.22% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match. This is based on the past and potential performances of both teams, so a bet on over 2.5 goals in the match would be supported by the given probabilities.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive potential of Walsall at home is quite high (64% with an average of 1.8 goals per match) and its defensive potential suggests that it tends to concede goals (57% with an average of 1.6 goals per match). This gives a good probability that Walsall will score and concede at least one goal.

2. Exeter City also has a good probability of scoring and conceding goals when playing away, with an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 93%. Furthermore, in its last two away matches, Exeter City managed to score.

3. Analyzing the probabilities of all possible outcomes for the match indicates that the scenario “Both teams to score” has a success probability of 60.45% – which is higher than the probability of “Both teams not to score”. This level of probability suggests that both teams have a good chance of scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Walsall wins the match – 1.70.

Bet on the exact result

“Walsall 1-2 Exeter City”

1. Exeter has a higher win record than Walsall: In their last 5 matches, Exeter has won 40% of their away games while Walsall has only won 20% of their home games, making the probability of an Exeter win higher.

2. Exeter has a solid defense: Looking at the scores from the last 5 matches, Exeter has conceded fewer goals (2.6 goals per match) than Walsall (1.6 goals per match), indicating a stronger defense from Exeter.

3. Both teams have high probabilities of scoring: There is a 60.45% chance that both teams will score. This, combined with past performance statistics, suggests a competitive match, giving credence to a potential 1-2 scoreline in favor of Exeter.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Walsall shows a limited home win record. Only 1 win out of 5 matches. It’s not much. Exeter City manages 2 wins out of 5 away matches. Correct, but not exceptional.

The balance is perfect at Walsall: 6 goals scored and 6 goals conceded in 5 matches. At Exeter, there is a struggle to score: Only 4 goals in 5 matches.

Walsall scores more but also concedes: 1.8 goals scored on average against 1.6 conceded. In contrast, Exeter has a weak offensive potential: only 0.6 goals on average per match. And the defense is taking a hit: 2.6 goals conceded on average!

Walsall victory? The statistics are not in its favor: 28.36% probability with odds of 3.10. Exeter is the favorite with a 43.28% probability and odds of 2.20.

If you like accumulator bets: a draw or an Exeter win seems to be the safe choice with a 71.64% probability.

And for the number of goals? A more pragmatic bet: Under 4.5 goals with an 82.09% probability.

Finally, if you like risk-taking: “Both teams to score” is a tempting option with a probability of 60.45%.

The potential number of goals

Walsall has a home performance of 1.8 goals scored per match on average and concedes 1.6 goals, giving them an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 57%. Home wins are balanced with a 20% success rate and draws. The total goals for and against are 6.

On the other hand, Exeter City averages 0.6 goals scored per away match and concedes 2.6 goals, resulting in an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 93%. They have won 40% of away matches with 4 goals scored and conceded.

The match has a 43.28% probability of Exeter City winning, with odds of 2.20. For Walsall, the probability is 28.36% for a win or a draw, with odds of 3.10 and 3.75 respectively.

Bets suggest over 1.5 goals with a probability of 77.61% at 1.24, while under 2.5 goals are priced at 2.10. There is also a high chance of seeing under 4.5 goals at 82.09% at 1.16.

The probability of both teams scoring is 60.45% at odds of 1.60, and it should be noted that a draw or an Exeter City win has a 71.64% probability at 1.38.

Based on these statistics, Exeter City seems to be the favorite despite their modest away scores and could have the advantage due to their solid defense. Walsall will need to increase their offensive efficiency for a win.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, although Walsall has shown solid form, particularly at home, this match appears to be leaning towards Exeter City. This is mainly due to Exeter’s somewhat superior performance in the last 5 games, their higher win rate, and the 43.28% probability given to an Exeter win that the odds are in their favor. However, considering Walsall’s previous performances, the 56.72% probability for ‘draw or Walsall wins’ offers an interesting betting opportunity.

On the goal front, it seems likely that over 2.5 goals will be scored, given the average scores of both teams and their previous match history. It is also highly likely that both teams will score in this match, considering their respective offensive potential. Nevertheless, as with all sports betting, it is important to remember that the final outcome is, to some extent, unpredictable and it is essential to bet responsibly.