Tipps Watford Stoke City Championship 17/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Stoke City wins the match

1. Stoke City has a more impressive away performance with 80% of wins in their last 5 matches, unlike Watford who only has a 40% home win rate.
2. Stoke City has shown a stronger defense by conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per match in their last 5 away games, unlike Watford who concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match at home.
3. Despite similar odds for a Stoke City or Watford win (35.94%), Stoke City’s recent away match history demonstrates greater consistency in their performances, increasing Stoke City’s chances of victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Stoke City’s offensive capabilities away from home are rather weak compared to Watford’s home record. Statistically, they score an average of 0.8 goals per game on the road while Watford concedes an average of 1.6 goals at home.
2. The head-to-head record of the last 5 matches at Watford’s home against Stoke City’s last 5 away matches yields an average of 2.2 goals per game, which is below 2.5 goals.
3. The odds also suggest a low-scoring match. The probability of having fewer than 2.5 goals in the match is estimated at 1.78, which is lower than the odds for over 2.5 goals (2.05).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes.

1. The offensive and defensive records of both teams are as follows: Watford has an offensive potential of 100% and has scored 7 goals in their last 5 home matches. Additionally, Stoke City has an offensive potential of 29% and has scored 10 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Head-to-head history: The recent matches of Watford at home and Stoke City away have seen a variety of scores, suggesting that both teams have a chance of scoring.

3. Probabilities: According to the given probabilities, there is a 57.81% chance that both teams will score during the match, which is a fairly high percentage.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Translate directly to English: Watford 2-1 Stoke City “

1. Watford’s offensive potential at home is 100%, showing their ability to score when playing at home. Looking at their history, they have scored 2 goals or more in 60% of their last 5 home matches and considering the average goals (2.8) per match, a score of 2 goals for Watford seems plausible.

2. Stoke City, despite a high away win percentage, has a low defensive potential of 14%. This, combined with the fact that they have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicates a tendency to concede goals on the road. So Watford, with a strong offensive potential, is likely to score at least 2 goals against Stoke City.

3. In Stoke City’s last 5 away matches, they have managed to score in 80% of cases. Taking this percentage into account along with their offensive potential of 29%, it is probable that Stoke City will score a goal against Watford. Furthermore, Watford has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per home match, increasing the likelihood that Stoke City will score at least one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Watford has recently shown a mixed performance at home, with 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw. They have scored and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches.

On the other hand, Stoke City is in better form away from home, with 4 wins and a loss, scoring 10 goals and conceding the same amount.

In terms of calculated offensive and defensive potential, Watford at home is clearly more effective with 100% compared to Stoke City’s 29% away. However, Stoke’s defensive potential is higher than Watford’s, 14% compared to 57%.

The calculated probabilities suggest that the match could go in favor of Watford or Stoke City with an equal likelihood of 35.94%. The match could also end in a draw with a probability of 28.13%.

As for goals, there is a 74.48% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals and 47.92% for more than 2.5 goals. Both teams to score has a probability of 57.81%.

Looking at their recent matches, Stoke has managed to score goals even away from home, while Watford has struggled to keep a clean sheet.

Therefore, a match with over 1.5 goals seems like a safe bet, with both teams likely to score. As for the final result of the match, it’s too close to call, with Watford and Stoke having fairly equal chances of winning.

The potential number of goals

Watford shows a fairly balanced record at home with 40% of wins and an average of 2.8 goals scored per match. However, their defense is lacking as they have conceded 7 goals. Stoke City, on the other hand, is impressive with 80% of wins away from home. Their attack is less prolific with 0.8 goals per match but their defense is solid, conceding only 0.4 goals on average.

Watford displays an offensive potential of 100% at home, while Stoke City only presents 29%. Defensively, Watford is at 57%, far from Stoke’s 14%. This could make the match highly contested, with moments of great intensity.

The match has almost the same probabilities of either Watford winning or Stoke City coming out on top (35.94%). A draw is not out of the question at 28.13%. However, betting on “Draw or Watford to win” could be an interesting choice with a success probability of 64.06%.

There are higher chances of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match (74.48%). Both teams have the ability to score as shown in their recent matches, with a 57.81% chance that both teams will score during the match.

In conclusion, this match should be tight and high-scoring. The betting choice could focus on more than 1.5 goals in the match or both teams to score. However, the match outcome remains highly uncertain.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all these analyses and statistics, this match between Watford and Stoke City looks to be particularly tight and uncertain. While Stoke City seems to be performing impressively away from home with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches, Watford should not be underestimated at home, boasting a 100% offensive potential.

In terms of betting, considering the performances of both teams, betting on a total of over 1.5 goals in the match seems to be a safe bet. The option of “both teams to score” is also worth considering, with a rather high probability of 57.81%.

However, the outcome of the match remains highly uncertain, and predicting the winner looks tricky. A draw or a Watford win seems slightly more likely with a 64.06% chance. Lastly, an interesting value bet to consider is betting on a total of over 2.5 goals in the match, taking into account Watford’s average goals scored at home and Stoke’s tendency to score away.

In any case, this match should be full of twists and goals, given the offensive potential of both teams. By betting wisely, it is entirely possible to make a good profit out of it.