Tipps Werder Bremen Borussia Monchengladbach Bundesliga 04/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Werder Bremen wins the match”

1. Werder Bremen has a better defensive potential of 64% compared to Mönchengladbach’s 71%, meaning that their defense is stronger, especially at home where they tend to concede fewer goals.
2. The statistics also show that Werder Bremen has a higher probability of winning (42.19%) compared to Mönchengladbach (29.69%). This figure represents a good prediction based on past performances.
3. Werder Bremen has achieved more stable results at home, with 60% of draws in their last 5 matches, demonstrating a certain level of consistency that could translate into a victory against Mönchengladbach.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent home match statistics for Werder Bremen and away match statistics for Mönchengladbach show an average of over 2.5 goals per match (Werder Bremen averaging 3 goals per match while Mönchengladbach averages 3.4).
2. The offensive potential of both teams is quite strong, with Werder Bremen at 43% and Mönchengladbach at 50%. This suggests that both teams have an offensive approach to their matches, leading to a higher probability of goals.
3. Finally, the forecast predicts a success probability of 54.69% for over 2.5 goals in the match. This figure is supported by the recent goal averages of both teams and their respective offensive potentials.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Past match statistics show that both teams tend to score and concede goals. Indeed, Werder Bremen scored 5 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Mönchengladbach scored 9 goals and conceded 10 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The scores of their recent matches played at home and away respectively show that both teams have scored at least once in the majority of cases.

3. Calculated probabilities suggest that both teams score with a success probability of 59.38%, making it a more likely scenario than them not scoring (40.62% probability).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Werder Bremen 1-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

1. Looking at the statistics from their recent matches, it appears that Werder Bremen often plays to a draw at home (60%), while Mönchengladbach also has a decent percentage of draws when playing away (40%). Furthermore, in their recent matches, there have been several 1-1 final results for both teams, notably against Heidenheim and Mainz for Mönchengladbach.

2. Goal statistics also support this prediction. At home, Werder Bremen averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match. On the other hand, Mönchengladbach averages 1.4 goals scored and 2 goals conceded in their away matches. These numbers suggest that both teams are likely to score a goal each in this match.

3. The provided probabilities back up this prediction. The likelihood of both teams scoring is 59.38%, while the probability of a draw is 28.13%. Additionally, the probability of over 1.5 goals being scored in the match is quite high at 78.13%. All these factors support the prediction of the match ending in a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Werder Bremen has a low winning rate at home, with only 20% of victories. Draws dominate their performance, accounting for 60%. They focus more on defense, conceding 7 goals and scoring 5.

Mönchengladbach, on the other hand, has similar stats when playing away. They win 20% of their matches, with 40% ending in draws. They score more with 9 goals, but also concede more with 10 goals.

On average, Werder Bremen scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1.8 goals at home. Offensive potential: 43%. Defensive potential: 64%. Mönchengladbach scores 1.4 goals and concedes 2 goals away. Offensive potential: 50%. Defensive potential: 71%.

The probability of a draw or a Werder Bremen win is relatively high (70.31%) with odds of 1.44. The probability of a match with over 1.5 goals is even higher, at 78.13%.

Conclusion: Predicting a draw or a Werder Bremen win seems the safest option. Expecting over 1.5 goals would also be wise. Both teams scoring is plausible with a probability of 59.38%.

The potential number of goals

Werder Bremen at home wins 20% of its matches but remains solid, drawing in 60% of cases. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 matches. Their offensive performance stands at 43%, defensive at 64%.

Mönchengladbach away from home has the same 20% win rate but a less frequent draw at 40%. They have scored 9 and conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches. Their offensive is at 50% and defensive at 71%.

The match seems balanced, with slightly more chance for Werder Bremen at 42.19% at odds of 2.35. A draw is at 3.75 with 28.13%, while Mönchengladbach to win is at 2.90 with 29.69% probability.

The probability of under 1.5 goals is low, but over 1.5 goals seems safe at 78.13% at odds of 1.18. Similarly, under 2.5 goals is less certain compared to over 2.5 goals at 54.69%.

The probability of both teams scoring is quite high at 59.38%, which could make for an exciting game.

Based on recent matches, Werder Bremen doesn’t seem very strong at home, while Mönchengladbach remains predictable away. A safe prediction would be over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a risk on Werder Bremen to win at 2.35.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the data strongly supports a prediction of a draw or a victory for Werder Bremen, with a higher probability of a score of over 1.5 goals. This outcome is bolstered by Werder Bremen’s strong tendency to draw in home matches and Mönchengladbach’s relative weakness in away matches.

However, it is also likely that both teams will score, with a probability of 59.38%. This suggests the potential for an active match with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides. It is therefore recommended for bettors to take this into consideration when making their next wager.

Nevertheless, sports betting always carries a level of risk, and while these predictions are based on statistics, they do not guarantee a certain outcome. It is always advised to bet responsibly.