Tipps Wigan Barnsley League Cup 13/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Barnsley wins the match.”

1. Barnsley has a very strong offensive potential, with an average of 2.8 goals scored per match in their last 5 away games, while Wigan Athletic has an average of only 0.6 goals per match at home.
2. In their last 5 away games, Barnsley has won 40% of their matches, which is equivalent to Wigan Athletic’s home win rate. However, Barnsley has also drawn in 20% of cases, giving them a total non-losing rate of 60%.
3. Wigan Athletic has struggled defensively in home matches, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, resulting in a defensive efficiency of only 43%. In comparison, Barnsley concedes an average of 1.6 goals away, but their offensive efficiency could make up for that.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5

1. Barnsley has a very high offensive potential in their away matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game. This offensive performance could lead to a total number of goals exceeding 2.5 for this match.
2. Both teams have a mediocre to poor defensive record, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game for Wigan Athletic and 1.6 for Barnsley. This means that both teams are likely to concede goals, increasing the chances of a total of over 2.5 goals.
3. By analyzing Barnsley’s recent away matches, several of these games have resulted in more than 2.5 goals (Blackburn Rovers 4 – 3 Barnsley, AFC Fylde 0 – 2 Barnsley, Worksop Town 1 – 2 Barnsley). This further strengthens the argument for an Over 2.5 prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Wigan Athletic has a weak offensive capacity when playing at home, with an average of 0.6 goals per match and an offensive potential of only 21%. This means it is less likely that they will score in this match.
2. Although Barnsley has a better offensive performance away from home with an average of 2.8 goals per match, Wigan Athletic has a relatively strong defensive potential at home with a rating of 43%, which could limit Barnsley’s ability to score.
3. The latest home matches of Wigan Athletic also show a trend where they failed to score in two of those matches. This, combined with their overall statistics, suggests that it is more likely for both teams not to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Barnsley wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Wigan Athletic 1-2 Barnsley

1. Barnsley’s offensive performance is superior to that of Wigan Athletic: On average, Barnsley scores 2.8 goals per away match while Wigan Athletic only scores 0.6 goals per home match.
2. Barnsley’s defensive performance is better than that of Wigan Athletic: On average, Barnsley concedes 1.6 goals per away match while Wigan Athletic concedes 1.2 goals per home match.
3. Barnsley’s recent statistics are more convincing: Barnsley has managed to score in each of their last 5.0 away trips while Wigan Athletic has struggled to score at home, especially against strong teams like Manchester United and Derby County.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Wigan Athletic has had mixed performances at home, with 2 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded the same amount. It appears that their attack is weak, averaging only 0.6 goals per match.

Barnsley is also not flawless away from home. With 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, they have a similar record to Wigan. However, they have scored twice as many goals (8) but have also conceded more (9). Their offensive power is much more pronounced, averaging 2.8 goals per match.

Paradoxically, Barnsley’s 100% offensive potential does not seem to translate into more frequent away wins. Similarly, although Wigan has a 43% defensive potential, their home win rate is only 40%.

The statistics clearly do not favor either side. However, it is worth noting that the matches tend to be low-scoring, with a 100% probability of fewer than 3.5 goals scored.

Supporting this, both teams have failed to score in their recent encounters, with a 100% probability that both will not score.

Based purely on these numbers, it seems that the match could result in a low number of goals scored, without a clear victory for either team.

The potential number of goals

Wigan Athletic has shown a mediocre performance at home, with a win and a draw in 40% of cases, and a total of 4 goals for and against. Their attack is weak at 21% but they defend better at 43%.

Barnsley has a fairly similar profile away from home, with 40% wins and 20% draws. They have scored twice as much as Wigan, with 8 goals, but have conceded 9 goals. However, they display a high offensive potential at 100% and defensive at 57%.

The probabilities of results are not provided but based on the match history, we could expect few goals scored.

More interesting is the data that both teams do not score in 100% of cases. Looking at the scores of the recent matches confirms this trend.

That’s why I would recommend betting on “Under 3.5 goals in the match” or “Both teams do not score,” each of which has a success probability of 100%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the League Cup match between Wigan Athletic and Barnsley is likely to result in a low number of goals. Barnsley’s offensive potential away from home gives them a good advantage, as well as their ability to convert that potential into goals. However, we must also consider Wigan Athletic’s strong defense at home.

Therefore, the advice for this match is to bet on Barnsley to win or, for an even safer option, on less than 3.5 goals in the match. The bet “Both teams to score” also seems very promising based on the past performances of these teams.

Let’s increase our chances by combining these bets to maximize our profit and take advantage of this match scheduled for August 13, 2024. However, as with all sports betting, it’s important to gamble responsibly.