Tipps Wolves Burnley League Cup 28/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Wolves win the match.

1. Wolves’ home performance is significantly better than Burnley’s away performance. Wolves have won 60% of their last home games and drawn in 40% of the cases, while Burnley has only won 20% of their last away games and drawn in 40% of the cases.

2. Wolves’ offensive (50%) and defensive (50%) potential at home is more balanced compared to Burnley’s away potential, with an offensive potential of 79% but a weak defensive potential of 36%.

3. The probabilities favor “Draw or Wolves to win the match” with a probability of 80.31%, which is substantially higher than the reverse scenario of “Draw or Burnley to win the match” which has a probability of 49.22%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Offensive statistics: On average, Wolves have scored 1.4 goals per home match while Burnley have scored 2.2 goals per away match. This trend suggests that it is likely that both teams will score in the game, increasing the probability of there being over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Defensive performances: In the last 5 matches, Wolves have conceded 10 goals at home, an average of 2 goals per match. Burnley, on the other hand, have conceded 8 goals in 5 away matches, an average of 1.6 goals per match. These statistics indicate that both teams have leaky defenses, further increasing the likelihood of there being over 2.5 goals in this match.

3. Recent matches: In the last five matches of each team, three out of five games played by Wolves have had over 2.5 goals. For Burnley, two out of their last five matches have had over 2.5 goals. This shows the tendency of these teams to play matches with more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Over the last 5 matches, both Wolves and Burnley have shown a scoring average above 1 goal (1.4 for Wolves and 2.2 for Burnley), indicating that both teams have the offensive potential to score in this match.

2. Both teams have conceded more goals than they have scored in their respective last 5 matches (10 for Wolves and 8 for Burnley), suggesting a defensive vulnerability that could lead to a scenario where both teams score.

3. In the majority of their respective last 5 matches, both teams have either scored or conceded at least one goal. This indicates a consistent trend for both sides to score and concede in each match, strengthening the argument for a match where both teams score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Burnley wins the match

Bet on the exact result

“Wolves 1-1 Burnley”

1. The probability of a draw is quite high for both teams: Wolves has a draw rate of 40% when playing at home, and Burnley also has a draw rate of 40% when playing away. This indicates that there is a good chance the match will end in a draw.

2. In terms of defensive and offensive performances, the statistics of both teams suggest a balanced outcome. Wolves concede an average of 1.4 goals per game at home, while Burnley score an average of 1.4 goals per game away. This suggests that each team is likely to score a goal.

3. Looking at the previous matches of both teams, Wolves and Burnley have consistently had low scores with the majority of matches having less than 3.5 total goals. Combined with the high probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match (67.88%), a 1-1 score seems plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Wolves has been dominant at home in the last 5 matches, with a 60% win rate. Burnley, on the road, has a lower win rate (20%). Burnley draws 40% of the time, just like Wolves. Wolves has scored 9 goals compared to Burnley’s 7 and conceded 10 goals against Burnley’s 8. Wolves’ attack is average (1.4 goals per match) but better than their defense. Burnley scores more away from home (2.2 goals per match) and has a solid defense (1 goal per match).

The probability of Wolves winning is 50.78%. A draw is less likely (29.53%), as is a Burnley win (19.69%). Betting on a draw or a Wolves win has a probability of 80.31%. Burnley winning or drawing has a probability of 49.22%.

A bet on over 1.5 goals in the match has a probability of 79.79%. Betting on over 2.5 goals has a probability of 54.4%. There is a 67.88% chance of there being fewer than 3.5 goals.

Both teams have a 55.44% chance of scoring.

Recent matches have shown varied results for Wolves (0-1, 3-0, 3-1, 1-3, 2-1) and Burnley (1-0, 1-4, 1-1, 2-1, 1-1).

Based on the history and percentages, the prediction could point towards a Wolves win or a draw with more than 1.5 goals scored.

The potential number of goals

The Wolves vs Burnley match seems to be an interesting duel. Wolves, playing at home in their last 5 matches, has won 60% of the time and drew 40% of the time. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 10. Burnley, on the other hand, has only won 20% of their away matches, drawing 40% of the time, with 7 goals scored and 8 goals conceded.

Wolves’ home offense is average, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match, but also conceding 1.4 goals. Their offensive and defensive potential is balanced at 50%. Burnley scores more away from home, with an average of 2.2 goals per match and only concedes 1 goal per match. They have a higher offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 36%.

The probabilities indicate that Wolves have a 50.78% chance of winning, while Burnley has a lower chance at 19.69%. A draw is likely at 29.53%. This illustrates the performance gap between the two teams.

A goal-filled match is expected, with a 79.79% chance of having more than 1.5 goals and a 54.4% chance of having more than 2.5 goals.

Looking at recent results, Wolves lost 1-0 to Rayo Vallecano but won 3-0 against RB Leipzig, 3-1 against West Ham United, and 2-1 against Luton Town. Burnley, on the other hand, lost 1-0 to Sunderland, won 4-1 against Luton Town, and drew 1-1 against Cadiz and Manchester United.

Based on this data, a relevant prediction would be to bet on a match in favor of Wolves, with more than 1.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the past and current performances of both teams, the most likely prediction for this League Cup match between Wolves and Burnley would be a draw or a victory for Wolves. Forecasts also suggest a high-scoring match, with over 2.5 goals expected. Both teams are likely to score, given their respective offensive and defensive performances. However, for sports bettors looking for more attractive odds, a bold bet on “draw or Burnley to win the match” could offer an interesting value bet. Although Wolves are the favorites, Burnley has shown some resilience and has proven that they can surprise, even when playing away. Finally, the predicted exact score would be 1-1, reflecting a balanced and competitive match. It is essential for every bettor to consider these elements while analyzing the overall context in which the match takes place to make an informed prediction.