Tipps Wuhan Three Towns Henan Jianye Super League 29/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Wuhan Three Towns wins the match

1. Wuhan Three Towns has shown stronger form at home with wins or draws in 80% of its recent matches, while Henan Jianye only wins or draws in 60% of away matches.
2. Wuhan Three Towns has equivalent offensive and defensive potential to Henan Jianye (36% for Wuhan compared to 36% and 43% for Henan), increasing the chances of a draw or win for Wuhan.
3. The probability of a win for Wuhan Three Towns or a draw is higher (71.05%) compared to that of Henan Jianye (57.89%), giving Wuhan Three Towns more chances to win or draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The statistics from previous matches show that both teams have a relatively low offensive potential, with Wuhan Three Towns and Henan Jianye scoring an average of 1 and 1 goal per match, respectively.

2. Both teams have displayed solid defense, with Wuhan Three Towns conceding only 1.2 goals per match on average and Henan Jianye conceding just 1 goal.

3. Previous matches involving Wuhan Three Towns at home and Henan Jianye away have also tended to be low-scoring, often with fewer than 3 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Previous match statistics show a tendency for games where both teams score. For Wuhan Three Towns at home, in 3 out of the last 5 matches, both teams scored, and for Henan Jianye away, both teams also scored in 2 out of the last 5 matches.
2. Both teams have a nearly equal percentage of offensive potential (36%) and also a similar average of 1 goal scored per match. This indicates that both teams have an equivalent ability to score goals.
3. The probability of both teams scoring is 58.42%, which is the highest probability among all other betting options on scores. This statistic suggests that it is the most likely scenario to occur, based on their current form and recent performances.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Henan Jianye

1. Draw statistics: Based on recent performances, Wuhan Three Towns has drawn 60% of its last 5 home matches while Henan Jianye has drawn 40% of its last 5 away matches. This pronounced trend towards draws supports the prediction of a draw in this exact score.

2. Goals scored and conceded: At home, Wuhan Three Towns averages 1 goal scored and conceded per match, while away, Henan Jianye averages 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match. This suggests a high likelihood of a fairly balanced match, with each team scoring a goal.

3. Recent match performance: Considering recent matches, it’s worth noting that Wuhan Three Towns has achieved similar scores (1-1, 1-2) to the one predicted, while Henan Jianye has also had close results (1-0, 3-1, 1-1). These recent performances indicate a potential trend for each team to both score and concede a goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Wuhan Three Towns show resilience at home with a 60% draw rate and 20% win rate. They have a 36% offensive potential with 6 goals in 5 matches. Henan Jianye, on the other hand, has a 20% win rate and 40% draw rate when playing away, also with a 36% offensive potential from 4 goals scored. Wuhan Three Towns have slightly higher chances of winning at 42.11% compared to 28.95% for Henan Jianye. Betting options include a draw or Wuhan win at 71.05%, and a draw or Henan win at 57.89%. Over 1.5 goals in the match are likely at 74.21% with under 2.5 goals at 1.85. It’s highly probable at 95.79% that the match will have less than 4.5 goals. Both teams seem likely to score with a 58.42% probability. Analyzing their recent matches, a trend towards close results and few goals can be observed. In this context, a reasonable bet could be a match with under 2.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Wuhan Three Towns, playing at home, wins 20% of their games with an offensive potential of 36%. Their defense concedes 1 goal per match. Their last victory was against Sichuan Jiuniu, 4-1.

Henan Jianye, on the other hand, also wins 20% of their matches away from home. Their offensive potential is the same, but their defense is more porous, allowing 1.2 goals per game, although their last victory was against Qingdao Jonoon, 2-0.

For the upcoming match, the predicted chances of victory are 42.11% for Wuhan Three Towns and 28.95% for Henan Jianye. A draw is also likely at 28.95%.

In terms of goals, there is a high likelihood of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match (81.05%). Additionally, both teams have a 58.42% chance of scoring.

The overall trend indicates a closely contested match with likely few goals. However, the game could tilt in favor of Wuhan Three Towns.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis of this Super League match between Wuhan Three Towns and Henan Jianye indicates that it should be a tight encounter. Both teams have shown similar performances recently, with a slight edge for Wuhan Three Towns, especially on their home turf. In terms of betting, the highest probability (71.05%) is a draw or a win for Wuhan. Furthermore, the limited offensive potential of both teams suggests that a match with fewer than 2.5 goals is more likely. Additionally, both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 58.42%. Therefore, betting on the draw, despite a lower success probability (28.95%), offers a high-interest rate at 3.40, making it an attractive option. Ultimately, betting on the exact score could be an opportunity to consider, with a predicted result of 1-1. However, these predictions should be used as a guide and not as a guarantee of profit, as football is an unpredictable sport.