Tipps Wuhan Three Towns Nantong Zhiyun Super League 29/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Wuhan Three Towns wins the match.”

1. Wuhan Three Towns has a higher percentage of home wins than Nantong Zhiyun away (40% vs 20%). This demonstrates a better home performance by Wuhan Three Towns compared to Nantong Zhiyun on the road.

2. Based on the success probabilities, Wuhan Three Towns has a 55.56% chance of winning the match, which is significantly higher than the probability of Nantong Zhiyun at 18.33%.

3. Nantong Zhiyun tends to concede more goals away (on average 1.8 goals) than Wuhan Three Towns at home (on average 1 goal). This shows a weaker defense by Nantong Zhiyun when playing away, which could allow Wuhan Three Towns to score more goals and potentially win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. High offensive and defensive potential: Wuhan Three Towns has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 71%. On the other hand, Nantong Zhiyun has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 64%. This means there is a great chance of goals being scored by both sides.

2. Goals history: In their last 5 home and away matches respectively, Wuhan Three Towns has scored 4 goals and Nantong Zhiyun has scored 10 goals. This shows that both teams have the capability to score goals.

3. Calculated probability: Based on calculations, it was found that the probability of having over 2.5 goals in the match is 57.22%. This is a relatively high probability that suggests betting on over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Offensive prowess: Both teams have a tendency to score regularly. Wuhan Three Towns have scored in 40% of their home matches, while Nantong Zhiyun have scored in every away match, ensuring offensive potential for both teams.

2. Defensive weakness: Both Wuhan Three Towns and Nantong Zhiyun have shown signs of defensive weakness, conceding at least one goal in each of their last 5 matches.

3. Head-to-head history: In their recent history, Wuhan Three Towns and Nantong Zhiyun have frequently scored in both their respective home and away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Nantong Zhiyun wins the match – 44.44% success rate: 2.15

Bet on the exact result

Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Nantong Zhiyun

1. Both teams have shown some stability in the way they score goals. Wuhan Three Towns averages 1 goal per home match while Nantong Zhiyun averages 1.4 goals per away match. This could potentially lead to a 1-1 scoreline.

2. The respective records of both teams lean towards a draw. Wuhan Three Towns has drawn 60% of their recent home matches, while Nantong Zhiyun has a 20% draw rate in their recent away matches.

3. Probabilistic analysis of possible results shows that a draw is quite likely, with a success probability of 26.11%, higher than Nantong Zhiyun’s win probability of 18.33%. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is very balanced at 50.56%, supporting the idea of a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

On their home turf, Wuhan Three Towns have won 40% of their last 5 matches. They have conceded 5 goals defensively. Offensively, they have scored 4 goals.

As for Nantong Zhiyun, in their last 5 away games, only 20% ended in victory. They have scored more goals than Wuhan with 10, but have conceded 13.

In terms of offensive potential, Nantong Zhiyun has an advantage. They average 1.4 goals per game compared to just 1 for Wuhan. However, Wuhan has a better defense, conceding 2 goals per match compared to 1.8 for Nantong.

Based on the probabilities, Wuhan would win the match with a 55.56% chance, with an attractive odds of 1.68. Nantong Zhiyun only has an 18.33% chance of victory with odds of 4.33.

Regarding goals, it’s impossible to ignore the 82.22% likelihood of more than 1.5 goals, given how both teams have shown leaky defenses. Both teams could score, with a 50.56% probability.

Referring to their recent matches, Wuhan seems more comfortable at home, with key wins against Qingdao Jonoon and Tianjin Teda. Nantong Zhiyun, on the other hand, has faced defeats on away grounds against Beijing Guoan, Hangzhou Greentown, and Shandong Luneng.

The forecast leans towards a victory for Wuhan Three Towns, with over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Wuhan Three Towns has a moderate performance, with a 40% win rate and 60% draws at home. Their defense is somewhat weak, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. However, their defensive potential remains fairly high at 71%.

On the other hand, Nantong Zhiyun is struggling more, with only a 20% win rate and 20% draws away from home. Despite scoring a significant number of goals (10 goals), they have a higher rate of goals conceded, at 13.

The match appears to be in favor of Wuhan Three Towns with a 55.56% probability of winning. The probability of a draw is 26.11%.

As for goals, there is an 82.22% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, and a 57.22% chance for more than 2.5 goals.

Finally, both teams have a respective 50.56% and 49.44% chance of scoring during the match. Past performances and this data suggest a rather close and competitive match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match could be high-scoring, with a high likelihood of seeing a score of over 2.5 goals. Based on past statistics and recent performances of both teams, Wuhan Three Towns appears to have the advantage, especially due to their strong home performance and a high win probability of 55.56%. However, Nantong Zhiyun should not be underestimated due to their 50% offensive potential and ability to score goals away. The safest bet on this match might be a double chance bet with a draw or Nantong Zhiyun as the winner, which could provide good value with odds of 2.15 and a success probability of 44.44%. In any case, a tight and competitive match is expected.