Tipps Zaragoza Racing Ferrol Segunda División 19/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Zaragoza wins the match

1. Zaragoza has a higher probability of winning (43.75%) based on the provided data compared to Racing Ferrol (29.69%), indicating a more likely victory for Zaragoza.
2. Zaragoza has a higher offensive potential (36%) compared to Racing Ferrol (29%). Additionally, despite an equal defense based on the percentages (50% for both teams), Zaragoza is playing at home where they usually score at least one goal per match, which could give them the edge needed to win.
3. The history of the last 5 home matches for Zaragoza and away matches for Racing Ferrol shows a better performance for Zaragoza. Even though Zaragoza has experienced losses and draws, they have still won one match, while Racing Ferrol has not won any of their last 5 away matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Goal Statistics: Recent match statistics indicate a low total of goals for both teams. In their last 5 matches, Saragosse scored 5 goals and Racing Ferrol only 3. Furthermore, Saragosse’s defensive statistics suggest that they are unlikely to concede many goals, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match.

2. Weak offensive performance: The offensive potential of Saragosse (36%) and Racing Ferrol (29%) is relatively low. This means that both teams tend to struggle to score, increasing the chances of having less than 2.5 goals.

3. Previous matches: Looking at the recent matches, none of them have seen more than 2.5 goals for the most part. This demonstrates a recent trend for low-scoring matches between these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Low offensive potential: The offensive performance of these two teams is quite low, with Zaragoza scoring an average of 1 goal per home match and Racing Ferrol scoring an average of 0.8 goals per away match.

2. Strong defensive performance: On average, Zaragoza concedes 1.4 goals per home match and Racing Ferrol also concedes 1.4 goals per away match. This stat shows a certain resilience in their defense, reducing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. History of very defensive matches: In the recent home matches of Zaragoza and away matches of Racing Ferrol, it’s common for one of the teams to end up without scoring, supporting the hypothesis that both teams will not score in the next match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Zaragoza wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

“Zaragoza 1-1 Racing Ferrol”

1. The statistics show that Zaragoza is a stable team when playing at home, where most of its matches end in draws, supported by the fact that Zaragoza has scored and conceded a nearly equal number of goals in its last 5 home matches.

2. Racing Ferrol’s away performances have been rather weak, with 0 wins in its last 5 matches, but a tendency to score with an average of 0.8 goals per match, increasing the possibility of a draw.

3. The bookmakers’ statistical forecast also supports this conjecture. The probability of a draw is 26.56% and the offensive/defensive potential of both teams is around 30-50%, indicating a strong inclination towards a balanced match and low scores.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The upcoming match between Saragosse and Racing Ferrol presents interesting statistics. Saragosse has secured a victory in 20% of their last 5 home matches, with a draw occurring 60% of the time. Recently, Saragosse has shown a defensive trend at home, conceding 6 goals but managing to score 5.

On the other hand, Racing Ferrol has not achieved any wins in their last 5 away matches. Scoring 3 goals but conceding 5, Racing Ferrol has displayed more moderate offensive and defensive performances.

Saragosse is favored with a 43.75% chance of winning, while Racing Ferrol has a 29.69% chance, and a draw is credited with a 26.56% probability. The likelihood of a match with over 1.5 goals stands at 67.71%.

The data indicates a tendency towards a high number of draws for Saragosse at home, and poor performances for Racing Ferrol away. The prediction could therefore be a relatively low-scoring match in favor of Saragosse.

However, it’s important to remember that there is always an element of uncertainty in sports betting. Football is unpredictable, and anything can happen on match day.

The potential number of goals

Zaragoza has won 1 out of their last 5 home matches, scoring a total of 5 goals. Their offensive potential is at 36% and defensive capability at 50%. On the other hand, Racing Ferrol has not won any of their last 5 away matches, scoring a total of 3 goals. Their offensive potential is at 29% with a defensive performance equal to Zaragoza’s at 50%.

In terms of probability, there is a 43.75% chance of Zaragoza winning. The probability of a draw is 26.56%, and it is 29.69% for Racing Ferrol to win. Considering a draw or a Zaragoza win, the probability is 70.31%. The option of a draw or a Racing Ferrol win stands at 56.25%.

Regarding the number of goals, it is more likely that there will be less than 3.5 goals with an 86.46% chance. However, there is a 67.71% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals. The scenario of both teams scoring is estimated at 45.31%, while the scenario of both teams not scoring is at 54.69%.

To make a prediction, despite Racing Ferrol’s weak offensive performance away and Zaragoza’s mixed home record, it is more likely that there will be less than 3.5 goals during the match. Similarly, there are higher chances of the match ending in a Zaragoza win or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis of the provided statistics, the most likely prediction for the match between Saragosse and Racing Ferrol would be a win for Saragosse or a draw. Clearly, Saragosse seems to have a better advantage at home while Racing Ferrol struggles in their away games.

In terms of the number of goals, the most probable option is fewer than 2.5 goals during the match, considering the moderate offensive performances of Saragosse and Racing Ferrol. It also seems unlikely that both teams will score given their respective offensive outputs.

However, as mentioned earlier, sports betting remains unpredictable and these predictions do not guarantee any certain result. Conducting your own research and analyzing multiple factors before making a betting decision is highly recommended. Therefore, every bettor should wager responsibly.