Tipps Žilina Spartak Trnava Super Liga 27/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Spartak Trnava wins the match”

1. Spartak Trnava has a better win percentage (60%) in their last 5 away games than Žilina (20%) in their last 5 home games.
2. Spartak Trnava has a stronger offensive potential with an average of 1 goal scored per game compared to Žilina who only scores 0.6 goals per game on average in their last 5 home matches.
3. The odds show that Spartak Trnava has a higher probability of winning the match (39.78%) compared to Žilina (35.48%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The offensive potential of both teams is relatively low. Indeed, in their last 5 matches, Žilina scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and Spartak Trnava 1 goal per match. Furthermore, Žilina has only scored 4 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Spartak Trnava has scored 7 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Žilina has a stronger defensive potential than their opponent. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals per match at home in their last 5 matches. In comparison, Spartak Trnava has conceded 0.8 goals away, indicating that Žilina has a solid defense, especially at home.

3. Previous match statistics show that the score rarely exceeds 2.5 goals. Analyzing the recent home matches of Žilina and away matches of Spartak Trnava, only two matches have exceeded the 2.5 goals threshold. This suggests a prediction of under 2.5 goals for the upcoming match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive efficiency of Spartak Trnava away from home: The Spartak Trnava team has shown a good offensive performance in their away matches, scoring at least one goal in the majority of their recent games. This indicates a strong likelihood that they will score a goal in this match.

2. The defensive vulnerability of Žilina at home: In Žilina’s last five home matches, the team has conceded 8 goals. This suggests a defensive frailty that could benefit the opposing team in this match. It is therefore highly probable that Spartak Trnava will score in this match.

3. The offensive potential of Žilina at home: Despite an overall average performance, Žilina has managed to score in some of their recent home matches (4 goals in total). It is therefore possible that they will also score in this match, especially if they have the support of their home fans.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.95

Bet on the exact result

Zilina 1-2 Spartak Trnava

1. Recent Performances: Based on the last 5 matches, Spartak Trnava has won 60% of their away matches and has an average of 1 goal scored per match. In contrast, Žilina has only won 20% of their home matches during the same period.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Žilina, in their last 5 home matches, has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 50%. In their last 5 away matches, Spartak Trnava has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 29%. These statistics support the argument that Trnava has better performance both in attack and defense.

3. Probability of Success: The probabilities of different possible outcomes show that the most likely scenario is Spartak Trnava winning the match, with a probability of 39.78%. Furthermore, the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored during the match is 77.96%, which aligns with the chosen prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Žilina has had a rollercoaster performance at home, with one win in five matches and two draws, scoring 4 goals and conceding 8.

Spartak Trnava, on the other hand, has had varying forms away from home, winning the majority of their matches (60%) with a total of 7 goals both scored and conceded.

Despite these numbers, Žilina has shown a weak offensive potential at home, only 21%, while conceding nearly 3 times more goals (1.4 per match).

Spartak Trnava appears strong away, with superior offensive and defensive potentials compared to Žilina at 36% and 29% respectively.

The probabilities seem to favor a Spartak Trnava victory at 39.78% with odds of 2.30. A draw remains a probable alternative at 24.73% with odds of 3.50.

For goals, the probability strongly leans towards a match with “over 1.5 goals” at 1.25 with 77.96% likelihood.

In the “Both teams to score” group, the probability slightly favors “yes” at 1.63 with a success rate of 56.45%.

These data suggest a match slightly in favor of Spartak Trnava with a high probability of seeing over 1.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Zilina has won 20% of its home matches, scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.4 goals per match. Their weak defense at home could be a challenge, with only 50% defensive potential.

On the other hand, Spartak Trnava has a strong away performance with 60% wins, scoring an average of 1 goal per match and conceding 0.8. Their defense is more solid with 29% defensive potential.

A Spartak Trnava win is more likely with a success rate of 39.78% compared to 35.48% for Zilina. The odds are even better for a draw or Spartak win with a 64.52% success rate.

Considering the goal history, there is a 77.96% chance the match will have over 1.5 goals, while there is a 76.88% chance the number will stay under 3.5 goals.

While our figures indicate that both teams score with a probability of 56.45%, past analysis shows large score discrepancies, which raises questions about this statistic.

In conclusion, based on the numbers, a draw or a win for Spartak Trnava with fewer than 3.5 goals seems like a plausible bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Considering all the data, statistics, and analysis presented in this article, it seems clear that Spartak Trnava has a slight edge over Žilina. They have an impressive away performance with better defensive and offensive statistics. This, combined with Žilina’s defensive vulnerability at home, justifies our prediction of a Spartak Trnava win.

The bet on the number of goals also suggests a low-scoring match. The statistics point to a total of goals under 2.5 during the game, largely due to Žilina’s weak offensive potential and Spartak Trnava’s solid defense away from home.

The possibility of both teams scoring is also supported by the statistics, despite the significant score gaps in previous matches. This is mainly due to Spartak Trnava’s offensive efficiency away and Žilina’s potential to score at home with the support of their fans.

Finally, the most interesting value bet appears to be on under 2.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.95. Given the predictive analysis and examination of both teams’ statistics, this seems like a realistic prediction with excellent chances of winning.

Overall, this match presents multiple intriguing betting opportunities. Whether it’s Spartak Trnava’s victory, total goals under 2.5, or both teams scoring, each bet has its own appealing aspect defined by concrete statistics and well-founded analyses. Good luck to all bettors for this exciting match!