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    Home/Football predictions/Prediction Almeria Burgos

    Prediction Almeria Burgos 05/10/2024

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    Last Update : 05/10/2024
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    Discover our prediction for Almeria vs Burgos in this Segunda División match on 05/10/2024. We break down team stats, recent form, bookmaker odds, and betting tips to help you maximize your chances of winning.

    Community prediction
    What will be the result of the match?

    Almeria vs Burgos: Analysis & Statistics

    To understand the key factors and possible outcomes of the Almeria vs Burgos match, it’s essential to look at the current form of both teams. To understand the stakes and potential outcomes of the Almeria – Burgos match, it’s essential to examine both teams’ current form. In their last 5 matches, Almeria have won 0, lost 0, and drawn 0 match. Meanwhile, Burgos have won 0, lost 0, and drawn 0 match. In the end, both teams are perfectly equal in form over their last 5 games. Another crucial aspect to consider is Almeria’s home performance and Burgos’s away record — let’s break it down in detail!

    Statistiques en direct Almeria

    Form of Almeria in their last 5 matches

    See more matchs
    Statistiques en direct Burgos

    Form of Burgos in their last 5 matches

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    To learn more about both teams involved in this Segunda División fixture, dive deeper into the stats and recent performances to find the best prediction for Almeria and the best prediction for Burgos. Whether for this match on 05/10/2024 or upcoming fixtures, knowing a team’s form, lineup, and top scorers is essential to identify the best betting options.

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    Odds & Predictions

    Odds & Probabilities for the Almeria vs Burgos match on 05/10/2024

    Full-time result
    Number of goals in the match

    1X2 Prediction: Which team will win the match?

    “Almeria wins the match”

    1. Almeria has a higher probability of winning the match, at 53.93%, which is significantly higher than Burgos’ 20.94% probability of winning the match.
    2. Despite mixed performances at home, Almeria has shown a higher offensive and defensive potential than Burgos with 50% and 93% respectively, compared to Burgos’ 43% and 29%.
    3. Lastly, by looking at the recent home matches of Almeria and away matches of Burgos, we can see that despite mixed results, Almeria has managed to score and not lose all their matches. Burgos, on the other hand, has won their matches but also conceded, so there is a possibility for Almeria to score and come out on top.

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    Over or Under 2.5 Goals in the Match: Which Bet to Choose?

    As with any analysis, it’s essential to look at the latest statistics for each team. When searching for the best goal prediction for the Almeria vs Burgos match, the key data to consider are the number of goals scored and conceded by each team. Studying this trend will influence the probabilities for the total goals at the end of the Almeria Burgos match. Let’s analyze the latest goal statistics together!

    Statistiques nombre de buts dans le match Almeria Burgos
    Statistics & Goal Prediction

    Goal Prediction: How many goals will be scored in the Almeria vs Burgos match?

    Goal prediction Almeria

    Number of goals scored by Almeria in the last 5 matches

    0Goals scored
    0Goals conceded
    Goal prediction Almeria

    Average goals scored in the last 5 matches

    0Goals scored
    0%Offensive potential
    Goal prediction Almeria

    Average goals conceded in the last 5 matches

    0Goals conceded
    100%Defensive potential
    Goal prediction Burgos

    Number of goals scored by Burgos in the last 5 matches

    0Goals scored
    0Goals conceded
    Goal prediction Burgos

    Average goals scored in the last 5 matches

    0Goals scored
    0%Offensive potential
    Goal prediction Burgos

    Average goals conceded in the last 5 matches

    0Goals conceded
    100%Defensive potential

    What’s the bet on total goals in this match?

    From a purely mathematical prediction standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches played by Almeria and Burgos, we should expectapproximately 0 goals in this match.

    Over 2.5 goals in the match

    1. The offensive potential of Almeria at home and Burgos away is quite high at 50% and 43% respectively, meaning both teams have the ability to score goals.
    2. Looking at the recent match history, it can be seen that most of the time, the total score in games involving these teams is above 2.5 goals.
    3. The success probabilities for over 2.5 goals in the match are relatively high at 55.5%, indicating that previous match statistics support this prediction.

    BTTS: Will both teams score?

    Both teams score: Yes

    1. Recent Statistics: Recent performances of both teams show a trend for both teams to score in matches. Almeria has scored in every match in their recent home games, just like Burgos who has scored a goal in every match in their recent away games.

    2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Data indicates that Almeria has an offensive potential of 50% and Burgos 43%. This means there is a high likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

    3. Defensive Weakness: Data also shows that Almeria has a defensive potential of 93%, meaning they tend to concede a lot of goals. On the other hand, Burgos concedes an average of 0.8 goals per match when playing away. This increases the probability of both teams scoring.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet?

    Burgos wins the match

    1. Almeria has a weaker home performance record compared to Burgos on the road. Almeria has not won any of their last 5 home matches and has a draw rate of 20%, while Burgos has won 60% of their last 5 away matches and drawn in 40% of them.

    2. Burgos’ offensive potential away from home (43%) is lower than Almeria’s at home (50%), but Burgos’ defensive potential is much stronger (29%) compared to Almeria’s (93%). This suggests that Burgos has a better ability to contain opposing attacks and score goals.

    3. The bookmaker’s odds give Burgos a 20.94% chance of winning the match, with odds of 4.50. Evaluating this percentage against the team’s past performance away from home, one can conclude that it is a “value bet” as the actual probability seems higher than that offered by the bookmaker.

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    Our Predictions for Betting on the Exact Score

    A riskier but more rewarding option remains the “Bet on the exact match score.” To find the most likely exact score for the match Almeria vs Burgos, our algorithm analyzes over 100,000 similar games to identify the most probable outcomes based on comparable statistics.

    Exact Score Prediction

    Exact Score Predictions Almeria Burgos: Result Probabilities

    Exact Result
    Probability %
    Odd

    Almeria 1-2 Burgos

    1. Previous performances: In their respective last 5 matches, Almeria has shown a significant weakness at home with 0% wins, while Burgos has displayed strong away performances with 60% recent wins, suggesting Burgos has the ability to win the match.

    2. Goal averages: Almeria averages 1.4 goals scored per home match while Burgos averages 1.2 goals scored away. Additionally, Almeria concedes significantly more goals at home (2.6 on average) than Burgos away (0.8 on average). This indicates a possible 1-2 scoreline in favor of Burgos.

    3. Prediction success rate (odds): Although Almeria has a higher probability of winning the match based on the odds (53.93% vs 20.94% for Burgos), it’s also important to consider the offensive potential of each team. Almeria has a lower offensive potential compared to Burgos (50% vs 43%), which could leave Burgos with a chance to score more goals.

    Our conclusions and prediction for this match

    In conclusion, strictly based on statistics, Almeria seems to be the most likely to win this match due to their superior offensive and defensive potential, despite their mixed performances at home. However, Burgos’ defensive potential, combined with their stronger away performance, suggests that the match could also lean in their favor. A bet on over 2.5 goals would be advisable given the offensive potential of both teams and their tendency to score and concede goals. Also, the history of matches between these two teams suggests that both teams will score at least one goal each. In terms of a value bet, Burgos winning the match seems to be an attractive bet due to the advantageous odds offered by the bookmaker compared to the true probability. As for the exact score, a match ending 1-2 in favor of Burgos could be a possibility to consider. In summary, all that can be said for certain is that this match promises to be lively with goals from both sides.

    Data reliability

    All our analyses are based on official data certified by the official website of the Segunda División league for schedules, results, and standings, as well as Opta for advanced statistics (expected goals, possession, shots on target, etc.). By combining these trusted sources, we guarantee accurate and reliable predictions for every match.

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    Winflix Predictions Results

    Prediction results for Almeria and Burgos!

    All prediction results shown below come from Winflix VIP predictions. To access these premium predictions, simply become a VIP member. On each match page, you’ll find a premium prediction with a detailed analysis. Our results have reached an 84% success rate over the past 6 months.

    Latest winning predictions on Almeria

    Latest winning predictions on Burgos

    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Everything to know about the Almeria vs Burgos game!

    To make sure you don’t miss anything from the Almeria vs Burgos match, Winflix lets you follow the lineups, key actions, and live stats for this Segunda División fixture on 05/10/2024. Team lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kickoff.

    Team lineups: Almeria vs Burgos

    Composition équipe Almeria
    Composition Match Almeria Burgos
    Lineup Almeria
    Composition équipe Burgos
    Composition Match Almeria Burgos
    Lineup Burgos
    Highlights of the Almeria vs Burgos match on 05/10/2024

    Don’t miss any key moments from the Almeria vs Burgos game on 05/10/2024 at the UD Almería Stadium stadium.

    29'L. Suárez
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    31'Sergio Arribas
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    38'Sergio Arribas
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    51'Nicolás Melamed
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    53'Luis Javier Suárez
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    56'David González
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    57'Aitor Córdoba Querejeta
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    60'Miguel AtienzaSubstitution 1
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    60'F. MiguelSubstitution 2
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    60'Edu EspiauSubstitution 3
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    61'Nico MelamedSubstitution 1
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    69'Borja SánchezSubstitution 4
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    73'Léo BaptistãoSubstitution 2
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    84'I. BabaSubstitution 3
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    84'Aitor CórdobaSubstitution 5
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    85'Bruno LangaSubstitution 4
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    89'Álex Pozo
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    Live statistics for the Almeria vs Burgos match

    All the stats for the Almeria vs Burgos game will appear here as soon as they’re available live.

    Statistiques en direct Almeria
    Almeria
    Burgos
    Statistiques en direct Burgos
    Possession
    39%
    61%
    Total Shots
    17
    17
    Shots on Goal
    5
    5
    Shots off Goal
    5
    9
    Corner Kicks
    5
    8
    Passes %
    74%
    84%
    Total passes
    303
    471
    Passes accurate
    224
    395
    Fouls
    9
    10
    Yellow Cards
    3
    2
    Overall standings Segunda División
    Pos
    Team
    Pts
    P
    +/-
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How to find the best prediction for Almeria vs Burgos?

    Finding the right prediction for the Almeria vs Burgos match can be tricky. But with all the stats and key figures provided by Winflix, everything becomes much clearer. Winflix combines exclusive tools and expert insights to help you win more of your sports bets.

    The match on 05/10/2024 in the Segunda División between Almeria and Burgos will take place at UD Almería Stadium in Almería.

    Both teams in this match are led by experienced managers. Almeria is coached by Rubí and Burgos is coached by Luis Miguel Ramis.

    Based solely on the number of goals scored in the last 5 matches for each team, Almeria scores an average of NaN goals per game, while Burgos averages NaN. Given both teams' similar offensive strength in recent matches, it’s likely they’ll score about the same number of goals in this game.

    In the Segunda División, Almeria are ranked N/A, while Burgos sit in N/A place. Burgos is therefore the higher-ranked team in the Segunda División at the moment.

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    Author of the article
    Alex - Winflix Editor

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