Tipps Jaguares Deportivo Pasto Primera A 04/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Jaguares de Cordoba wins the match.

1. Jaguares de Cordoba has shown better performance at home in their last 5 matches. They win 40% of their matches and draw in 20% of cases, giving them a 60% probability of not losing the match.

2. Deportivo Pasto has weaker performances away from home, winning only 20% of their matches and drawing in 40% of cases. This gives them a 60% probability of not winning the match.

3. Comparing the overall probabilities, “draw or Jaguares de Cordoba win” has a higher success probability at 71.2%, which is significantly greater than the probability of Deportivo Pasto winning the match at 28.8%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The goal production statistics of both teams are relatively low. At home, Jaguares de Cordoba only scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches, while Deportivo Pasto only scored 7 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The recent defensive performances of both teams have been solid. Jaguares de Cordoba only conceded 0.4 goals per match on average at home, while Deportivo Pasto only conceded 1.2 goals per match on average away.

3. The recent home matches history of Jaguares de Cordoba and away matches of Deportivo Pasto shows a trend towards low scores. Out of the last five home matches of Jaguares de Cordoba, four had less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, four out of the last five away matches of Deportivo Pasto had less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of both teams in their last match show that they regularly score goals. Indeed, Jaguares de Cordoba scored in 60% of their last 5 home matches, and Deportivo Pasto scored in 80% of their last 5 away matches.
2. The goal statistics indicate that both teams have a fairly high offensive and defensive potential. Jaguares de Cordoba has a home offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 14%, while Deportivo Pasto has an away offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 43%. This suggests a high probability for both teams to score during the match.
3. The odds for the “Both teams to score” prediction have a success probability of 49.74%, which is a relatively high rate compared to some other bets, indicating that bookmakers also foresee a strong likelihood of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Jaguares de Cordoba 1-1 Deportivo Pasto

1. The draw rate for Jaguares de Cordoba at home and Deportivo Pasto away is relatively high, at 20% and 40% respectively over the last 5 matches. This is a strong indicator that the match could end in a draw.

2. Looking at the average number of goals scored and conceded per match, Jaguares de Cordoba has an average of 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded at home, while Deportivo Pasto has an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded away. This suggests a low-scoring match, with a 1-1 scoreline being quite possible.

3. The betting odds also indicate a strong likelihood of under 2.5 goals overall in the match (with odds at 1.53), further supporting the idea of a low final score like 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Jaguares de Cordoba has a decent home form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches. During these games, they scored 5 goals and conceded 6, resulting in a negative goal difference.

Deportivo Pasto, on the other hand, struggles to secure wins away from home with only 1 victory in their last 5 away fixtures. They have scored more goals (7) than Cordoba but have also conceded more (9).

The probabilities point towards a likely win for Cordoba (41.36%) and also suggest the possibility of a draw (29.84%). Furthermore, Pasto’s chances of winning the match are lower than Cordoba’s (28.8%).

Regarding goals, the probabilities indicate a low-scoring match, with an 83.77% chance of under 3.5 goals. Additionally, both teams have nearly equal chances of both scoring and not scoring (49.74% vs 50.26%).

In summary, a victory for Jaguares de Cordoba or a draw appears to be the most probable outcome. Expect a low-scoring game as well.

The potential number of goals

Jaguares de Cordoba averages 0.6 goals per home match, while Deportivo Pasto scores around 1.4 goals away. Jaguares’ offensive potential is 21% compared to Pasto’s 50%.

Defensively, Jaguares concedes only 0.4 goals at home, whereas Pasto concedes nearly 1.2 goals per away match. The defensive potential of both teams is 14% and 43% respectively.

Jaguares has won 40% of their home matches, while Pasto has only won 20% of their away matches. However, a draw is quite likely with a success rate of 29.84% at odds of 3.00.

Betting suggests the match could be close, with a high probability of less than 2.5 goals (1.53). This aligns with the previous data showing solid defense from Jaguares and an average attack from Pasto.

Furthermore, there is a 49.74% chance that both teams will score, with odds of 2.10. Therefore, caution is advised when placing bets.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the analysis of recent performances, statistics, and probabilities, the safest bet for the match between Jaguares de Cordoba and Deportivo Pasto would appear to be a draw or a win for Jaguares de Cordoba. With a history of generally low scores for both teams, betting on under 2.5 goals in the match could also be an interesting option. Furthermore, given the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, it is likely that both teams will score during the match. Therefore, it is recommended to bet cautiously, taking into account these predictions and the current odds offered by bookmakers.