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    Home/Football predictions/Prediction Liverpool Burnley

    Prediction Liverpool Burnley 17/01/2026

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    Last Update : 17/01/2026
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    Discover our prediction for Liverpool vs Burnley in this Premier League match on 17/01/2026. We break down team stats, recent form, bookmaker odds, and betting tips to help you maximize your chances of winning.

    Community prediction
    What will be the result of the match?

    Liverpool vs Burnley: Analysis & Statistics

    To understand the key factors and possible outcomes of the Liverpool vs Burnley match, it’s essential to look at the current form of both teams. To understand the stakes and potential outcomes of the Liverpool – Burnley match, it’s essential to examine both teams’ current form. In their last 5 matches, Liverpool have won 2, lost 0, and drawn 3 matches. Meanwhile, Burnley have won 1, lost 2, and drawn 2 matches. In concrete terms, Liverpool show stronger offensive power (+1 win). Note: a single-win difference remains marginal. Liverpool appear more solid defensively (2 fewer losses). Liverpool tend to draw more often (+1 draw). Another crucial aspect to consider is Liverpool’s home performance and Burnley’s away record — let’s break it down in detail!

    Statistiques en direct Liverpool

    Form of Liverpool in their last 5 matches

    See more matchs
    Statistiques en direct Burnley

    Form of Burnley in their last 5 matches

    See more matchs

    To learn more about both teams involved in this Premier League fixture, dive deeper into the stats and recent performances to find the best prediction for Liverpool and the best prediction for Burnley. Whether for this match on 17/01/2026 or upcoming fixtures, knowing a team’s form, lineup, and top scorers is essential to identify the best betting options.

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    Odds & Predictions

    Odds & Probabilities for the Liverpool vs Burnley match on 17/01/2026

    Full-time result
    Option de jeu :Liverpool wins
    Probabilité de réussite :
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    Option de jeu :Draw
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    Option de jeu :Burnley wins
    Probabilité de réussite :
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    Option de jeu :Liverpool or Draw
    Probabilité de réussite :
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    Option de jeu :Burnley or Draw
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    Number of goals in the match
    Option de jeu :+1,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :+2,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :-3,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :-4,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :Both Teams Scores : Oui
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    Option de jeu :Both Teams Scores : Non
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    1X2 Prediction: Which team will win the match?

    Liverpool wins the match

    • Odds of 1.20 imply an 83% chance of a home win, reflecting strong market confidence
    • Liverpool average 2.0 PPG at home, while Burnley take just 0.40 PPG away (1W, 1D, 8L in 10 away)
    • Burnley concede in 100% of away matches and allow 2.6 goals per away game, vs Liverpool’s 80% home scoring rate

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    Over or Under 2.5 Goals in the Match: Which Bet to Choose?

    As with any analysis, it’s essential to look at the latest statistics for each team. When searching for the best goal prediction for the Liverpool vs Burnley match, the key data to consider are the number of goals scored and conceded by each team. Studying this trend will influence the probabilities for the total goals at the end of the Liverpool Burnley match. Let’s analyze the latest goal statistics together!

    Statistiques nombre de buts dans le match Liverpool Burnley
    Statistics & Goal Prediction

    Goal Prediction: How many goals will be scored in the Liverpool vs Burnley match?

    Goal prediction Liverpool

    Number of goals scored by Liverpool in the last 5 matches

    8Goals scored
    4Goals conceded
    Goal prediction Liverpool

    Average goals scored in the last 5 matches

    1.6Goals scored
    53%Offensive potential
    Goal prediction Liverpool

    Average goals conceded in the last 5 matches

    0.8Goals conceded
    73%Defensive potential
    Goal prediction Burnley

    Number of goals scored by Burnley in the last 5 matches

    8Goals scored
    8Goals conceded
    Goal prediction Burnley

    Average goals scored in the last 5 matches

    1.6Goals scored
    53%Offensive potential
    Goal prediction Burnley

    Average goals conceded in the last 5 matches

    1.6Goals conceded
    47%Defensive potential

    What’s the bet on total goals in this match?

    From a purely mathematical prediction standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches played by Liverpool and Burnley, we should expectapproximately 2.3 goals in this match.

    Over 2.5 goals

    • Burnley’s away games go over 2.5 goals 80% of the time
    • Goal environment: Liverpool home GF+GA per match 2.5 vs Burnley away 3.8
    • Market leans Over 2.5 (1.62, ~62% implied), consistent with these trends

    BTTS: Will both teams score?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    • Burnley score in 80% of away matches; Liverpool concede in 60% at Anfield
    • BTTS hits 80% in Burnley away games and 50% in Liverpool home games
    • Burnley average 1.2 goals away, suggesting they can find a reply even in defeat

    Goalscorer prediction for this match

    For this match, Hugo Ekitike is priced at 1.62 and leads Liverpool with 8 goals; with Liverpool averaging 1.5 per home game and Burnley conceding 2.6 away, he looks primed to strike. Cody Gakpo at 2.60 is another strong option, boosted by Liverpool’s heavy second-half production (71% of goals after halftime) against a defense that concedes in 100% of away matches. For a bigger price, Zian Flemming at 5.50 is a live outsider given Burnley’s 80% away scoring rate and 80% BTTS on the road.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    Burnley’s away BTTS rate is 80% and they score in 80% of trips, while Liverpool concede in 60% at home. With Over 2.5 at 1.62, 3-1 or 2-1 scorelines make BTTS Yes at 2.35 look attractive.

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    Our Predictions for Betting on the Exact Score

    A riskier but more rewarding option remains the “Bet on the exact match score.” To find the most likely exact score for the match Liverpool vs Burnley, our algorithm analyzes over 100,000 similar games to identify the most probable outcomes based on comparable statistics.

    Exact Score Prediction

    Exact Score Predictions Liverpool Burnley: Result Probabilities

    Exact Result
    Probability %
    Odd

    Liverpool 3 – 1 Burnley

    • Burnley concede 2.6 goals per away game; Liverpool score 1.5 per home match
    • Over 2.5 is favored and BTTS trends support a 3-1 type outcome
    • Heavy 1X2 pricing (1.20) points to a multi-goal home win with a consolation for the visitors

    Our conclusions and prediction for this match

    Our analysis points to a Liverpool victory in a high-chance game. The odds (1.20) and PPG split (2.0 vs 0.40) back the home side. Over 2.5 goals is supported by Burnley’s 80% away over rate and a 3.8 away GF+GA profile. BTTS Yes offers value given Burnley’s 80% BTTS away trend. Best picks: Liverpool to win, Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, and a 3-1 correct score.

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    Winflix VIP Predictionlogo
    Members onlyThe Winflix VIP prediction for the Liverpool vs Burnley match on 17/01/2026 is available exclusively to Winflix members.
    Data reliability

    All our analyses are based on official data certified by the official website of the Premier League league for schedules, results, and standings, as well as Opta for advanced statistics (expected goals, possession, shots on target, etc.). By combining these trusted sources, we guarantee accurate and reliable predictions for every match.

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    Winflix Predictions Results

    Prediction results for Liverpool and Burnley!

    All prediction results shown below come from Winflix VIP predictions. To access these premium predictions, simply become a VIP member. On each match page, you’ll find a premium prediction with a detailed analysis. Our results have reached an 84% success rate over the past 6 months.

    Latest winning predictions on Liverpool

    Latest winning predictions on Burnley

    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Everything to know about the Liverpool vs Burnley game!

    To make sure you don’t miss anything from the Liverpool vs Burnley match, Winflix lets you follow the lineups, key actions, and live stats for this Premier League fixture on 17/01/2026. Team lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kickoff.

    Team lineups: Liverpool vs Burnley

    Composition équipe Liverpool
    Composition Match Liverpool Burnley
    Lineup Liverpool
    Composition équipe Burnley
    Composition Match Liverpool Burnley
    Lineup Burnley
    Highlights of the Liverpool vs Burnley match on 17/01/2026

    Don’t miss any key moments from the Liverpool vs Burnley game on 17/01/2026 at the Anfield stadium.

    -5'Ashley Barnes
    picto
    40'Miloš Kerkez
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    42'F. Wirtz
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    65'M. Edwards
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    74'A. BrojaSubstitution 1
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    74'M. EsteveSubstitution 2
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    78'R. GravenberchSubstitution 1
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    78'M. KerkezSubstitution 2
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    78'C. GakpoSubstitution 3
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    85'L. UgochukwuSubstitution 3
    picto
    87'C. JonesSubstitution 4
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    90'Bashir Humphreys
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    90'FlorentinoSubstitution 4
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    90'M. EdwardsSubstitution 5
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    Live statistics for the Liverpool vs Burnley match

    All the stats for the Liverpool vs Burnley game will appear here as soon as they’re available live.

    Statistiques en direct Liverpool
    Liverpool
    Burnley
    Statistiques en direct Burnley
    Possession
    73%
    27%
    Total Shots
    32
    7
    Shots on Goal
    11
    1
    Shots off Goal
    8
    4
    Corner Kicks
    9
    1
    Passes %
    87%
    69%
    Total passes
    728
    275
    Passes accurate
    635
    191
    Fouls
    8
    10
    Yellow Cards
    1
    2
    Overall standings Premier League
    Pos
    Team
    Pts
    P
    +/-
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How to find the best prediction for Liverpool vs Burnley?

    Finding the right prediction for the Liverpool vs Burnley match can be tricky. But with all the stats and key figures provided by Winflix, everything becomes much clearer. Winflix combines exclusive tools and expert insights to help you win more of your sports bets.

    The match on 17/01/2026 in the Premier League between Liverpool and Burnley will take place at Anfield in Liverpool.

    Based on the latest statistics analyzed from Opta’s official database, Liverpool is more likely to win the match (with approximately 82.79% chance) against Burnley in this Premier League match on 17/01/2026.

    Both teams in this match are led by experienced managers. Liverpool is coached by A. Slot and Burnley is coached by S. Parker.

    Based solely on the number of goals scored in the last 5 matches for each team, Liverpool scores an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Burnley averages 1.6. Given both teams' similar offensive strength in recent matches, it’s likely they’ll score about the same number of goals in this game.

    In the Premier League, Liverpool are ranked N/A, while Burnley sit in N/A place. Burnley is therefore the higher-ranked team in the Premier League at the moment.

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    Author of the article
    Alex - Winflix Editor

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