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    Home/Football predictions/Prediction Malaga Almeria

    Prediction Malaga Almeria 21/12/2025

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    Last Update : 21/12/2025
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    Discover our prediction for Malaga vs Almeria in this Segunda División match on 21/12/2025. We break down team stats, recent form, bookmaker odds, and betting tips to help you maximize your chances of winning.

    Community prediction
    What will be the result of the match?

    Malaga vs Almeria: Analysis & Statistics

    To understand the key factors and possible outcomes of the Malaga vs Almeria match, it’s essential to look at the current form of both teams. To understand the stakes and potential outcomes of the Malaga – Almeria match, it’s essential to examine both teams’ current form. In their last 5 matches, Malaga have won 2, lost 1, and drawn 2 matches. Meanwhile, Almeria have won 1, lost 3, and drawn 1 match. In concrete terms, Malaga show stronger offensive power (+1 win). Note: a single-win difference remains marginal. Malaga appear more solid defensively (2 fewer losses). Malaga tend to draw more often (+1 draw). Another crucial aspect to consider is Malaga’s home performance and Almeria’s away record — let’s break it down in detail!

    Statistiques en direct Malaga

    Form of Malaga in their last 5 matches

    See more matchs
    Statistiques en direct Almeria

    Form of Almeria in their last 5 matches

    See more matchs

    To learn more about both teams involved in this Segunda División fixture, dive deeper into the stats and recent performances to find the best prediction for Malaga and the best prediction for Almeria. Whether for this match on 21/12/2025 or upcoming fixtures, knowing a team’s form, lineup, and top scorers is essential to identify the best betting options.

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    Odds & Predictions

    Odds & Probabilities for the Malaga vs Almeria match on 21/12/2025

    Full-time result
    Option de jeu :Malaga wins
    Probabilité de réussite :
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    Option de jeu :Draw
    Probabilité de réussite :
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    Option de jeu :Almeria wins
    Probabilité de réussite :
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    Option de jeu :Malaga or Draw
    Probabilité de réussite :
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    Option de jeu :Almeria or Draw
    Probabilité de réussite :
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    Number of goals in the match
    Option de jeu :+1,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :+2,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :-3,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :-4,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :Both Teams Scores : Oui
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    Option de jeu :Both Teams Scores : Non
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    1X2 Prediction: Which team will win the match?

    Draw

    • Malaga are 4-4-1 at home (1.78 PPG), staying unbeaten in 8 of 9 home matches.
    • Almeria travel well (4-3-2 away, 1.67 PPG), which evens the matchup against Malaga’s home strength.
    • Odds are tight (Malaga 3.00, Draw 3.10, Almeria 2.30), signaling a closely matched game where a stalemate is plausible.

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    Over or Under 2.5 Goals in the Match: Which Bet to Choose?

    As with any analysis, it’s essential to look at the latest statistics for each team. When searching for the best goal prediction for the Malaga vs Almeria match, the key data to consider are the number of goals scored and conceded by each team. Studying this trend will influence the probabilities for the total goals at the end of the Malaga Almeria match. Let’s analyze the latest goal statistics together!

    Statistiques nombre de buts dans le match Malaga Almeria
    Statistics & Goal Prediction

    Goal Prediction: How many goals will be scored in the Malaga vs Almeria match?

    Goal prediction Malaga

    Number of goals scored by Malaga in the last 5 matches

    9Goals scored
    7Goals conceded
    Goal prediction Malaga

    Average goals scored in the last 5 matches

    1.8Goals scored
    60%Offensive potential
    Goal prediction Malaga

    Average goals conceded in the last 5 matches

    1.4Goals conceded
    53%Defensive potential
    Goal prediction Almeria

    Number of goals scored by Almeria in the last 5 matches

    6Goals scored
    8Goals conceded
    Goal prediction Almeria

    Average goals scored in the last 5 matches

    1.2Goals scored
    40%Offensive potential
    Goal prediction Almeria

    Average goals conceded in the last 5 matches

    1.6Goals conceded
    47%Defensive potential

    What’s the bet on total goals in this match?

    From a purely mathematical prediction standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches played by Malaga and Almeria, we should expectapproximately 2.5 goals in this match.

    Over 2.5 goals

    • Malaga home games clear 2.5 goals in 56%; Almeria away matches also hit 56% over 2.5.
    • Scoring/conceding profiles are high: Malaga home scoring 89% and conceding 78%; Almeria away scoring 100% and conceding 67%.
    • Average total goals are elevated (Malaga home GF+GA = 3.00; Almeria away = 2.78), supporting a goals angle.

    BTTS: Will both teams score?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    • BTTS occurs in 67% of Malaga home games and 67% of Almeria away games.
    • Malaga score in 89% and concede in 78% at home; Almeria have 0% failed-to-score away and only 33% away clean sheets.
    • Both sides show consistent scoring across halves, increasing BTTS likelihood.

    Goalscorer prediction for this match

    N/A

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    BTTS Yes at 1.80 implies ~55.6% while both teams show ~67% BTTS in the relevant splits, indicating an edge. Consistent scoring and moderate conceding trends support this value.

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    Our Predictions for Betting on the Exact Score

    A riskier but more rewarding option remains the “Bet on the exact match score.” To find the most likely exact score for the match Malaga vs Almeria, our algorithm analyzes over 100,000 similar games to identify the most probable outcomes based on comparable statistics.

    Exact Score Prediction

    Exact Score Predictions Malaga Almeria: Result Probabilities

    Exact Result
    Probability %
    Odd

    Malaga 2 – 2 Almeria

    • Malaga average 1.89 GF and 1.11 GA at home; Almeria average 1.56 GF and 1.22 GA away.
    • Both teams’ BTTS rates sit at 67% in the relevant home/away splits.
    • Late goals are common (Malaga GA 76–90: 9; Almeria GF 76–90: 9), favoring a high-scoring draw like 2-2.

    Our conclusions and prediction for this match

    Our data-driven pick favors a draw in a tightly priced matchup. Malaga’s 4-4-1 home record meets Almeria’s 4-3-2 away resilience. Goals are likely given strong scoring rates and matching 56% over-2.5 profiles. BTTS stands out as the most attractive statistical angle. If you want safety, the double chance on Malaga or Draw aligns with Malaga’s 8/9 home unbeaten run.

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    Members onlyThe Winflix VIP prediction for the Malaga vs Almeria match on 21/12/2025 is available exclusively to Winflix members.
    Data reliability

    All our analyses are based on official data certified by the official website of the Segunda División league for schedules, results, and standings, as well as Opta for advanced statistics (expected goals, possession, shots on target, etc.). By combining these trusted sources, we guarantee accurate and reliable predictions for every match.

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    Winflix Predictions Results

    Prediction results for Malaga and Almeria!

    All prediction results shown below come from Winflix VIP predictions. To access these premium predictions, simply become a VIP member. On each match page, you’ll find a premium prediction with a detailed analysis. Our results have reached an 84% success rate over the past 6 months.

    Latest winning predictions on Malaga

    Latest winning predictions on Almeria

    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Everything to know about the Malaga vs Almeria game!

    To make sure you don’t miss anything from the Malaga vs Almeria match, Winflix lets you follow the lineups, key actions, and live stats for this Segunda División fixture on 21/12/2025. Team lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kickoff.

    Team lineups: Malaga vs Almeria

    Composition équipe Malaga
    Composition Match Malaga Almeria
    Lineup Malaga
    Composition équipe Almeria
    Composition Match Malaga Almeria
    Lineup Almeria
    Highlights of the Malaga vs Almeria match on 21/12/2025

    Don’t miss any key moments from the Malaga vs Almeria game on 21/12/2025 at the Estadio La Rosaleda stadium.

    24'Álex Muñoz
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    27'Daijiro Chirino
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    33'D. Lorenzo
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    36'Izan Merino
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    41'Diego Murillo
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    46'A. HernandezSubstitution 1
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    46'A. MunozSubstitution 2
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    64'D. ChirinoSubstitution 3
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    66'C. DotorSubstitution 1
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    69'S. Arribas
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    74'J. MunozSubstitution 2
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    74'I. MerinoSubstitution 3
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    75'ThalysSubstitution 4
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    76'Nélson Monte
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    79'S. ArribasSubstitution 5
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    81'Chupete
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    81'Chupe
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    83'D. LarrubiaSubstitution 4
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    83'ChupeSubstitution 5
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    90'Victor Garcia Marin
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    90'Carlos Puga
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    90'Dion Lopy
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    Live statistics for the Malaga vs Almeria match

    All the stats for the Malaga vs Almeria game will appear here as soon as they’re available live.

    Statistiques en direct Malaga
    Malaga
    Almeria
    Statistiques en direct Almeria
    Possession
    37%
    63%
    Total Shots
    15
    14
    Shots on Goal
    7
    5
    Shots off Goal
    5
    7
    Corner Kicks
    1
    2
    Passes %
    77%
    85%
    Total passes
    294
    499
    Passes accurate
    225
    425
    Fouls
    20
    8
    Yellow Cards
    5
    4
    Overall standings Segunda División
    Pos
    Team
    Pts
    P
    +/-
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How to find the best prediction for Malaga vs Almeria?

    Finding the right prediction for the Malaga vs Almeria match can be tricky. But with all the stats and key figures provided by Winflix, everything becomes much clearer. Winflix combines exclusive tools and expert insights to help you win more of your sports bets.

    The match on 21/12/2025 in the Segunda División between Malaga and Almeria will take place at Estadio La Rosaleda in Málaga.

    Based on the latest statistics analyzed from Opta’s official database, Almeria is more likely to win the match (with approximately 0% chance) against Almeria in this Segunda División match on 21/12/2025.

    Both teams in this match are led by experienced managers. Malaga is coached by Sergio Pellicer and Almeria is coached by Rubí.

    Based solely on the number of goals scored in the last 5 matches for each team, Malaga scores an average of 1.8 goals per game, while Almeria averages 1.2. We can conclude that Malaga is more likely to score more goals than Almeria in this match.

    In the Segunda División, Malaga are ranked N/A, while Almeria sit in N/A place. Almeria is therefore the higher-ranked team in the Segunda División at the moment.

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    Author of the article
    Alex - Winflix Editor

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