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Home/Football predictions/Prediction Marseille Lorient
Prediction Marseille Lorient 12/05/2024
Discover our prediction for Marseille vs Lorient in this Ligue 1 match on 12/05/2024. We break down team stats, recent form, bookmaker odds, and betting tips to help you maximize your chances of winning.
Marseille vs Lorient: Analysis & Statistics
To understand the key factors and possible outcomes of the Marseille vs Lorient match, it’s essential to look at the current form of both teams. To understand the stakes and potential outcomes of the Marseille – Lorient match, it’s essential to examine both teams’ current form. In their last 5 matches, Marseille have won 0, lost 0, and drawn 0 match. Meanwhile, Lorient have won 0, lost 0, and drawn 0 match. In the end, both teams are perfectly equal in form over their last 5 games. Another crucial aspect to consider is Marseille’s home performance and Lorient’s away record — let’s break it down in detail!
Form of Marseille in their last 5 matches
Form of Lorient in their last 5 matches
To learn more about both teams involved in this Ligue 1 fixture, dive deeper into the stats and recent performances to find the best prediction for Marseille and the best prediction for Lorient. Whether for this match on 12/05/2024 or upcoming fixtures, knowing a team’s form, lineup, and top scorers is essential to identify the best betting options.
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Odds & Probabilities for the Marseille vs Lorient match on 12/05/2024
1X2 Prediction: Which team will win the match?
Marseille OM wins the match.
1. Home performance of OM: In their last 5 home matches, OM has won in 40% of cases. They have also shown an attacking potential of 57%, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match, which is higher than Lorient’s average goals per away match.
2. Away performance of Lorient: Lorient has poor performances away from home, winning in only 20% of cases. Their attacking potential is only 14%, scoring an average of 0.4 goals per match. Additionally, they concede an average of 2.6 goals per match, making their defense a weak point.
3. Success probabilities: The probabilities clearly favor a victory for OM, with a probability of 60.71% for a win, a figure significantly higher than Lorient’s 14.29%. Furthermore, in alternative bets (draw or one team wins), OM always has a significantly higher success probability than Lorient.
Over or Under 2.5 Goals in the Match: Which Bet to Choose?
As with any analysis, it’s essential to look at the latest statistics for each team. When searching for the best goal prediction for the Marseille vs Lorient match, the key data to consider are the number of goals scored and conceded by each team. Studying this trend will influence the probabilities for the total goals at the end of the Marseille Lorient match. Let’s analyze the latest goal statistics together!
Goal Prediction: How many goals will be scored in the Marseille vs Lorient match?
Number of goals scored by Marseille in the last 5 matches
Average goals scored in the last 5 matches
Average goals conceded in the last 5 matches
Number of goals scored by Lorient in the last 5 matches
Average goals scored in the last 5 matches
Average goals conceded in the last 5 matches
What’s the bet on total goals in this match?
From a purely mathematical prediction standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches played by Marseille and Lorient, we should expectapproximately 0 goals in this match.
“More than 2.5 goals in the match”
1. Recent statistics from Marseille OM at home show that they are capable of scoring an average of around 1.6 goals per match and also concede about 1.2 goals per match. When you add these figures together, you get 2.8 goals per match, which surpasses the over 2.5 goals target.
2. Lorient has a relatively weak defensive potential when playing away, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match. This suggests that Marseille has a high likelihood of scoring at least 2-3 goals against Lorient, with or without considering the goals Lorient could potentially score.
3. By analyzing the odds, you can see that the probability for over 2.5 goals in the match is 60.71%, which is significantly higher than the probability for under 2.5 goals in the match. This odds therefore indicate expectations based on the past performances of both teams, further supporting the hypothesis of over 2.5 goals in the match.
BTTS: Will both teams score?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Match history: Marseille OM has scored in 4 out of their last 5 home matches. Additionally, Lorient has managed to score in 2 out of their last 5 away matches.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Despite Lorient having a low 14% offensive performance away from home, Marseille OM has a solid 43% defensive potential, thus increasing the likelihood of Lorient scoring.
3. Success probabilities: The probability of both teams scoring is 56.12%, which is a moderately high probability, reinforcing the notion that both teams are likely to score during the match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet?
Draw – odds at 4.90
1. Recent statistics for Marseille OM and Lorient at home and away respectively show that they are both more prone to draws, with Marseille OM drawing in 20% of their last home matches and Lorient in 20% of their last away matches.
2. The offensive and defensive rates of both teams indicate a low goal count, which increases the likelihood of a draw. Marseille OM has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 43%, while Lorient has an offensive potential of 14% and a very high defensive potential of 93%.
3. The odds for a draw are higher (4.90) compared to the odds for either team to win (1.40 for Marseille OM, 7.30 for Lorient). This high odds, coupled with a non-negligible 25% probability for a draw, offers potential value for bettors.
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Our Predictions for Betting on the Exact Score
A riskier but more rewarding option remains the “Bet on the exact match score.” To find the most likely exact score for the match Marseille vs Lorient, our algorithm analyzes over 100,000 similar games to identify the most probable outcomes based on comparable statistics.
Exact Score PredictionExact Score Predictions Marseille Lorient: Result Probabilities
Marseille OM 2-0 Lorient
1. Recent Performance History: Marseille has a stronger recent home performance than Lorient’s away performance. Marseille wins 40% of their home matches, while Lorient only wins 20% of their away matches.
2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Marseille has a 57% offensive potential and a 43% defensive potential at home, which is higher than Lorient’s 14% offensive potential and 93% defensive potential away. This, combined with the average number of goals per match for both teams, suggests that Marseille has a good chance of scoring two goals without reply.
3. Outcome Probabilities: The probability percentage of Marseille winning the match is 60.71%, which is significantly higher than Lorient winning (14.29%). Additionally, the probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match is 81.12%, supporting the hypothesis of a 2-0 scoreline in favor of Marseille.
Our conclusions and prediction for this match
In conclusion, statistical analysis strongly suggests a victory for OM over Lorient. OM has shown a superior performance at home compared to Lorient away, with a 60.71% chance of winning. The offensive potential of the Marseille team is also greater, increasing the chances of seeing more than 2.5 goals scored in the match. However, Lorient has shown resilience in their recent matches and should not be completely ruled out. Bettors could therefore find value in betting on a draw, which offers higher odds. An exact score of 2-0 in favor of OM also seems like a good bet considering the recent performances of both teams. While Marseille OM appears to be the favorite for this match, the uncertainty and potential for surprises remain the charms of football and sports betting.
All our analyses are based on official data certified by the official website of the Ligue 1 league for schedules, results, and standings, as well as Opta for advanced statistics (expected goals, possession, shots on target, etc.). By combining these trusted sources, we guarantee accurate and reliable predictions for every match.
Prediction results for Marseille and Lorient!
All prediction results shown below come from Winflix VIP predictions. To access these premium predictions, simply become a VIP member. On each match page, you’ll find a premium prediction with a detailed analysis. Our results have reached an 84% success rate over the past 6 months.
Latest winning predictions on Marseille
Latest winning predictions on Lorient
Live Match: Everything to know about the Marseille vs Lorient game!
To make sure you don’t miss anything from the Marseille vs Lorient match, Winflix lets you follow the lineups, key actions, and live stats for this Ligue 1 fixture on 12/05/2024. Team lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kickoff.
Team lineups: Marseille vs Lorient
Lineup Marseille
Lineup Lorient
Highlights of the Marseille vs Lorient match on 12/05/2024
Don’t miss any key moments from the Marseille vs Lorient game on 12/05/2024 at the Orange Vélodrome stadium.
Live statistics for the Marseille vs Lorient match
All the stats for the Marseille vs Lorient game will appear here as soon as they’re available live.
Overall standings Ligue 1
How to find the best prediction for Marseille vs Lorient?
Finding the right prediction for the Marseille vs Lorient match can be tricky. But with all the stats and key figures provided by Winflix, everything becomes much clearer. Winflix combines exclusive tools and expert insights to help you win more of your sports bets.
The match on 12/05/2024 in the Ligue 1 between Marseille and Lorient will take place at Orange Vélodrome in Marseille.
Both teams in this match are led by experienced managers. Marseille is coached by R. De Zerbi and Lorient is coached by O. Pantaloni.
Based solely on the number of goals scored in the last 5 matches for each team, Marseille scores an average of NaN goals per game, while Lorient averages NaN. Given both teams' similar offensive strength in recent matches, it’s likely they’ll score about the same number of goals in this game.
In the Ligue 1, Marseille are ranked N/A, while Lorient sit in N/A place. Lorient is therefore the higher-ranked team in the Ligue 1 at the moment.
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