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    Home/Football predictions/Prediction Newcastle Aston Villa

    Prediction Newcastle Aston Villa 25/01/2026

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    Last Update : 25/01/2026
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    Discover our prediction for Newcastle vs Aston Villa in this Premier League match on 25/01/2026. We break down team stats, recent form, bookmaker odds, and betting tips to help you maximize your chances of winning.

    Community prediction
    What will be the result of the match?

    Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Analysis & Statistics

    To understand the key factors and possible outcomes of the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match, it’s essential to look at the current form of both teams. To understand the stakes and potential outcomes of the Newcastle – Aston Villa match, it’s essential to examine both teams’ current form. In their last 5 matches, Newcastle have won 2, lost 1, and drawn 2 matches. Meanwhile, Aston Villa have won 3, lost 1, and drawn 1 match. In concrete terms, Aston Villa show stronger offensive power (+1 win). Note: a single-win difference remains marginal. Their defensive solidity is equivalent (1 loss). Newcastle tend to draw more often (+1 draw). Another crucial aspect to consider is Newcastle’s home performance and Aston Villa’s away record — let’s break it down in detail!

    Statistiques en direct Newcastle

    Form of Newcastle in their last 5 matches

    See more matchs
    Statistiques en direct Aston Villa

    Form of Aston Villa in their last 5 matches

    See more matchs

    To learn more about both teams involved in this Premier League fixture, dive deeper into the stats and recent performances to find the best prediction for Newcastle and the best prediction for Aston Villa. Whether for this match on 25/01/2026 or upcoming fixtures, knowing a team’s form, lineup, and top scorers is essential to identify the best betting options.

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    Odds & Predictions

    Odds & Probabilities for the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match on 25/01/2026

    Full-time result
    Option de jeu :Newcastle wins
    Probabilité de réussite :
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    Option de jeu :Draw
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    Option de jeu :Aston Villa wins
    Probabilité de réussite :
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    Option de jeu :Newcastle or Draw
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    Option de jeu :Aston Villa or Draw
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    Number of goals in the match
    Option de jeu :+1,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :+2,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :-3,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :-4,5 goals at full-time
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    Option de jeu :Both Teams Scores : Oui
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    Option de jeu :Both Teams Scores : Non
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    1X2 Prediction: Which team will win the match?

    Newcastle wins the match

    • Newcastle average 2.09 PPG at home with 7 wins in 11 and have scored in 100% of home matches
    • Aston Villa concede in 82% of away games and allow 1.45 goals per away match
    • Odds make Newcastle a slight favorite (1.90 vs 3.65), matching a +1.18 PPG home advantage

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    Over or Under 2.5 Goals in the Match: Which Bet to Choose?

    As with any analysis, it’s essential to look at the latest statistics for each team. When searching for the best goal prediction for the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match, the key data to consider are the number of goals scored and conceded by each team. Studying this trend will influence the probabilities for the total goals at the end of the Newcastle Aston Villa match. Let’s analyze the latest goal statistics together!

    Statistiques nombre de buts dans le match Newcastle Aston Villa
    Statistics & Goal Prediction

    Goal Prediction: How many goals will be scored in the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match?

    Goal prediction Newcastle

    Number of goals scored by Newcastle in the last 5 matches

    9Goals scored
    7Goals conceded
    Goal prediction Newcastle

    Average goals scored in the last 5 matches

    1.8Goals scored
    60%Offensive potential
    Goal prediction Newcastle

    Average goals conceded in the last 5 matches

    1.4Goals conceded
    53%Defensive potential
    Goal prediction Aston Villa

    Number of goals scored by Aston Villa in the last 5 matches

    6Goals scored
    3Goals conceded
    Goal prediction Aston Villa

    Average goals scored in the last 5 matches

    1.2Goals scored
    40%Offensive potential
    Goal prediction Aston Villa

    Average goals conceded in the last 5 matches

    0.6Goals conceded
    80%Defensive potential

    What’s the bet on total goals in this match?

    From a purely mathematical prediction standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches played by Newcastle and Aston Villa, we should expectapproximately 2.0 goals in this match.

    Over 2.5 goals

    • Newcastle home matches go over 2.5 in 73%, with a GF+GA average of 3.36
    • Aston Villa away games average 2.82 total goals and clear 2.5 in 55%
    • The market leans Over (1.62, ~62% implied) and BTTS_YES is short at 1.55, reinforcing goal expectancy

    BTTS: Will both teams score?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    • BTTS occurs in 73% of Newcastle home games and 64% of Villa away fixtures
    • High conceding rates: Newcastle concede in 73% at home; Villa concede in 82% away
    • Newcastle score 2.00 at home and Villa score 1.36 away on average, pointing to goals at both ends

    Goalscorer prediction for this match

    For this match, striker Ollie Watkins has appealing 2.88 odds to score; Villa net 1.36 goals per away game and create in both halves (64% second-half scoring rate). On the other side, Anthony Gordon at 3.00 benefits from Newcastle’s 100% home scoring rate and 2.00 goals per home match. Alternatives include Morgan Rogers at 3.40 and Harvey Barnes at 2.88, both supported by a game script that points to BTTS and Over 2.5.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    BTTS hits 73% in Newcastle home matches and 64% in Villa away games versus a 64.5% implied probability at 1.55. With both sides conceding frequently in these splits, the price offers a small edge.

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    Our Predictions for Betting on the Exact Score

    A riskier but more rewarding option remains the “Bet on the exact match score.” To find the most likely exact score for the match Newcastle vs Aston Villa, our algorithm analyzes over 100,000 similar games to identify the most probable outcomes based on comparable statistics.

    Exact Score Prediction

    Exact Score Predictions Newcastle Aston Villa: Result Probabilities

    Exact Result
    Probability %
    Odd

    Newcastle 2 – 1 Aston Villa

    • Newcastle average 2.00 goals at home while Villa concede 1.45 away
    • BTTS trends (73% Newcastle home, 64% Villa away) suit a 2-1 type outcome
    • Under 3.5 is 1.50 and hits ~64–73% in these splits, supporting a narrow margin

    Our conclusions and prediction for this match

    Our Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction leans Newcastle to edge it at home. The numbers back goals: Over 2.5 is supported by 73% overs in Newcastle home games. BTTS also rates well with 73% at home for Newcastle and 64% for Villa away. For safer cover, 1X at 1.25 fits strong home trends. Manage stakes: Villa’s away threat is real, but the home edge and goal metrics point Newcastle and goals.

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    Winflix VIP Predictionlogo
    Members onlyThe Winflix VIP prediction for the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match on 25/01/2026 is available exclusively to Winflix members.
    Data reliability

    All our analyses are based on official data certified by the official website of the Premier League league for schedules, results, and standings, as well as Opta for advanced statistics (expected goals, possession, shots on target, etc.). By combining these trusted sources, we guarantee accurate and reliable predictions for every match.

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    Winflix Predictions Results

    Prediction results for Newcastle and Aston Villa!

    All prediction results shown below come from Winflix VIP predictions. To access these premium predictions, simply become a VIP member. On each match page, you’ll find a premium prediction with a detailed analysis. Our results have reached an 84% success rate over the past 6 months.

    Latest winning predictions on Newcastle

    Latest winning predictions on Aston Villa

    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Everything to know about the Newcastle vs Aston Villa game!

    To make sure you don’t miss anything from the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match, Winflix lets you follow the lineups, key actions, and live stats for this Premier League fixture on 25/01/2026. Team lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kickoff.

    Team lineups: Newcastle vs Aston Villa

    Composition équipe Newcastle
    Composition Match Newcastle Aston Villa
    Lineup Newcastle
    Composition équipe Aston Villa
    Composition Match Newcastle Aston Villa
    Lineup Aston Villa
    Highlights of the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match on 25/01/2026

    Don’t miss any key moments from the Newcastle vs Aston Villa game on 25/01/2026 at the St. James' Park stadium.

    19'E. Buendia
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    27'Joelinton
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    48'JoelintonSubstitution 1
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    59'J. SanchoSubstitution 1
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    62'Y. WissaSubstitution 2
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    63'A. GordonSubstitution 3
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    74'Y. TielemansSubstitution 2
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    75'E. BuendiaSubstitution 3
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    75'P. TorresSubstitution 4
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    79'Lucas Digne
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    84'S. TonaliSubstitution 4
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    88'O. Watkins
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    89'A. OnanaSubstitution 5
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    90'Ian Maatsen
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    Live statistics for the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match

    All the stats for the Newcastle vs Aston Villa game will appear here as soon as they’re available live.

    Statistiques en direct Newcastle
    Newcastle
    Aston Villa
    Statistiques en direct Aston Villa
    Possession
    61%
    39%
    Total Shots
    15
    14
    Shots on Goal
    4
    8
    Shots off Goal
    4
    4
    Corner Kicks
    6
    5
    Passes %
    86%
    77%
    Total passes
    519
    353
    Passes accurate
    447
    272
    Fouls
    7
    12
    Yellow Cards
    1
    2
    Overall standings Premier League
    Pos
    Team
    Pts
    P
    +/-
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How to find the best prediction for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

    Finding the right prediction for the Newcastle vs Aston Villa match can be tricky. But with all the stats and key figures provided by Winflix, everything becomes much clearer. Winflix combines exclusive tools and expert insights to help you win more of your sports bets.

    The match on 25/01/2026 in the Premier League between Newcastle and Aston Villa will take place at St. James' Park in Newcastle.

    Based on the latest statistics analyzed from Opta’s official database, Newcastle is more likely to win the match (with approximately 46.11% chance) against Aston Villa in this Premier League match on 25/01/2026.

    Both teams in this match are led by experienced managers. Newcastle is coached by E. Howe and Aston Villa is coached by Unai Emery.

    Based solely on the number of goals scored in the last 5 matches for each team, Newcastle scores an average of 1.8 goals per game, while Aston Villa averages 1.2. We can conclude that Newcastle is more likely to score more goals than Aston Villa in this match.

    In the Premier League, Newcastle are ranked N/A, while Aston Villa sit in N/A place. Aston Villa is therefore the higher-ranked team in the Premier League at the moment.

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    Author of the article
    Alex - Winflix Editor

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